2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 April 04, 2026 20:30 Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden

Dynamo Dresden

#11 · 41 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Hertha BSC

#7 · 51 pts

80' (ast. F. Reese) M. Winkler

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dynamo Dresden a 40% win probability (draw 23%, Hertha BSC 36%). The final result was Dynamo Dresden 0–1 Hertha BSC. In 1 previous meetings, Dynamo Dresden have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hertha BSC.

Match statistics

9

Total shots

9

4

Shots on target

5

1.91

Actual xG

0.91

4

Saves

5

58%

Possession

42%

6

Corners

3

14

Tackles

12

2

🟨 Yellow cards

2

0

🟥 Red cards

1

Match Events

Kofi Jeremy Amoako

26'

Robert Wagner

27'

40'

Toni Leistner

61'

Fabian Reese

↕ J. Ceka / J. Lemmer

64'

66'

Josip Brekalo

68'

M. Dardai / M. Karbownik ↕

68'

K. Eichhorn / K. Sessa ↕

76'

77'

M. Cuisance / D. Kownacki ↕

80'

ast. F. Reese · M. Winkler⚽

↕ N. Hauptmann / L. Herrmann

80'

↕ V. Vermeij / C. Daferner

80'

90'+3

J. Eitschberger / M. Winkler ↕

↕ K. Amoako / N. Froling

90'

Pre-match prediction

40.17%

Dynamo

23.65%

X

36.18%

Hertha ←

we assigned to the actual result (Hertha BSC) 36.18% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Dynamo

1.67

1.91

+0.24

Hertha

1.62

0.91

-0.71

Dynamo Dresden dominated by xG (1.91 vs 0.91). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	34	70
2	SV Elversberg	34	62
3	SC Paderborn 07	34	62
4	Hannover 96	34	60
5	SV Darmstadt 98	34	52
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	34	52
7	Hertha BSC	34	51
8	1. FC Nürnberg	34	46
9	VfL Bochum	34	44
10	Karlsruher SC	34	44
11	Dynamo Dresden	34	41
12	Holstein Kiel	34	41
13	Arminia Bielefeld	34	39
14	1. FC Magdeburg	34	39
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	34	37
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	34	37
17	Fortuna Düsseldorf	34	37
18	Preußen Münster	34	30

Lineups

Dynamo Dresden 4-2-3-1

1 Tim Schreiber G 6.90

19 A. Rossipal D 6.20

39 Thomas Keller D 7.30

13

D 7.30

32 Jonas Sterner D 6.90

6 Kofi Jeremy Amoako 89' M 7.20

18 Robert Wagner M 7.20

20 Ben Bobzien M 6.50

27 Niklas Hauptmann 80' M 6.20

7 Jason Ceka 64' M 6.90

9 V. Vermeij 80' F 5.60

Bench

10 Jakob Lemmer 26' M 6.90

8 Luca Herrmann 10' M 6.70

24 Tony Menzel M

Hertha BSC 4-2-3-1

1

G 8.00

33 Michał Karbownik 68' D 6.70

44 Linus Gechter D 7.20

37 T. Leistner D 7.70

42 D. Zeefuik D 7.30

30 Paul Seguin M 6.70

8 Kevin Sessa 68' M 6.70

11 F. Reese 1 👟 M 6.90

7 J. Brekalo 66' M 5.30

22 M. Winkler 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.20

9

D. Kownacki 77' F 6.60

Bench

6 Diego Demme M

2 Julian Eitschberger 1' D

23 K. Eichhorn 22' M 6.50

18 L. Schuler F

10 Michaël Cuisance 13' M 6.50

Best on the pitch

M. Winkler

M · Hertha

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 25 pass

G · Hertha

8.00

· 41 pass

T. Leistner

D · Hertha

7.70

· 52 pass

Thomas Keller

D · Dynamo

7.30

· 82 pass

D · Dynamo

7.30

· 65 pass

D. Zeefuik

D · Hertha

7.30

· 38 pass

Dynamo Dresden — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Tim Schreiber	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	31	24%	—	—	—
A. Rossipal	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	61	54%	—	—	—
Thomas Keller	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	82	74%	1	—	—
	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	65	63%	3	—	—
Jonas Sterner	D	90	6.90	—	—	2	49	35%	2	—	—
Kofi Jeremy Amoako	M	89	7.20	—	—	—	59	57%	—	1	—
Robert Wagner	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	51	46%	3	1	—
Ben Bobzien	M	90	6.50	—	—	3	38	32%	1	—	—
Niklas Hauptmann	M	80	6.20	—	—	1	23	15%	2	—	—
Jason Ceka	M	64	6.90	—	—	—	13	8%	2	—	—
V. Vermeij	F	80	5.60	—	—	1	13	11%	—	—	—
Jakob Lemmer	M	26	6.90	—	—	—	12	10%	—	—	—
Luca Herrmann	M	10	6.70	—	—	1	9	6%	—	—	—

Hertha BSC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	8.00	—	—	—	41	26%	—	—	—
Michał Karbownik	D	68	6.70	—	—	—	31	24%	1	—	—
Linus Gechter	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	59	56%	—	—	—
T. Leistner	D	90	7.70	—	—	—	52	48%	1	1	—
D. Zeefuik	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	38	34%	4	—	—
Paul Seguin	M	90	6.70	—	—	1	42	36%	—	—	—
Kevin Sessa	M	68	6.70	—	—	—	23	18%	1	—	—
F. Reese	M	90	6.90	—	1	3	16	11%	—	1	—
J. Brekalo	M	66	5.30	—	—	1	20	16%	—	—	1
M. Winkler	M	89	8.20	1	—	2	25	17%	2	—	—
D. Kownacki	F	77	6.60	—	—	1	12	9%	1	—	—
Julian Eitschberger	D	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	—	—
K. Eichhorn	M	22	6.50	—	—	—	8	6%	1	—	—
Michaël Cuisance	M	13	6.50	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—