Scottish Premiership
· 1st Phase - 32
April 05, 2026 17:30
S. Murray
57'
(pen.)
8'
(ast. B. Nygren)
Yang Hyun-Jun
82'
(ast. M. Saracchi)
K. Iheanacho
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 48% win probability (draw 24%, Dundee 27%). The final result was Dundee 1–2 Celtic. In 4 previous meetings, Dundee have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Celtic.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
8
1.42
Actual xG
3.80
5
Saves
2
43%
Possession
57%
1
Corners
4
15
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
8'
ast. B. Nygren ·
Yang Hyun-Jun⚽
55'
⚽S. Murray
(pen.)
57'
58'
K. Iheanacho
/
T. Cvancara
63'
Liam Scales
67'
L. McCowan
/
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
F. Robertson
/ J. Cotterill
67'
S. Murray
/ A. Hay
67'
67'
A. Ralston
/
C. Donovan
T. Yogane
/ S. Wright
73'
76'
J. Forrest
/
D. Maeda
76'
M. Saracchi
/
K. Tierney
82'
ast. M. Saracchi ·
K. Iheanacho⚽
Ryan Astley
84'
Y. Dhanda
/ B. Koumetio
90'+2
D. Wright
/ C. Reilly
90'+2
90'+7
Anthony Ralston
Pre-match prediction
27.34%
Dundee
24.53%
X
48.13%
Celtic ←
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic)
48.13%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.26
1.42
+0.16
1.78
3.80
+2.02
Celtic dominated by xG (3.80 vs 1.42).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Jon McCracken
G
Jon McCracken
G
7
Drey Wright
D
Drey Wright
D
22
D
4
Ryan Astley
84'
D
Ryan Astley
84'
D
16
Brad Halliday
D
Brad Halliday
D
48
Ethan Hamilton
M
Ethan Hamilton
M
17
Tony Yogane
73'
M
Tony Yogane
73'
M
10
67'
M
21
Y. Dhanda
M
20
C. Congreve
M
C. Congreve
M
15
Simon Murray
1 ⚽
67'
F
Simon Murray
1 ⚽
67'
F
Bench
5
Billy Koumetio
6'
D
Billy Koumetio
6'
D
19
J. Westley
F
J. Westley
F
25
Scott Wright
25'
F
Scott Wright
25'
F
12
G
63
K. Tierney
76'
D
K. Tierney
76'
D
5
L. Scales
D
L. Scales
D
6
Auston Trusty
D
Auston Trusty
D
51
Colby Donovan
67'
D
Colby Donovan
67'
D
21
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
67'
M
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
67'
M
42
Callum McGregor
M
Callum McGregor
M
38
Daizen Maeda
76'
M
Daizen Maeda
76'
M
8
B. Nygren
1 👟
M
B. Nygren
1 👟
M
13
Yang Hyun-Jun
1 ⚽
M
Yang Hyun-Jun
1 ⚽
M
11
T. Cvancara
58'
F
Bench
43
B. Arthur
D
49
James Forrest
22'
M
James Forrest
22'
M
17
Kelechi Iheanacho
1 ⚽
40'
F
14
L. McCowan
31'
M
L. McCowan
31'
M
41
Reo Hatate
M
Reo Hatate
M
23
Sebastian Tounekti
F
Sebastian Tounekti
F
56
Tony Ralston
31'
D
Tony Ralston
31'
D
Best on the pitch
Jon McCracken
G · Dundee
7.70
· 50 pass
C. Congreve
M · Dundee
7.50
2 shots
· 28 pass
Kelechi Iheanacho
F · Celtic
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
B. Nygren
M · Celtic
7.00
1 👟
2 shots
· 43 pass
Auston Trusty
D · Celtic
7.00
· 82 pass
G · Celtic
7.00
· 37 pass
Dundee — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon McCracken | G | 98 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Drey Wright | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 43% | 3 | — | — | |
| Ryan Astley | D | 84 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Brad Halliday | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 31% | 5 | — | — |
| Ethan Hamilton | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Tony Yogane | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Y. Dhanda | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Congreve | M | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Murray | F | 67 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Billy Koumetio | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Scott Wright | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Celtic — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| K. Tierney | D | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Scales | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 71% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Auston Trusty | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 82 | 71% | — | — | — |
| Colby Donovan | D | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Callum McGregor | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Daizen Maeda | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Nygren | M | 98 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Yang Hyun-Jun | M | 98 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 40 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Cvancara | F | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| James Forrest | M | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Kelechi Iheanacho | F | 40 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. McCowan | M | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Tony Ralston | D | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundee vs Celtic?
The final score was Dundee 1–2 Celtic.
What did the model predict before Dundee vs Celtic?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Dundee win, 24% to a draw, and 48% to an Celtic win.