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Scottish Premiership · Relegation Group - 34 April 26, 2026 15:00 CalForth Construction Arena, Dundee
Dundee Utd
#5 · 16 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Dundee
#4 · 17 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Dundee Utd
W. Ferry 14'
W. Ferry (ast. V. Sevelj) 70'
R. Strain (ast. W. Ferry) 72'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundee Utd a 61% win probability (draw 19%, Dundee 18%). The final result was Dundee Utd 3–0 Dundee. In 4 previous meetings, Dundee Utd have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Dundee.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
4
2.18
Actual xG
0.85
3
Saves
2
48%
Possession
52%
2
Corners
4
15
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽W. Ferry
14'
R. Strain
34'
36'
↕ M. Watters / I. Dolcek
69'
69'
C. Reilly / C. Congreve ↕
69'
S. Murray / S. Wright ↕
⚽W. Ferry · ast. V. Sevelj
70'
⚽R. Strain · ast. W. Ferry
72'
79'
T. Yogane / A. Hay ↕
↕ W. Ferry / J. Russell
83'
↕ E. Agyei / P. Camara
83'
↕ R. Strain / D. Naamo
84'
Pre-match prediction
61.49%
Dundee ←
19.86%
X
18.65%
Dundee
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Dundee Utd) 61.49% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Dundee
2.35
2.18
-0.17
Dundee
1.11
0.85
-0.26
Dundee Utd dominated by xG (2.18 vs 0.85). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Celtic Celtic 11 28
2 Rangers Rangers 11 24
3 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 11 20
4 Dundee Dundee 11 17
5 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 11 16
6 Falkirk Falkirk 11 15
7 ST Mirren ST Mirren 11 14
8 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 11 13
9 Aberdeen Aberdeen 11 11
10 Motherwell Motherwell 11 9
11 Hibernian Hibernian 11 8
12 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 11 8
Lineups
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 3-4-2-1
25
G 7.70
23 K. Keresztes K. Keresztes D 7.20
6
D 6.90
4 I. Iovu I. Iovu D 7.50
11 W. Ferry W. Ferry 2 ⚽ 1 👟 83' M 10.00
12 E. Agyei E. Agyei 83' M 7.00
5 V. Ševelj V. Ševelj 1 👟 M 7.50
2 R. Strain R. Strain 1 ⚽ 84' M 7.00
9 Z. Sapsford Z. Sapsford F 6.30
20 N. Farrugia N. Farrugia F 6.90
36 Max Watters Max Watters 69' F 6.20
Bench
22 D. Naamo D. Naamo 10' D 6.60
19 I. Dolček I. Dolček 25' F 6.30
8 Panutche Camará Panutche Camará 11' M 6.70
Dundee Dundee 4-1-4-1
1 J. McCracken J. McCracken G 6.90
12
D 6.70
5 Billy Dawson Koumetio Billy Dawson Koumetio D 6.30
22
D 7.50
4 R. Astley R. Astley D 6.00
48 E. Hamilton E. Hamilton M 7.00
25 Scott Wright Scott Wright 69' M 6.00
19 J. Westley J. Westley M 6.50
21 Y. Dhanda Y. Dhanda M 7.50
20 C. Congreve C. Congreve 69' M 6.50
11
79' F 6.90
Bench
16 B. Halliday B. Halliday D
7 D. Wright D. Wright M
15 Simon Murray Simon Murray 25' F 6.60
17 Tony Yogane Tony Yogane 15' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
W. Ferry
W. Ferry
M · Dundee
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 22 pass
G · Dundee
7.70
· 32 pass
I. Iovu
I. Iovu
D · Dundee
7.50
· 24 pass
V. Ševelj
V. Ševelj
M · Dundee
7.50
1 👟
2 shots · 31 pass
Y. Dhanda
Y. Dhanda
M · Dundee
7.50
1 shots · 45 pass
D · Dundee
7.50
2 shots · 34 pass
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 7.70 — — — 32 13% — — —
K. Keresztes D 94 7.20 — — — 20 11% 2 — —
D 94 6.90 — — — 22 17% — — —
I. Iovu D 94 7.50 — — — 24 14% 3 — —
W. Ferry M 83 10.00 2 1 2 22 13% 3 — —
E. Agyei M 83 7.00 — — 2 27 20% 2 — —
V. Ševelj M 94 7.50 — 1 2 31 24% — — —
R. Strain M 84 7.00 1 — 1 21 11% — 1 —
Z. Sapsford F 94 6.30 — — 2 16 9% — — —
N. Farrugia F 94 6.90 — — 1 22 14% 3 — —
Max Watters F 69 6.20 — — — 7 7% 1 — —
D. Naamo D 10 6.60 — — — 2 2% — — —
I. Dolček F 25 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Panutche Camará M 11 6.70 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
Dundee Dundee — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. McCracken G 94 6.90 — — — 36 17% — — —
D 94 6.70 — — — 24 17% 4 — —
Billy Dawson Koumetio D 94 6.30 — — 1 39 27% — — —
D 94 7.50 — — 2 34 25% — — —
R. Astley D 94 6.00 — — — 13 7% 2 — —
E. Hamilton M 94 7.00 — — 1 20 17% 1 — —
Scott Wright M 69 6.00 — — — 17 11% — — —
J. Westley M 94 6.50 — — — 15 10% 2 — —
Y. Dhanda M 94 7.50 — — 1 45 25% 2 — —
C. Congreve M 69 6.50 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
F 79 6.90 — — — 15 6% — — —
Simon Murray F 25 6.60 — — — 4 3% 2 — —
Tony Yogane M 15 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundee Utd vs Dundee?
The final score was Dundee Utd 3–0 Dundee.
What did the model predict before Dundee Utd vs Dundee?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Dundee Utd win, 19% to a draw, and 18% to an Dundee win.