Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30 April 18, 2026 20:30

Eintracht Frankfurt

#8 · 43 pts

1 – 3

Final score

RB Leipzig

#3 · 65 pts

H. Larsson (ast. A. Amaimouni) 34'

27' (ast. L. Klostermann) Y. Diomande

70' (ast. M. Finkgrafe) A. Nusa

81' (ast. A. Nusa) C. Harder

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave RB Leipzig a 52% win probability (draw 19%, Eintracht Frankfurt 28%). The final result was Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 RB Leipzig. In 1 previous meetings, Eintracht Frankfurt have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for RB Leipzig.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

14

5

Shots on target

8

1.26

Actual xG

1.84

5

Saves

4

51%

Possession

49%

4

Corners

6

20

Tackles

24

0

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

27'

ast. L. Klostermann · Y. Diomande⚽

⚽H. Larsson · ast. A. Amaimouni

34'

40'

M. Finkgrafe

59'

B. Gruda / A. Ouedraogo ↕

↕ O. Hojlund / C. Y. Uzun

64'

70'

ast. M. Finkgrafe · A. Nusa⚽

↕ A. Amaimouni / A. Knauff

71'

↕ H. Larsson / E. Skhiri

72'

79'

C. Harder / Romulo Cardoso ↕

79'

D. Raum / M. Finkgrafe ↕

81'

ast. A. Nusa · C. Harder⚽

↕ A. Theate / E. Baum

81'

90'+3

J. Bakayoko / A. Nusa ↕

90'+4

B. Henrichs / L. Klostermann ↕

Pre-match prediction

28.57%

Eintracht

19.42%

X

52.0%

RB ←

we assigned to the actual result (RB Leipzig) 52.0% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Eintracht

1.48

1.26

-0.22

RB

2.39

1.84

-0.55

RB Leipzig dominated by xG (1.84 vs 1.26). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	33	86
2	Borussia Dortmund	33	70
3	RB Leipzig	33	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	33	61
5	1899 Hoffenheim	33	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	33	58
7	SC Freiburg	33	44
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	33	43
9	FC Augsburg	33	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	33	37
11	Hamburger SV	33	37
12	Union Berlin	33	36
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach	33	35
14	1. FC Köln	33	32
15	Werder Bremen	33	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	33	26
17	1. FC Heidenheim	33	26
18	FC St. Pauli	33	26

Lineups

Eintracht Frankfurt 3-4-2-1

23

G 7.30

3

Arthur Theate 81' D 6.50

4

D 6.30

5

A. Amenda D 6.30

21

N. Brown M 7.20

6

O. Hojlund 64' M 6.90

16

H. Larsson 1 ⚽ 71' M 6.90

8

F. Chaibi M 6.90

25

A. Kalimuendo F 6.90

29

A. Amaimouni 1 👟 71' F 6.70

9

J. Burkardt F 6.50

Bench

7

A. Knauff 19' F 6.90

42

C. Y. Uzun 26' M 6.60

15

E. Skhiri 19' M 6.90

31

L. Arrhov M

20 R. Dōan M

RB Leipzig 4-1-4-1

26

G 7.20

35

M. Finkgrafe 1 👟 79' D 6.60

5

E. Bitshiabu D 7.70

16

L. Klostermann 1 👟 89' D 7.20

17

R. Baku D 7.20

13

Nicolas Seiwald M 6.90

7 A. Nusa 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' M 8.30

14 C. Baumgartner M 6.60

20

A. Ouedraogo 59' M 6.20

49

Y. Diomande 1 ⚽ M 8.60

40

Romulo Cardoso 79' F 6.50

Bench

10

B. Gruda 31' F 6.20

11

C. Harder 1 ⚽ 11' F 7.30

23

C. Lukeba D

22 D. Raum 11' D 6.60

27

Tidiam Gomis F

Best on the pitch

Y. Diomande

M · RB

8.60

1 ⚽

3 shots · 29 pass

A. Nusa

M · RB

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 16 pass

E. Bitshiabu

D · RB

7.70

1 shots · 53 pass

G · Eintracht

7.30

· 32 pass

C. Harder

F · RB

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 2 pass

R. Baku

D · RB

7.20

1 shots · 33 pass

Eintracht Frankfurt — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	32	22%	1	—	—
Arthur Theate	D	81	6.50	—	—	—	59	55%	1	—	—
	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	37	34%	2	—	—
A. Amenda	D	90	6.30	—	—	1	40	33%	—	—	—
N. Brown	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	32	26%	3	—	—
O. Hojlund	M	64	6.90	—	—	2	24	20%	3	—	—
H. Larsson	M	71	6.90	1	—	1	21	18%	—	—	—
F. Chaibi	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	43	34%	4	—	—
A. Kalimuendo	F	90	6.90	—	—	1	16	14%	1	—	—
A. Amaimouni	F	71	6.70	—	1	3	7	6%	2	—	—
J. Burkardt	F	90	6.50	—	—	1	14	11%	1	—	—
A. Knauff	F	19	6.90	—	—	1	11	8%	1	—	—
C. Y. Uzun	M	26	6.60	—	—	—	17	15%	—	—	—
E. Skhiri	M	19	6.90	—	—	—	16	13%	1	—	—

RB Leipzig — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	46	36%	—	—	—
M. Finkgrafe	D	79	6.60	—	1	—	24	20%	1	1	—
E. Bitshiabu	D	90	7.70	—	—	1	53	50%	2	—	—
L. Klostermann	D	89	7.20	—	1	1	47	42%	3	—	—
R. Baku	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	33	28%	4	—	—
Nicolas Seiwald	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	20	16%	3	—	—
A. Nusa	M	89	8.30	1	1	1	16	11%	2	—	—
C. Baumgartner	M	90	6.60	—	—	1	45	36%	4	—	—
A. Ouedraogo	M	59	6.20	—	—	1	10	6%	—	—	—
Y. Diomande	M	90	8.60	1	—	3	29	26%	2	—	—
Romulo Cardoso	F	79	6.50	—	—	2	17	12%	2	—	—
B. Gruda	F	31	6.20	—	—	1	7	5%	1	—	—
C. Harder	F	11	7.30	1	—	1	2	1%	—	—	—
D. Raum	D	11	6.60	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—