Scottish Premiership
· Relegation Group - 34
April 26, 2026 17:00
✓Model correct — prediction Dundee Utd
W. Ferry
14'
W. Ferry
(ast. V. Sevelj)
70'
R. Strain
(ast. W. Ferry)
72'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundee Utd a 61% win probability (draw 19%, Dundee 18%). The final result was Dundee Utd 3–0 Dundee. In 3 previous meetings, Dundee Utd have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Dundee.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
4
2.18
Actual xG
0.85
3
Saves
2
48%
Possession
52%
2
Corners
4
15
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽W. Ferry
14'
R. Strain
34'
36'
M. Watters
/ I. Dolcek
69'
69'
C. Reilly
/
C. Congreve
69'
S. Murray
/
S. Wright
⚽W. Ferry
· ast. V. Sevelj
70'
⚽R. Strain
· ast. W. Ferry
72'
79'
T. Yogane
/
A. Hay
W. Ferry
/ J. Russell
83'
E. Agyei
/ P. Camara
83'
R. Strain
/ D. Naamo
84'
Pre-match prediction
61.49%
Dundee ←
19.86%
X
18.65%
Dundee
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Dundee Utd)
61.49%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.35
2.18
-0.17
1.11
0.85
-0.26
Dundee Utd dominated by xG (2.18 vs 0.85).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
25
G
23
Krisztián Keresztes
D
Krisztián Keresztes
D
6
D
4
Iurie Iovu
D
Iurie Iovu
D
11
William Ferry
2 ⚽
1 👟
83'
M
William Ferry
2 ⚽
1 👟
83'
M
12
E. Agyei
83'
M
5
Vicko Ševelj
1 👟
M
Vicko Ševelj
1 👟
M
2
Ryan Strain
1 ⚽
84'
M
Ryan Strain
1 ⚽
84'
M
9
Zachary Sapsford
F
Zachary Sapsford
F
20
Neil Farrugia
F
Neil Farrugia
F
36
Max Watters
69'
F
Max Watters
69'
F
Bench
22
D. Naamo
10'
D
19
Ivan Dolček
25'
F
Ivan Dolček
25'
F
8
Panutche Camará
11'
M
Panutche Camará
11'
M
1
J. McCracken
G
12
D
5
Billy Koumetio
D
Billy Koumetio
D
22
D
4
Ryan Astley
D
Ryan Astley
D
48
E. Hamilton
M
E. Hamilton
M
25
Scott Wright
69'
M
Scott Wright
69'
M
19
Joe Westley
M
Joe Westley
M
21
Y. Dhanda
M
20
C. Congreve
69'
M
C. Congreve
69'
M
11
79'
F
Bench
16
Brad Halliday
D
Brad Halliday
D
7
D. Wright
M
15
S. Murray
25'
F
S. Murray
25'
F
17
Tony Yogane
15'
M
Tony Yogane
15'
M
Best on the pitch
William Ferry
M · Dundee
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 22 pass
G · Dundee
7.70
· 32 pass
Iurie Iovu
D · Dundee
7.50
· 24 pass
Vicko Ševelj
M · Dundee
7.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 31 pass
Y. Dhanda
M · Dundee
7.50
1 shots
· 45 pass
D · Dundee
7.50
2 shots
· 34 pass
Dundee Utd — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Krisztián Keresztes | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Iurie Iovu | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| William Ferry | M | 83 | 10.00 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Agyei | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Vicko Ševelj | M | 94 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Strain | M | 84 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Zachary Sapsford | F | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Neil Farrugia | F | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Max Watters | F | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Naamo | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ivan Dolček | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Panutche Camará | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Dundee — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McCracken | G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 4 | — | — | |
| Billy Koumetio | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 27% | — | — | — |
| D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Ryan Astley | D | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Hamilton | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Scott Wright | M | 69 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Joe Westley | M | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Dhanda | M | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Congreve | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| F | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 6% | — | — | — | |
| S. Murray | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Tony Yogane | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundee Utd vs Dundee?
The final score was Dundee Utd 3–0 Dundee.
What did the model predict before Dundee Utd vs Dundee?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Dundee Utd win, 19% to a draw, and 18% to an Dundee win.