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← Scottish Premiership
#4 · 10 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#1 · 18 pts
S. Murray 57' (pen.)
8' (ast. B. Nygren) Yang Hyun-Jun
82' (ast. M. Saracchi) K. Iheanacho
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 48% win probability (draw 24%, Dundee 27%). The final result was Dundee 1–2 Celtic. In 4 previous meetings, Dundee have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Celtic.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
8
1.42
Actual xG
3.80
5
Saves
2
43%
Possession
57%
1
Corners
4
15
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
8'
ast. B. Nygren · Yang Hyun-Jun⚽
55'
⚽S. Murray (pen.)
57'
58'
K. Iheanacho / T. Cvancara ↕
63'
Liam Scales
67'
L. McCowan / A. Oxlade-Chamberlain ↕
↕ F. Robertson / J. Cotterill
67'
↕ S. Murray / A. Hay
67'
67'
A. Ralston / C. Donovan ↕
↕ T. Yogane / S. Wright
73'
76'
J. Forrest / D. Maeda ↕
76'
M. Saracchi / K. Tierney ↕
82'
ast. M. Saracchi · K. Iheanacho⚽
Ryan Astley
84'
↕ Y. Dhanda / B. Koumetio
90'+2
↕ D. Wright / C. Reilly
90'+2
90'+7
Anthony Ralston
Pre-match prediction
27.34%
Dundee
24.53%
X
48.13%
Celtic ←
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic) 48.13% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Dundee
1.26
1.42
+0.16
Celtic
1.78
3.80
+2.02
Celtic dominated by xG (3.80 vs 1.42). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Celtic Celtic 7 18
2 Rangers Rangers 7 16
3 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 7 13
4 Dundee Dundee 7 10
5 ST Mirren ST Mirren 7 10
6 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 7 8
7 Aberdeen Aberdeen 7 8
8 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 7 8
9 Motherwell Motherwell 7 8
10 Hibernian Hibernian 7 7
11 Falkirk Falkirk 7 6
12 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 7 5
Lineups
Dundee Dundee 4-1-4-1
1 J. McCracken J. McCracken G 7.70
7 D. Wright D. Wright D 6.20
22
D 6.50
4 R. Astley R. Astley 84' D 6.00
16 B. Halliday B. Halliday D 6.90
48 E. Hamilton E. Hamilton M 6.30
17 Tony Yogane Tony Yogane 73' M 6.90
10
67' M 6.20
21 Y. Dhanda Y. Dhanda M 6.90
20 C. Congreve C. Congreve M 7.50
15 Simon Murray Simon Murray 1 ⚽ 67' F 6.70
Bench
5 Billy Koumetio Billy Koumetio 6' D
19 J. Westley J. Westley F
25 Scott Wright Scott Wright 25' F 6.30
Celtic Celtic 4-2-3-1
12
G 7.00
63 K. Tierney K. Tierney 76' D 6.60
5 L. Scales L. Scales D 6.90
6 Auston Trusty Auston Trusty D 7.00
51 Colby Donovan Colby Donovan 67' D 6.30
21 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain A. Oxlade-Chamberlain 67' M 6.90
42 C. McGregor C. McGregor M 6.90
38 Daizen Maeda Daizen Maeda 76' M 6.30
8 B. Nygren B. Nygren 1 👟 M 7.00
13 Yang Hyun-Jun Yang Hyun-Jun 1 ⚽ M 6.60
11 Tomáš Čvančara Tomáš Čvančara 58' F 6.20
Bench
56 A. Ralston A. Ralston 31' D 6.30
43 Benjamin Arthur Benjamin Arthur D
49 J. Forrest J. Forrest 22' M 6.50
17 K. Ịheanachọ K. Ịheanachọ 1 ⚽ 40' F 7.20
14 L. McCowan L. McCowan 31' M 6.50
41 R. Hatate R. Hatate M
23 S. Tounekti S. Tounekti F
Best on the pitch
J. McCracken
J. McCracken
G · Dundee
7.70
· 50 pass
C. Congreve
C. Congreve
M · Dundee
7.50
2 shots · 28 pass
K. Ịheanachọ
K. Ịheanachọ
F · Celtic
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
B. Nygren
B. Nygren
M · Celtic
7.00
1 👟
2 shots · 43 pass
Auston Trusty
Auston Trusty
D · Celtic
7.00
· 82 pass
G · Celtic
7.00
· 37 pass
Dundee Dundee — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. McCracken G 98 7.70 — — — 50 30% 1 — —
D. Wright D 92 6.20 — — — 43 31% 2 — —
D 98 6.50 — — — 52 43% 3 — —
R. Astley D 84 6.00 — — — 33 28% 1 — 1
B. Halliday D 98 6.90 — — 1 41 31% 5 — —
E. Hamilton M 98 6.30 — — — 30 23% — — —
Tony Yogane M 73 6.90 — — — 18 17% — — —
M 67 6.20 — — 1 19 16% — — —
Y. Dhanda M 92 6.90 — — — 60 48% 1 — —
C. Congreve M 98 7.50 — — 2 28 23% 1 — —
Simon Murray F 67 6.70 1 — 2 10 8% 1 — —
Billy Koumetio D 6 — — — — 3 1% — — —
Scott Wright F 25 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
Celtic Celtic — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 98 7.00 — — — 37 27% — — —
K. Tierney D 76 6.60 — — — 30 20% 3 — —
L. Scales D 98 6.90 — — 1 81 71% 2 1 —
Auston Trusty D 98 7.00 — — — 82 71% — — —
Colby Donovan D 67 6.30 — — 1 39 33% 2 — —
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain M 67 6.90 — — 1 27 19% 1 — —
C. McGregor M 98 6.90 — — — 63 55% 2 — —
Daizen Maeda M 76 6.30 — — 1 12 11% 3 — —
B. Nygren M 98 7.00 — 1 2 43 36% 1 — —
Yang Hyun-Jun M 98 6.60 1 — 2 40 34% 3 — —
Tomáš Čvančara F 58 6.20 — — 4 11 9% — — —
A. Ralston D 31 6.30 — — — 16 13% — 1 —
J. Forrest M 22 6.50 — — — 9 7% — — —
K. Ịheanachọ F 40 7.20 1 — 1 7 5% — — —
L. McCowan M 31 6.50 — — 2 24 19% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundee vs Celtic?
The final score was Dundee 1–2 Celtic.
What did the model predict before Dundee vs Celtic?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Dundee win, 24% to a draw, and 48% to an Celtic win.