T. Wilson
(ast. D. Horgan)
78'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shamrock Rovers a 40% win probability (draw 23%, Dundalk 35%). The final result was Dundalk 1–0 Shamrock Rovers. In 3 previous meetings, Dundalk have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Shamrock Rovers.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
3
0.44
Actual xG
1.16
3
Saves
2
31%
Possession
69%
4
Corners
5
20
Tackles
15
4
🟨 Yellow cards
0
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
J. Wilson
17'
H. Warren
31'
46'
G. Burke
/
M. Noonan
46'
A. Greene
/
J. McGovern
K. Buckley
/ S. Tracey
59'
E. Kenny
/ H. Groome
59'
63'
J. Mulraney
/
A. Brennan
⚽T. Wilson
· ast. D. Horgan
78'
G. Arubi
/ D. Mullen
79'
80'
D. Watts
/
J. Byrne
80'
C. Malley
/
D. Cleary
H. Warren
/ S. Spaight
85'
S. Tracey
86'
J. Wilson
87'
J. Wilson
87'
Pre-match prediction
35.25%
Dundalk ←
23.88%
X
40.87%
Shamrock
we assigned to the actual result (Dundalk)
35.25%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.89
0.44
-1.45
2.00
1.16
-0.84
Shamrock Rovers dominated by xG (1.16 vs 0.44).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
E. Minogue
G
E. Minogue
G
22
T. Wilson
1 ⚽
D
T. Wilson
1 ⚽
D
3
B. Burns
D
B. Burns
D
31
T. Wilson
1 ⚽
87'
D
T. Wilson
1 ⚽
87'
D
5
H. Warren
85'
D
H. Warren
85'
D
27
D. McDaid
D
D. McDaid
D
7
D. Horgan
1 👟
M
D. Horgan
1 👟
M
18
K. Buckley
59'
M
K. Buckley
59'
M
6
A. Dervin
M
A. Dervin
M
16
E. Kenny
59'
M
E. Kenny
59'
M
9
G. Arubi
79'
F
G. Arubi
79'
F
Bench
23
A. M. Keogh
M
A. M. Keogh
M
21
Danny Mullen
14'
F
Danny Mullen
14'
F
8
H. Groome
34'
M
H. Groome
34'
M
10
Leonardo Gaxha
F
Leonardo Gaxha
F
12
L. Mulligan
D
L. Mulligan
D
13
P. Cherrie
G
P. Cherrie
G
19
Sean Spaight
8'
D
Sean Spaight
8'
D
17
S. Tracey
34'
M
S. Tracey
34'
M
29
TJ Molloy
F
TJ Molloy
F
1
E. McGinty
G
E. McGinty
G
3
E. Stevens
D
E. Stevens
D
5
L. Grace
D
L. Grace
D
6
D. Cleary
80'
D
D. Cleary
80'
D
19
Adam Brennan
63'
M
Adam Brennan
63'
M
29
J. Byrne
80'
M
8
M. Healy
M
M. Healy
M
22
T. Sobowale
M
T. Sobowale
M
88
J. McGovern
45'
F
J. McGovern
45'
F
31
M. Noonan
45'
F
M. Noonan
45'
F
36
Victor Ozhianvuna
F
Victor Ozhianvuna
F
Bench
9
A. Greene
48'
F
A. Greene
48'
F
41
Alex Noonan
G
Alex Noonan
G
2
A. Matthews
D
A. Matthews
D
23
C. Malley
13'
M
C. Malley
13'
M
7
D. Watts
13'
M
D. Watts
13'
M
10
G. Burke
48'
F
G. Burke
48'
F
11
J. Mulraney
30'
M
J. Mulraney
30'
M
26
John O'Sullivan
M
John O'Sullivan
M
28
N. Razi
M
N. Razi
M
Best on the pitch
L. Grace
D · Shamrock
7.90
1 shots
· 79 pass
E. Kenny
M · Dundalk
7.70
1 shots
· 17 pass
Victor Ozhianvuna
F · Shamrock
7.50
2 shots
· 42 pass
J. Byrne
M · Shamrock
7.50
· 94 pass
D. Horgan
M · Dundalk
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 28 pass
T. Wilson
D · Dundalk
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
Dundalk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Minogue | G | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 5% | — | — | — |
| T. Wilson | D | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| B. Burns | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Wilson | D | 87 | 6.20 | 1 | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | 2 | 1 |
| H. Warren | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. McDaid | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Horgan | M | 93 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Buckley | M | 59 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Dervin | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Kenny | M | 59 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Arubi | F | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Danny Mullen | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| H. Groome | M | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Sean Spaight | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Tracey | M | 34 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 4 | 1 | — |
Shamrock Rovers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. McGinty | G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | — | — | — |
| E. Stevens | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 107 | 94% | — | — | — |
| L. Grace | D | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 63% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Cleary | D | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Adam Brennan | M | 63 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Byrne | M | 80 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 94 | 80% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Healy | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 91 | 77% | — | — | — |
| T. Sobowale | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| J. McGovern | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M. Noonan | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Ozhianvuna | F | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 36% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Greene | F | 48 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| C. Malley | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Watts | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| G. Burke | F | 48 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mulraney | M | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
The final score was Dundalk 1–0 Shamrock Rovers.
What did the model predict before Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Dundalk win, 23% to a draw, and 40% to an Shamrock Rovers win.