Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 30
April 18, 2026 18:30
H. Larsson
(ast. A. Amaimouni)
34'
27'
(ast. L. Klostermann)
Y. Diomande
70'
(ast. M. Finkgrafe)
A. Nusa
81'
(ast. A. Nusa)
C. Harder
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave RB Leipzig a 52% win probability (draw 19%, Eintracht Frankfurt 28%). The final result was Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 RB Leipzig. In 1 previous meetings, Eintracht Frankfurt have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for RB Leipzig.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
8
1.26
Actual xG
1.84
5
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
6
20
Tackles
24
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
27'
ast. L. Klostermann ·
Y. Diomande⚽
⚽H. Larsson
· ast. A. Amaimouni
34'
40'
M. Finkgrafe
59'
B. Gruda
/
A. Ouedraogo
O. Hojlund
/ C. Y. Uzun
64'
70'
ast. M. Finkgrafe ·
A. Nusa⚽
A. Amaimouni
/ A. Knauff
71'
H. Larsson
/ E. Skhiri
72'
79'
C. Harder
/
Romulo Cardoso
79'
D. Raum
/
M. Finkgrafe
81'
ast. A. Nusa ·
C. Harder⚽
A. Theate
/ E. Baum
81'
90'+3
J. Bakayoko
/
A. Nusa
90'+4
B. Henrichs
/
L. Klostermann
Pre-match prediction
28.57%
Eintracht
19.42%
X
52.0%
RB ←
we assigned to the actual result (RB Leipzig)
52.0%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
1.26
-0.22
2.39
1.84
-0.55
RB Leipzig dominated by xG (1.84 vs 1.26).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
G
3
Arthur Theate
81'
D
Arthur Theate
81'
D
4
D
5
Aurèle Amenda
D
Aurèle Amenda
D
21
Nathaniel Brown
M
Nathaniel Brown
M
6
O. Hojlund
64'
M
16
Hugo Larsson
1 ⚽
71'
M
Hugo Larsson
1 ⚽
71'
M
8
Farès Chaïbi
M
Farès Chaïbi
M
25
Arnaud Kalimuendo
F
Arnaud Kalimuendo
F
29
Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab
1 👟
71'
F
Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab
1 👟
71'
F
9
J. Burkardt
F
J. Burkardt
F
Bench
7
Ansgar Knauff
19'
F
Ansgar Knauff
19'
F
42
C. Uzun
26'
M
C. Uzun
26'
M
15
E. Skhiri
19'
M
E. Skhiri
19'
M
31
L. Arrhov
M
20
R. Dōan
M
R. Dōan
M
26
G
35
Max Finkgräfe
1 👟
79'
D
Max Finkgräfe
1 👟
79'
D
5
El Chadaille Bitshiabu
D
El Chadaille Bitshiabu
D
16
L. Klostermann
1 👟
89'
D
17
Ridle Baku
D
Ridle Baku
D
13
Nicolas Seiwald
M
Nicolas Seiwald
M
7
A. Nusa
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
A. Nusa
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
14
C. Baumgartner
M
C. Baumgartner
M
20
Assan Ouédraogo
59'
M
Assan Ouédraogo
59'
M
49
Yan Diomande
1 ⚽
M
Yan Diomande
1 ⚽
M
40
Rômulo
79'
F
Rômulo
79'
F
Bench
10
Brajan Gruda
31'
F
Brajan Gruda
31'
F
23
Castello Lukeba
D
Castello Lukeba
D
11
Conrad Harder
1 ⚽
11'
F
Conrad Harder
1 ⚽
11'
F
22
D. Raum
11'
D
D. Raum
11'
D
27
Tidiam Gomis
F
Tidiam Gomis
F
Best on the pitch
Yan Diomande
M · RB
8.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 29 pass
A. Nusa
M · RB
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 16 pass
El Chadaille Bitshiabu
D · RB
7.70
1 shots
· 53 pass
G · Eintracht
7.30
· 32 pass
Conrad Harder
F · RB
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
Ridle Baku
D · RB
7.20
1 shots
· 33 pass
Eintracht Frankfurt — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | 1 | — | — | |
| Arthur Theate | D | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 59 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 2 | — | — | |
| Aurèle Amenda | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Nathaniel Brown | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Hojlund | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Hugo Larsson | M | 71 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Farès Chaïbi | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| Arnaud Kalimuendo | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab | F | 71 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Burkardt | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Ansgar Knauff | F | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Uzun | M | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| E. Skhiri | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
RB Leipzig — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| Max Finkgräfe | D | 79 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| El Chadaille Bitshiabu | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Klostermann | D | 89 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 47 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Ridle Baku | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Nicolas Seiwald | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Nusa | M | 89 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Baumgartner | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Assan Ouédraogo | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Yan Diomande | M | 90 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 29 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Rômulo | F | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Brajan Gruda | F | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Conrad Harder | F | 11 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Raum | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig?
The final score was Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 RB Leipzig.
What did the model predict before Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Eintracht Frankfurt win, 19% to a draw, and 52% to an RB Leipzig win.