← 2. Bundesliga
#13 · 38 pts
0 – 1
Final score
#6 · 51 pts
80' (ast. F. Reese) M. Winkler

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dynamo Dresden a 40% win probability (draw 23%, Hertha BSC 36%). The final result was Dynamo Dresden 0–1 Hertha BSC. In 1 previous meetings, Dynamo Dresden have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hertha BSC.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
5
1.91
Actual xG
0.91
4
Saves
5
58%
Possession
42%
6
Corners
3
14
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Kofi Jeremy Amoako
26'
Robert Wagner
27'
40'
Toni Leistner
61'
Fabian Reese
J. Ceka / J. Lemmer
64'
66'
Josip Brekalo
68'
M. Dardai / M. Karbownik
68'
K. Eichhorn / K. Sessa
76'
77'
M. Cuisance / D. Kownacki
80'
ast. F. Reese · M. Winkler
N. Hauptmann / L. Herrmann
80'
V. Vermeij / C. Daferner
80'
90'+3
J. Eitschberger / M. Winkler
K. Amoako / N. Froling
90'
Pre-match prediction
40.17%
Dynamo
23.65%
X
36.18%
Hertha ←
we assigned to the actual result (Hertha BSC) 36.18% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Dynamo
1.67
1.91
+0.24
Hertha
1.62
0.91
-0.71
Dynamo Dresden dominated by xG (1.91 vs 0.91). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 33 67
2 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 33 59
3 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 33 59
4 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 33 59
5 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 33 52
6 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 33 51
7 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 33 49
8 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 33 45
9 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 33 44
10 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 33 41
11 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 33 41
12 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 33 39
13 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 33 38
14 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 33 37
15 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 33 37
16 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 33 36
17 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 33 34
18 Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 33 30
Lineups
Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 4-2-3-1
1
T. Schreiber G 6.90
19
Alexander Rossipal D 6.20
39
T. Keller D 7.30
13
D 7.30
32
Jonas Sterner D 6.90
6
K. Amoako 89' M 7.20
18
Robert Wagner M 7.20
20
B. Bobzien M 6.50
27
N. Hauptmann 80' M 6.20
7
J. Ceka 64' M 6.90
9
V. Vermeij 80' F 5.60
Bench
10
J. Lemmer 26' M 6.90
8
L. Herrmann 10' M 6.70
24
T. Menzel M
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 4-2-3-1
1
G 8.00
33 Michał Karbownik Michał Karbownik 68' D 6.70
44 Linus Gechter Linus Gechter D 7.20
37 Toni Leistner Toni Leistner D 7.70
42
D. Zeefuik D 7.30
30 Paul Seguin Paul Seguin M 6.70
8
Kevin Sessa 68' M 6.70
11 Fabian Reese Fabian Reese 1 👟 M 6.90
7 Josip Brekalo Josip Brekalo 66' M 5.30
22 Marten Winkler Marten Winkler 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.20
9
D. Kownacki 77' F 6.60
Bench
6 Diego Demme Diego Demme M
2 Julian Eitschberger Julian Eitschberger 1' D
23 Kennet Eichhorn Kennet Eichhorn 22' M 6.50
18 L. Schuler L. Schuler F
10 Michaël Cuisance Michaël Cuisance 13' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
Marten Winkler
Marten Winkler
M · Hertha
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
G · Hertha
8.00
· 41 pass
Toni Leistner
Toni Leistner
D · Hertha
7.70
· 52 pass
T. Keller
D · Dynamo
7.30
· 82 pass
D · Dynamo
7.30
· 65 pass
D. Zeefuik
D · Hertha
7.30
· 38 pass
Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Schreiber G 90 6.90 31 24%
Alexander Rossipal D 90 6.20 61 54%
T. Keller D 90 7.30 82 74% 1
D 90 7.30 65 63% 3
Jonas Sterner D 90 6.90 2 49 35% 2
K. Amoako M 89 7.20 59 57% 1
Robert Wagner M 90 7.20 1 51 46% 3 1
B. Bobzien M 90 6.50 3 38 32% 1
N. Hauptmann M 80 6.20 1 23 15% 2
J. Ceka M 64 6.90 13 8% 2
V. Vermeij F 80 5.60 1 13 11%
J. Lemmer M 26 6.90 12 10%
L. Herrmann M 10 6.70 1 9 6%
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.00 41 26%
Michał Karbownik D 68 6.70 31 24% 1
Linus Gechter D 90 7.20 1 59 56%
Toni Leistner D 90 7.70 52 48% 1 1
D. Zeefuik D 90 7.30 38 34% 4
Paul Seguin M 90 6.70 1 42 36%
Kevin Sessa M 68 6.70 23 18% 1
Fabian Reese M 90 6.90 1 3 16 11% 1
Josip Brekalo M 66 5.30 1 20 16% 1
Marten Winkler M 89 8.20 1 2 25 17% 2
D. Kownacki F 77 6.60 1 12 9% 1
Julian Eitschberger D 1 1
Kennet Eichhorn M 22 6.50 8 6% 1
Michaël Cuisance M 13 6.50 1 1%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC?
The final score was Dynamo Dresden 0–1 Hertha BSC.
What did the model predict before Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Dynamo Dresden win, 23% to a draw, and 36% to an Hertha BSC win.