← Scottish Premiership
Scottish Premiership · 1st Phase - 32 April 05, 2026 19:30
Dundee
#3 · 39 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Celtic
#2 · 79 pts
S. Murray 57' (pen.)
8' (ast. B. Nygren) Yang Hyun-Jun
82' (ast. M. Saracchi) K. Iheanacho

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 48% win probability (draw 24%, Dundee 27%). The final result was Dundee 1–2 Celtic. In 3 previous meetings, Dundee have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Celtic.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
8
1.42
Actual xG
3.80
5
Saves
2
43%
Possession
57%
1
Corners
4
15
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
8'
ast. B. Nygren · Yang Hyun-Jun⚽
55'
⚽S. Murray (pen.)
57'
58'
K. Iheanacho / T. Cvancara ↕
63'
Liam Scales
67'
L. McCowan / A. Oxlade-Chamberlain ↕
↕ F. Robertson / J. Cotterill
67'
↕ S. Murray / A. Hay
67'
67'
A. Ralston / C. Donovan ↕
↕ T. Yogane / S. Wright
73'
76'
J. Forrest / D. Maeda ↕
76'
M. Saracchi / K. Tierney ↕
82'
ast. M. Saracchi · K. Iheanacho⚽
Ryan Astley
84'
↕ Y. Dhanda / B. Koumetio
90'+2
↕ D. Wright / C. Reilly
90'+2
90'+7
Anthony Ralston
Pre-match prediction
27.34%
Dundee
24.53%
X
48.13%
Celtic ←
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic) 48.13% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Dundee
1.26
1.42
+0.16
Celtic
1.78
3.80
+2.02
Celtic dominated by xG (3.80 vs 1.42). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 33 70
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 37 80
1 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 37 44
2 Rangers Rangers 33 69
2 Celtic Celtic 37 79
2 Aberdeen Aberdeen 37 40
3 Dundee Dundee 37 39
3 Celtic Celtic 33 67
3 Rangers Rangers 37 69
4 Motherwell Motherwell 37 58
4 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 37 37
4 Motherwell Motherwell 33 54
5 ST Mirren ST Mirren 37 33
5 Hibernian Hibernian 33 51
5 Hibernian Hibernian 37 57
6 Livingston Livingston 37 21
6 Falkirk Falkirk 33 46
6 Falkirk Falkirk 37 49
7 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 33 40
8 Aberdeen Aberdeen 33 33
9 Dundee Dundee 33 33
10 ST Mirren ST Mirren 33 30
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 33 28
12 Livingston Livingston 33 16
Lineups
Dundee Dundee 4-1-4-1
1
J. McCracken G 7.70
7
D. Wright D 6.20
22
D 6.50
4 Ryan Astley Ryan Astley 84' D 6.00
16 Brad Halliday Brad Halliday D 6.90
48 E. Hamilton E. Hamilton M 6.30
17 Tony Yogane Tony Yogane 73' M 6.90
10
67' M 6.20
21
Y. Dhanda M 6.90
20 C. Congreve C. Congreve M 7.50
15 S. Murray S. Murray 1 ⚽ 67' F 6.70
Bench
5 Billy Koumetio Billy Koumetio 6' D
19 Joe Westley Joe Westley F
25 Scott Wright Scott Wright 25' F 6.30
Celtic Celtic 4-2-3-1
12
G 7.00
63 Kieran Tierney Kieran Tierney 76' D 6.60
5 Liam Scales Liam Scales D 6.90
6 Auston Trusty Auston Trusty D 7.00
51
C. Donovan 67' D 6.30
21 Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 67' M 6.90
42 Callum McGregor Callum McGregor M 6.90
38 Daizen Maeda Daizen Maeda 76' M 6.30
8 Benjamin Nygren Benjamin Nygren 1 👟 M 7.00
13 Yang Hyun-Jun Yang Hyun-Jun 1 ⚽ M 6.60
11
T. Cvancara 58' F 6.20
Bench
43
B. Arthur D
49 James Forrest James Forrest 22' M 6.50
17 Kelechi Iheanacho Kelechi Iheanacho 1 ⚽ 40' F 7.20
14 Luke McCowan Luke McCowan 31' M 6.50
41 Reo Hatate Reo Hatate M
23 Sebastian Tounekti Sebastian Tounekti F
56 Tony Ralston Tony Ralston 31' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
J. McCracken
G · Dundee
7.70
· 50 pass
C. Congreve
C. Congreve
M · Dundee
7.50
2 shots · 28 pass
Kelechi Iheanacho
Kelechi Iheanacho
F · Celtic
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
Benjamin Nygren
Benjamin Nygren
M · Celtic
7.00
1 👟
2 shots · 43 pass
Auston Trusty
Auston Trusty
D · Celtic
7.00
· 82 pass
G · Celtic
7.00
· 37 pass
Dundee Dundee — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. McCracken G 98 7.70 — — — 50 30% 1 — —
D. Wright D 92 6.20 — — — 43 31% 2 — —
D 98 6.50 — — — 52 43% 3 — —
Ryan Astley D 84 6.00 — — — 33 28% 1 — 1
Brad Halliday D 98 6.90 — — 1 41 31% 5 — —
E. Hamilton M 98 6.30 — — — 30 23% — — —
Tony Yogane M 73 6.90 — — — 18 17% — — —
M 67 6.20 — — 1 19 16% — — —
Y. Dhanda M 92 6.90 — — — 60 48% 1 — —
C. Congreve M 98 7.50 — — 2 28 23% 1 — —
S. Murray F 67 6.70 1 — 2 10 8% 1 — —
Billy Koumetio D 6 — — — — 3 1% — — —
Scott Wright F 25 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
Celtic Celtic — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 98 7.00 — — — 37 27% — — —
Kieran Tierney D 76 6.60 — — — 30 20% 3 — —
Liam Scales D 98 6.90 — — 1 81 71% 2 1 —
Auston Trusty D 98 7.00 — — — 82 71% — — —
C. Donovan D 67 6.30 — — 1 39 33% 2 — —
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain M 67 6.90 — — 1 27 19% 1 — —
Callum McGregor M 98 6.90 — — — 63 55% 2 — —
Daizen Maeda M 76 6.30 — — 1 12 11% 3 — —
Benjamin Nygren M 98 7.00 — 1 2 43 36% 1 — —
Yang Hyun-Jun M 98 6.60 1 — 2 40 34% 3 — —
T. Cvancara F 58 6.20 — — 4 11 9% — — —
James Forrest M 22 6.50 — — — 9 7% — — —
Kelechi Iheanacho F 40 7.20 1 — 1 7 5% — — —
Luke McCowan M 31 6.50 — — 2 24 19% — — —
Tony Ralston D 31 6.30 — — — 16 13% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundee vs Celtic?
The final score was Dundee 1–2 Celtic.
What did the model predict before Dundee vs Celtic?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Dundee win, 24% to a draw, and 48% to an Celtic win.