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La Liga · Regular Season - 33 April 22, 2026 21:00
Elche
#17 · 39 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Atletico Madrid
#4 · 66 pts
D. Affengruber (ast. Tete Morente) 18'
Andre Silva 33' (pen.)
Andre Silva (ast. D. Affengruber) 75'
10' (ast. R. Mendoza) N. Gonzalez
34' (ast. R. Le Normand) N. Gonzalez

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Elche a 37% win probability (draw 25%, Atletico Madrid 37%). The final result was Elche 3–2 Atletico Madrid. In 1 previous meetings, Elche have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Atletico Madrid.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
3
2.67
Actual xG
1.01
1
Saves
4
72%
Possession
28%
13
Corners
3
13
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
10'
ast. R. Mendoza · N. Gonzalez⚽
⚽D. Affengruber · ast. Tete Morente
18'
30'
T. Almada
⚽Andre Silva (pen.)
33'
34'
ast. R. Le Normand · N. Gonzalez⚽
36'
C. Lenglet
38'
J. Diaz
A. Febas
45'+4
Buba Sangare
45'+4
46'
N. Molina / R. Le Normand ↕
46'
M. Pubill / J. Diaz ↕
↕ Buba Sangare / V. Chust
60'
62'
P. Barrios / O. Vargas ↕
62'
A. Griezmann / R. Mendoza ↕
62'
G. Simeone / A. Baena ↕
↕ Tete Morente / Josan
67'
↕ R. Mir / A. Rodriguez
67'
↕ M. Neto / L. Cepeda
67'
⚽Andre Silva · ast. D. Affengruber
75'
↕ L. Petrot / P. Bigas
82'
Pre-match prediction
37.17%
Elche ←
25.11%
X
37.72%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Elche) 37.17% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Elche
1.45
2.67
+1.22
Atletico
1.41
1.01
-0.4
Elche dominated by xG (2.67 vs 1.01). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 36 91
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 36 80
3 Villarreal Villarreal 36 69
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 36 66
5 Real Betis Real Betis 36 57
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 36 50
7 Getafe Getafe 36 48
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 36 45
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 36 44
10 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 36 44
11 Valencia Valencia 36 43
12 Sevilla Sevilla 36 43
13 Osasuna Osasuna 36 42
14 Espanyol Espanyol 36 42
15 Girona Girona 36 40
16 Alaves Alaves 36 40
17 Elche Elche 36 39
18 Mallorca Mallorca 36 39
19 Levante Levante 36 39
20 Oviedo Oviedo 36 29
Lineups
Elche Elche 3-5-2
1
G 6.60
21 Léo Pétrot Léo Pétrot 82' D 7.20
22 David Affengruber David Affengruber 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 9.50
42 Buba Sangare Buba Sangare 60' D 6.70
11 Germán Valera Germán Valera M 6.90
16 Martim Neto Martim Neto 67' M 6.90
14 Aleix Febas Aleix Febas M 7.70
12 Gonzalo Villar Gonzalo Villar M 6.90
15 Tete Morente Tete Morente 1 👟 67' M 6.20
9 André Silva André Silva 2 ⚽ F 7.70
10
Rafa Mir 67' F 5.70
Bench
3 Adrià Pedrosa Adrià Pedrosa D
20 Álvaro Rodriguez Álvaro Rodriguez 27' F 6.60
39 Hector Fort Hector Fort D
18 John Donald John Donald D
24 Lucas Cepeda Lucas Cepeda 27' F 7.30
6 Pedro Bigas Pedro Bigas 12' D 6.60
23 Víctor Chust Víctor Chust 34' D 7.00
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
13
G 6.00
34 Julio Díaz Julio Díaz 45' D 6.30
15 Clément Lenglet Clément Lenglet D 6.20
24 Robin Le Normand Robin Le Normand 1 👟 45' D 6.20
32 Javier Boñar Javier Boñar D 6.20
21 Obed Vargas Obed Vargas 62' M 7.00
4 Rodrigo Mendoza Rodrigo Mendoza 1 👟 62' M 5.90
5
J. Cardoso M 6.30
23 N. González N. González 2 ⚽ M 9.20
11 T. Almada T. Almada 30' F 4.30
10 Álex Baena Álex Baena 62' F 6.20
Bench
7 Antoine Griezmann Antoine Griezmann 32' F 6.90
20 G. Simeone G. Simeone 32' F 6.30
37 Iker Luque Iker Luque F
47 Javi Morcillo Javi Morcillo M
1 Juan Musso Juan Musso G
18 Marc Pubill Marc Pubill 49' D 6.70
61 Miguel Llorente Miguel Llorente F
16 N. Molina N. Molina 49' D 6.20
8
P. Barrios 32' M 6.60
29 Rayane Belaid Rayane Belaid F
Best on the pitch
David Affengruber
David Affengruber
D · Elche
9.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 107 pass
N. González
N. González
M · Atletico
9.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
Aleix Febas
Aleix Febas
M · Elche
7.70
1 shots · 82 pass
André Silva
André Silva
F · Elche
7.70
2 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
Lucas Cepeda
Lucas Cepeda
F · Elche
7.30
1 shots · 8 pass
Léo Pétrot
Léo Pétrot
D · Elche
7.20
· 74 pass
Elche Elche — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.60 — — — 27 23% — — —
Léo Pétrot D 82 7.20 — — — 74 62% — — —
David Affengruber D 94 9.50 1 1 2 107 95% 1 — —
Buba Sangare D 60 6.70 — — — 61 59% 2 1 —
Germán Valera M 94 6.90 — — 1 40 31% — — —
Martim Neto M 67 6.90 — — — 35 28% 3 — —
Aleix Febas M 94 7.70 — — 1 82 75% 2 1 —
Gonzalo Villar M 94 6.90 — — — 89 84% — — —
Tete Morente M 67 6.20 — 1 — 40 34% — — —
André Silva F 94 7.70 2 — 3 16 13% 2 — —
Rafa Mir F 67 5.70 — — 2 13 10% — — —
Álvaro Rodriguez F 27 6.60 — — 2 4 1% — — —
Lucas Cepeda F 27 7.30 — — 1 8 8% 2 — —
Pedro Bigas D 12 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
Víctor Chust D 34 7.00 — — — 36 35% 1 — —
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.00 — — — 35 15% — — —
Julio Díaz D 45 6.30 — — — 10 8% 3 1 —
Clément Lenglet D 94 6.20 — — — 24 19% 2 1 —
Robin Le Normand D 45 6.20 — 1 — 17 10% — — —
Javier Boñar D 94 6.20 — — — 21 14% 2 — —
Obed Vargas M 62 7.00 — — — 11 10% 2 — —
Rodrigo Mendoza M 62 5.90 — 1 — 13 10% — — —
J. Cardoso M 94 6.30 — — — 25 21% 3 — —
N. González M 94 9.20 2 — 3 22 16% 3 — —
T. Almada F 30 4.30 — — — 8 7% 1 — 1
Álex Baena F 62 6.20 — — — 10 6% — — —
Antoine Griezmann F 32 6.90 — — 1 18 14% 1 — —
G. Simeone F 32 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
Marc Pubill D 49 6.70 — — — 13 11% 1 — —
N. Molina D 49 6.20 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
P. Barrios M 32 6.60 — — 1 17 17% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Elche vs Atletico Madrid?
The final score was Elche 3–2 Atletico Madrid.
What did the model predict before Elche vs Atletico Madrid?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Elche win, 25% to a draw, and 37% to an Atletico Madrid win.