Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30 April 18, 2026 18:30

Eintracht Frankfurt

#8 · 4 pts

1 – 3

Final score

RB Leipzig

#10 · 3 pts

H. Larsson (ast. A. Amaimouni) 34'

27' (ast. L. Klostermann) Y. Diomande

70' (ast. M. Finkgrafe) A. Nusa

81' (ast. A. Nusa) C. Harder

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave RB Leipzig a 52% win probability (draw 19%, Eintracht Frankfurt 28%). The final result was Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 RB Leipzig. In 1 previous meetings, Eintracht Frankfurt have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for RB Leipzig.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

14

5

Shots on target

8

1.26

Actual xG

1.84

5

Saves

4

51%

Possession

49%

4

Corners

6

20

Tackles

24

0

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

27'

ast. L. Klostermann · Y. Diomande⚽

⚽H. Larsson · ast. A. Amaimouni

34'

40'

M. Finkgrafe

59'

B. Gruda / A. Ouedraogo ↕

↕ O. Hojlund / C. Y. Uzun

64'

70'

ast. M. Finkgrafe · A. Nusa⚽

↕ A. Amaimouni / A. Knauff

71'

↕ H. Larsson / E. Skhiri

72'

79'

C. Harder / Romulo Cardoso ↕

79'

D. Raum / M. Finkgrafe ↕

81'

ast. A. Nusa · C. Harder⚽

↕ A. Theate / E. Baum

81'

90'+3

J. Bakayoko / A. Nusa ↕

90'+4

B. Henrichs / L. Klostermann ↕

Pre-match prediction

28.57%

Eintracht

19.42%

X

52.0%

RB ←

we assigned to the actual result (RB Leipzig) 52.0% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Eintracht

1.48

1.26

-0.22

RB

2.39

1.84

-0.55

RB Leipzig dominated by xG (1.84 vs 1.26). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	SC Freiburg	3	9
2	Borussia Dortmund	3	9
3	FC Augsburg	3	7
4	SV Elversberg	2	6
5	Bayern München	2	4
6	Bayer Leverkusen	3	4
7	FSV Mainz 05	3	4
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	4
9	FC Schalke 04	3	4
10	RB Leipzig	2	3
11	1899 Hoffenheim	3	3
12	Werder Bremen	2	3
13	VfB Stuttgart	3	3
14	1. FC Köln	2	3
15	SC Paderborn 07	3	1
16	Union Berlin	3	1
17	Hamburger SV	2	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3	0

Lineups

Eintracht Frankfurt 3-4-2-1

23

G 7.30

3 A. Theate 81' D 6.50

4

D 6.30

5 A. Amenda D 6.30

21 N. Brown M 7.20

6 O. Højlund 64' M 6.90

16 H. Larsson 1 ⚽ 71' M 6.90

8 F. Chaïbi M 6.90

25 A. Kalimuendo F 6.90

29 A. Amaimouni 1 👟 71' F 6.70

9 J. Burkardt F 6.50

Bench

7 Ansgar Knauff 19' F 6.90

42 C. Uzun 26' M 6.60

15 E. Skhiri 19' M 6.90

31 L. Arrhov M

20 R. Dōan M

RB Leipzig 4-1-4-1

26

G 7.20

35 Max Finkgräfe 1 👟 79' D 6.60

5 E. Bitshiabu D 7.70

16 L. Klostermann 1 👟 89' D 7.20

17 R. Baku D 7.20

13 N. Seiwald M 6.90

7 A. Nusa 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' M 8.30

14 C. Baumgartner M 6.60

20 A. Ouédraogo 59' M 6.20

49 Y. Diomande 1 ⚽ M 8.60

40 Rômulo 79' F 6.50

Bench

10 B. Gruda 31' F 6.20

11 C. Harder 1 ⚽ 11' F 7.30

23 C. Lukeba D

22 D. Raum 11' D 6.60

27 T. Gomis F

Best on the pitch

Y. Diomande

M · RB

8.60

1 ⚽

3 shots · 29 pass

A. Nusa

M · RB

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 16 pass

E. Bitshiabu

D · RB

7.70

1 shots · 53 pass

G · Eintracht

7.30

· 32 pass

C. Harder

F · RB

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 2 pass

R. Baku

D · RB

7.20

1 shots · 33 pass

Eintracht Frankfurt — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	32	22%	1	—	—
A. Theate	D	81	6.50	—	—	—	59	55%	1	—	—
	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	37	34%	2	—	—
A. Amenda	D	90	6.30	—	—	1	40	33%	—	—	—
N. Brown	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	32	26%	3	—	—
O. Højlund	M	64	6.90	—	—	2	24	20%	3	—	—
H. Larsson	M	71	6.90	1	—	1	21	18%	—	—	—
F. Chaïbi	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	43	34%	4	—	—
A. Kalimuendo	F	90	6.90	—	—	1	16	14%	1	—	—
A. Amaimouni	F	71	6.70	—	1	3	7	6%	2	—	—
J. Burkardt	F	90	6.50	—	—	1	14	11%	1	—	—
Ansgar Knauff	F	19	6.90	—	—	1	11	8%	1	—	—
C. Uzun	M	26	6.60	—	—	—	17	15%	—	—	—
E. Skhiri	M	19	6.90	—	—	—	16	13%	1	—	—

RB Leipzig — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	46	36%	—	—	—
Max Finkgräfe	D	79	6.60	—	1	—	24	20%	1	1	—
E. Bitshiabu	D	90	7.70	—	—	1	53	50%	2	—	—
L. Klostermann	D	89	7.20	—	1	1	47	42%	3	—	—
R. Baku	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	33	28%	4	—	—
N. Seiwald	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	20	16%	3	—	—
A. Nusa	M	89	8.30	1	1	1	16	11%	2	—	—
C. Baumgartner	M	90	6.60	—	—	1	45	36%	4	—	—
A. Ouédraogo	M	59	6.20	—	—	1	10	6%	—	—	—
Y. Diomande	M	90	8.60	1	—	3	29	26%	2	—	—
Rômulo	F	79	6.50	—	—	2	17	12%	2	—	—
B. Gruda	F	31	6.20	—	—	1	7	5%	1	—	—
C. Harder	F	11	7.30	1	—	1	2	1%	—	—	—
D. Raum	D	11	6.60	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—