Scottish Premiership
· 1st Phase - 33
April 11, 2026 18:00
✓Model correct — prediction Dundee Utd
W. Ferry
(ast. M. Watters)
19'
K. Keresztes
(ast. W. Ferry)
75'
Z. Sapsford
90'+3
(pen.)
49'
(ast. J. Nouble)
L. Smith
53'
(ast. J. Prior)
L. Smith
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundee Utd a 73% win probability (draw 16%, Livingston 10%). The final result was Dundee Utd 3–2 Livingston. In 3 previous meetings, Dundee Utd have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Livingston.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
6
1.09
Actual xG
1.79
4
Saves
2
50%
Possession
50%
4
Corners
3
9
Tackles
17
Match Events
A. Fatah
/ N. Farrugia
14'
⚽W. Ferry
· ast. M. Watters
19'
49'
ast. J. Nouble ·
L. Smith⚽
53'
ast. J. Prior ·
L. Smith⚽
M. Watters
/ P. Camara
62'
I. Iovu
/ K. Keresztes
62'
V. Sevelj
/ D. Naamo
62'
64'
S. Pittman
/
S. May
70'
R. Muirhead
/
J. Nouble
71'
M. Tait
/
S. Arfield
71'
B. Kabongolo
/
B. Fati
⚽K. Keresztes
· ast. W. Ferry
75'
82'
J. Zimmerman
/
L. Smith
W. Ferry
/ I. Dolcek
88'
⚽Z. Sapsford
(pen.)
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
73.19%
Dundee ←
16.7%
X
10.11%
Livingston
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Dundee Utd)
73.19%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.35
1.09
-1.26
0.62
1.79
+1.17
Livingston dominated by xG (1.79 vs 1.09).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
G
6
D
4
Iurie Iovu
62'
D
Iurie Iovu
62'
D
37
D
11
William Ferry
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
M
William Ferry
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
M
12
E. Agyei
M
5
Vicko Ševelj
62'
M
Vicko Ševelj
62'
M
2
Ryan Strain
M
Ryan Strain
M
17
A. Ahmed Fatah
14'
F
A. Ahmed Fatah
14'
F
9
Zachary Sapsford
1 ⚽
F
Zachary Sapsford
1 ⚽
F
36
Max Watters
1 👟
62'
F
Max Watters
1 👟
62'
F
Bench
22
D. Naamo
32'
D
19
Ivan Dolček
6'
F
Ivan Dolček
6'
F
23
Krisztián Keresztes
1 ⚽
32'
D
Krisztián Keresztes
1 ⚽
32'
D
20
Neil Farrugia
80'
F
Neil Farrugia
80'
F
8
Panutche Camará
32'
M
Panutche Camará
32'
M
28
1 👟
G
26
Cristian Montaño
D
Cristian Montaño
D
27
Danny Wilson
D
Danny Wilson
D
19
Danny Finlayson
D
Danny Finlayson
D
3
Babacar Fati
71'
M
Babacar Fati
71'
M
24
Mohamad Sylla
M
Mohamad Sylla
M
37
S. Arfield
71'
M
2
M
17
Stevie May
64'
F
Stevie May
64'
F
15
Lewis Smith
2 ⚽
82'
F
Lewis Smith
2 ⚽
82'
F
7
70'
F
Bench
10
Barrie McKay
M
Barrie McKay
M
23
Brooklyn Kabongolo
23'
D
Brooklyn Kabongolo
23'
D
25
Macaulay Tait
23'
M
Macaulay Tait
23'
M
9
Robbie Muirhead
24'
F
Robbie Muirhead
24'
F
8
Scott Pittman
30'
F
Scott Pittman
30'
F
Best on the pitch
Lewis Smith
F · Livingston
9.00
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 24 pass
William Ferry
M · Dundee
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 24 pass
Krisztián Keresztes
D · Dundee
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
F · Livingston
7.30
1 shots
· 19 pass
Ryan Strain
M · Dundee
7.30
· 39 pass
E. Agyei
M · Dundee
7.00
· 40 pass
Dundee Utd — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 23% | 1 | — | — | |
| Iurie Iovu | D | 62 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 20% | 1 | — | — | |
| William Ferry | M | 88 | 8.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Agyei | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Vicko Ševelj | M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Strain | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Ahmed Fatah | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Zachary Sapsford | F | 94 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 19 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Max Watters | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Naamo | D | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Ivan Dolček | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Krisztián Keresztes | D | 32 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Neil Farrugia | F | 80 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Panutche Camará | M | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
Livingston — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| Cristian Montaño | D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Danny Wilson | D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Danny Finlayson | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Babacar Fati | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohamad Sylla | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 17% | 6 | — | — |
| S. Arfield | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Stevie May | F | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Lewis Smith | F | 82 | 9.00 | 2 | — | 3 | 24 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| F | 70 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 9% | 1 | — | — | |
| Brooklyn Kabongolo | D | 23 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Macaulay Tait | M | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Robbie Muirhead | F | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Scott Pittman | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundee Utd vs Livingston?
The final score was Dundee Utd 3–2 Livingston.
What did the model predict before Dundee Utd vs Livingston?
The model assigned 73% probability to a Dundee Utd win, 16% to a draw, and 10% to an Livingston win.