Scottish Premiership
· 1st Phase - 32
April 05, 2026 17:30
S. Murray
57'
(pen.)
8'
(ast. B. Nygren)
Yang Hyun-Jun
82'
(ast. M. Saracchi)
K. Iheanacho
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 48% win probability (draw 24%, Dundee 27%). The final result was Dundee 1–2 Celtic. In 3 previous meetings, Dundee have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Celtic.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
8
1.42
Actual xG
3.80
5
Saves
2
43%
Possession
57%
1
Corners
4
15
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
8'
ast. B. Nygren ·
Yang Hyun-Jun⚽
55'
⚽S. Murray
(pen.)
57'
58'
K. Iheanacho
/
T. Cvancara
63'
Liam Scales
67'
L. McCowan
/
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
F. Robertson
/ J. Cotterill
67'
S. Murray
/ A. Hay
67'
67'
A. Ralston
/
C. Donovan
T. Yogane
/ S. Wright
73'
76'
J. Forrest
/
D. Maeda
76'
M. Saracchi
/
K. Tierney
82'
ast. M. Saracchi ·
K. Iheanacho⚽
Ryan Astley
84'
Y. Dhanda
/ B. Koumetio
90'+2
D. Wright
/ C. Reilly
90'+2
90'+7
Anthony Ralston
Pre-match prediction
27.34%
Dundee
24.53%
X
48.13%
Celtic ←
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic)
48.13%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.26
1.42
+0.16
1.78
3.80
+2.02
Celtic dominated by xG (3.80 vs 1.42).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. McCracken
G
7
Drey Wright
D
Drey Wright
D
22
D
4
Ryan Astley
84'
D
Ryan Astley
84'
D
16
Brad Halliday
D
Brad Halliday
D
48
E. Hamilton
M
E. Hamilton
M
17
Tony Yogane
73'
M
Tony Yogane
73'
M
10
67'
M
21
Y. Dhanda
M
20
C. Congreve
M
C. Congreve
M
15
Simon Murray
1 ⚽
67'
F
Simon Murray
1 ⚽
67'
F
Bench
5
Billy Koumetio
6'
D
Billy Koumetio
6'
D
19
Joe Westley
F
Joe Westley
F
25
Scott Wright
25'
F
Scott Wright
25'
F
12
G
63
Kieran Tierney
76'
D
Kieran Tierney
76'
D
5
L. Scales
D
L. Scales
D
6
A. Trusty
D
A. Trusty
D
51
C. Donovan
67'
D
21
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
67'
M
42
C. McGregor
M
C. McGregor
M
38
D. Maeda
76'
M
D. Maeda
76'
M
8
B. Nygren
1 👟
M
B. Nygren
1 👟
M
13
Yang Hyun-Jun
1 ⚽
M
Yang Hyun-Jun
1 ⚽
M
11
T. Cvancara
58'
F
Bench
43
B. Arthur
D
49
James Forrest
22'
M
17
Kelechi Iheanacho
1 ⚽
40'
F
14
Luke McCowan
31'
M
41
Reo Hatate
M
Reo Hatate
M
23
S. Tounekti
F
S. Tounekti
F
56
Tony Ralston
31'
D
Tony Ralston
31'
D
Best on the pitch
J. McCracken
G · Dundee
7.70
· 50 pass
C. Congreve
M · Dundee
7.50
2 shots
· 28 pass
Kelechi Iheanacho
F · Celtic
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
B. Nygren
M · Celtic
7.00
1 👟
2 shots
· 43 pass
A. Trusty
D · Celtic
7.00
· 82 pass
G · Celtic
7.00
· 37 pass
Dundee — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McCracken | G | 98 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Drey Wright | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 43% | 3 | — | — | |
| Ryan Astley | D | 84 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Brad Halliday | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 31% | 5 | — | — |
| E. Hamilton | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Tony Yogane | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Y. Dhanda | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Congreve | M | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Murray | F | 67 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Billy Koumetio | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Scott Wright | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Celtic — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| Kieran Tierney | D | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Scales | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 71% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Trusty | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 82 | 71% | — | — | — |
| C. Donovan | D | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McGregor | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Maeda | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Nygren | M | 98 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Yang Hyun-Jun | M | 98 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 40 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Cvancara | F | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| James Forrest | M | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Kelechi Iheanacho | F | 40 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Luke McCowan | M | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Tony Ralston | D | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundee vs Celtic?
The final score was Dundee 1–2 Celtic.
What did the model predict before Dundee vs Celtic?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Dundee win, 24% to a draw, and 48% to an Celtic win.