2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 April 04, 2026 20:30 Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden

Dynamo Dresden

#17 · 4 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Hertha BSC

#1 · 18 pts

80' (ast. F. Reese) M. Winkler

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dynamo Dresden a 40% win probability (draw 23%, Hertha BSC 36%). The final result was Dynamo Dresden 0–1 Hertha BSC. In 2 previous meetings, Dynamo Dresden have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Hertha BSC.

Match statistics

9

Total shots

9

4

Shots on target

5

1.91

Actual xG

0.91

4

Saves

5

58%

Possession

42%

6

Corners

3

14

Tackles

12

2

🟨 Yellow cards

2

0

🟥 Red cards

1

Match Events

Kofi Jeremy Amoako

26'

Robert Wagner

27'

40'

Toni Leistner

61'

Fabian Reese

↕ J. Ceka / J. Lemmer

64'

66'

Josip Brekalo

68'

M. Dardai / M. Karbownik ↕

68'

K. Eichhorn / K. Sessa ↕

76'

77'

M. Cuisance / D. Kownacki ↕

80'

ast. F. Reese · M. Winkler⚽

↕ N. Hauptmann / L. Herrmann

80'

↕ V. Vermeij / C. Daferner

80'

90'+3

J. Eitschberger / M. Winkler ↕

↕ K. Amoako / N. Froling

90'

Pre-match prediction

40.17%

Dynamo

23.65%

X

36.18%

Hertha ←

we assigned to the actual result (Hertha BSC) 36.18% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Dynamo

1.67

1.91

+0.24

Hertha

1.62

0.91

-0.71

Dynamo Dresden dominated by xG (1.91 vs 0.91). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	6	18
2	1. FC Nürnberg	6	16
3	1. FC Heidenheim	6	13
4	VfL Wolfsburg	6	11
5	1. FC Kaiserslautern	6	11
6	1. FC Magdeburg	6	10
7	Energie Cottbus	6	8
8	FC St. Pauli	6	7
9	VfL Bochum	6	7
10	Hannover 96	6	7
11	VfL Osnabrück	6	7
12	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	6	6
13	Arminia Bielefeld	6	5
14	Karlsruher SC	6	5
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	6	4
16	Holstein Kiel	6	4
17	Dynamo Dresden	6	4
18	SV Darmstadt 98	6	4

Lineups

Dynamo Dresden 4-2-3-1

1 T. Schreiber G 6.90

19 A. Rossipal D 6.20

39 T. Keller D 7.30

13

D 7.30

32 J. Sterner D 6.90

6 Kofi Jeremy Amoako 89' M 7.20

18 R. Wagner M 7.20

20 B. Bobzien M 6.50

27 N. Hauptmann 80' M 6.20

7 J. Çeka 64' M 6.90

9 V. Vermeij 80' F 5.60

Bench

10 J. Lemmer 26' M 6.90

8 L. Herrmann 10' M 6.70

24 Tony Menzel M

Hertha BSC 4-2-3-1

1

G 8.00

33 Michał Karbownik 68' D 6.70

44 L. Gechter D 7.20

37 T. Leistner D 7.70

42 D. Zeefuik D 7.30

30 P. Seguin M 6.70

8 K. Sessa 68' M 6.70

11 F. Reese 1 👟 M 6.90

7 J. Brekalo 66' M 5.30

22 M. Winkler 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.20

9

D. Kownacki 77' F 6.60

Bench

6 Diego Demme M

2 J. Eitschberger 1' D

23 K. Eichhorn 22' M 6.50

18 L. Schuler F

10 M. Cuisance 13' M 6.50

Best on the pitch

M. Winkler

M · Hertha

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 25 pass

G · Hertha

8.00

· 41 pass

T. Leistner

D · Hertha

7.70

· 52 pass

T. Keller

D · Dynamo

7.30

· 82 pass

D · Dynamo

7.30

· 65 pass

D. Zeefuik

D · Hertha

7.30

· 38 pass

Dynamo Dresden — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
T. Schreiber	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	31	24%	—	—	—
A. Rossipal	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	61	54%	—	—	—
T. Keller	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	82	74%	1	—	—
	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	65	63%	3	—	—
J. Sterner	D	90	6.90	—	—	2	49	35%	2	—	—
Kofi Jeremy Amoako	M	89	7.20	—	—	—	59	57%	—	1	—
R. Wagner	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	51	46%	3	1	—
B. Bobzien	M	90	6.50	—	—	3	38	32%	1	—	—
N. Hauptmann	M	80	6.20	—	—	1	23	15%	2	—	—
J. Çeka	M	64	6.90	—	—	—	13	8%	2	—	—
V. Vermeij	F	80	5.60	—	—	1	13	11%	—	—	—
J. Lemmer	M	26	6.90	—	—	—	12	10%	—	—	—
L. Herrmann	M	10	6.70	—	—	1	9	6%	—	—	—

Hertha BSC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	8.00	—	—	—	41	26%	—	—	—
Michał Karbownik	D	68	6.70	—	—	—	31	24%	1	—	—
L. Gechter	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	59	56%	—	—	—
T. Leistner	D	90	7.70	—	—	—	52	48%	1	1	—
D. Zeefuik	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	38	34%	4	—	—
P. Seguin	M	90	6.70	—	—	1	42	36%	—	—	—
K. Sessa	M	68	6.70	—	—	—	23	18%	1	—	—
F. Reese	M	90	6.90	—	1	3	16	11%	—	1	—
J. Brekalo	M	66	5.30	—	—	1	20	16%	—	—	1
M. Winkler	M	89	8.20	1	—	2	25	17%	2	—	—
D. Kownacki	F	77	6.60	—	—	1	12	9%	1	—	—
J. Eitschberger	D	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	—	—
K. Eichhorn	M	22	6.50	—	—	—	8	6%	1	—	—
M. Cuisance	M	13	6.50	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—