2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 28
April 04, 2026 22:30
80'
(ast. F. Reese)
M. Winkler
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dynamo Dresden a 40% win probability (draw 23%, Hertha BSC 36%). The final result was Dynamo Dresden 0–1 Hertha BSC. In 1 previous meetings, Dynamo Dresden have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hertha BSC.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
5
1.91
Actual xG
0.91
4
Saves
5
58%
Possession
42%
6
Corners
3
14
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Kofi Jeremy Amoako
26'
Robert Wagner
27'
40'
Toni Leistner
61'
Fabian Reese
J. Ceka
/ J. Lemmer
64'
66'
Josip Brekalo
68'
M. Dardai
/
M. Karbownik
68'
K. Eichhorn
/
K. Sessa
76'
77'
M. Cuisance
/
D. Kownacki
80'
ast. F. Reese ·
M. Winkler⚽
N. Hauptmann
/ L. Herrmann
80'
V. Vermeij
/ C. Daferner
80'
90'+3
J. Eitschberger
/
M. Winkler
K. Amoako
/ N. Froling
90'
Pre-match prediction
40.17%
Dynamo
23.65%
X
36.18%
Hertha ←
we assigned to the actual result (Hertha BSC)
36.18%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.67
1.91
+0.24
1.62
0.91
-0.71
Dynamo Dresden dominated by xG (1.91 vs 0.91).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
T. Schreiber
G
19
Alexander Rossipal
D
39
T. Keller
D
13
D
32
Jonas Sterner
D
6
K. Amoako
89'
M
18
Robert Wagner
M
20
B. Bobzien
M
27
N. Hauptmann
80'
M
7
J. Ceka
64'
M
9
V. Vermeij
80'
F
Bench
10
J. Lemmer
26'
M
8
L. Herrmann
10'
M
24
T. Menzel
M
1
G
33
Michał Karbownik
68'
D
Michał Karbownik
68'
D
44
Linus Gechter
D
Linus Gechter
D
37
Toni Leistner
D
Toni Leistner
D
42
D. Zeefuik
D
30
Paul Seguin
M
Paul Seguin
M
8
Kevin Sessa
68'
M
11
Fabian Reese
1 👟
M
Fabian Reese
1 👟
M
7
Josip Brekalo
66'
M
Josip Brekalo
66'
M
22
Marten Winkler
1 ⚽
89'
M
Marten Winkler
1 ⚽
89'
M
9
D. Kownacki
77'
F
Bench
6
Diego Demme
M
Diego Demme
M
2
Julian Eitschberger
1'
D
Julian Eitschberger
1'
D
23
Kennet Eichhorn
22'
M
Kennet Eichhorn
22'
M
18
L. Schuler
F
L. Schuler
F
10
Michaël Cuisance
13'
M
Michaël Cuisance
13'
M
Best on the pitch
Marten Winkler
M · Hertha
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
G · Hertha
8.00
· 41 pass
Toni Leistner
D · Hertha
7.70
· 52 pass
T. Keller
D · Dynamo
7.30
· 82 pass
D · Dynamo
7.30
· 65 pass
D. Zeefuik
D · Hertha
7.30
· 38 pass
Dynamo Dresden — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Schreiber | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Alexander Rossipal | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 54% | — | — | — |
| T. Keller | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 82 | 74% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 65 | 63% | 3 | — | — | |
| Jonas Sterner | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Amoako | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 57% | — | 1 | — |
| Robert Wagner | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 46% | 3 | 1 | — |
| B. Bobzien | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Hauptmann | M | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ceka | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Vermeij | F | 80 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Lemmer | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| L. Herrmann | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
Hertha BSC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Michał Karbownik | D | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Linus Gechter | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Toni Leistner | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Zeefuik | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| Paul Seguin | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Sessa | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabian Reese | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Josip Brekalo | M | 66 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | 1 |
| Marten Winkler | M | 89 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Kownacki | F | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Julian Eitschberger | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Kennet Eichhorn | M | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Michaël Cuisance | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC?
The final score was Dynamo Dresden 0–1 Hertha BSC.
What did the model predict before Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Dynamo Dresden win, 23% to a draw, and 36% to an Hertha BSC win.