D. Affengruber
(ast. Tete Morente)
18'
Andre Silva
33'
(pen.)
Andre Silva
(ast. D. Affengruber)
75'
10'
(ast. R. Mendoza)
N. Gonzalez
34'
(ast. R. Le Normand)
N. Gonzalez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Elche a 37% win probability (draw 25%, Atletico Madrid 37%). The final result was Elche 3–2 Atletico Madrid. In 1 previous meetings, Elche have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Atletico Madrid.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
3
2.67
Actual xG
1.01
1
Saves
4
72%
Possession
28%
13
Corners
3
13
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
10'
ast. R. Mendoza ·
N. Gonzalez⚽
⚽D. Affengruber
· ast. Tete Morente
18'
30'
T. Almada
⚽Andre Silva
(pen.)
33'
34'
ast. R. Le Normand ·
N. Gonzalez⚽
36'
C. Lenglet
38'
J. Diaz
A. Febas
45'+4
Buba Sangare
45'+4
46'
N. Molina
/
R. Le Normand
46'
M. Pubill
/
J. Diaz
Buba Sangare
/ V. Chust
60'
62'
P. Barrios
/
O. Vargas
62'
A. Griezmann
/
R. Mendoza
62'
G. Simeone
/
A. Baena
Tete Morente
/ Josan
67'
R. Mir
/ A. Rodriguez
67'
M. Neto
/ L. Cepeda
67'
⚽Andre Silva
· ast. D. Affengruber
75'
L. Petrot
/ P. Bigas
82'
Pre-match prediction
37.17%
Elche ←
25.11%
X
37.72%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Elche)
37.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.45
2.67
+1.22
1.41
1.01
-0.4
Elche dominated by xG (2.67 vs 1.01).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
21
Léo Pétrot
82'
D
22
David Affengruber
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
David Affengruber
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
42
Buba Sangare
60'
D
Buba Sangare
60'
D
11
Germán Valera
M
Germán Valera
M
16
Martim Neto
67'
M
Martim Neto
67'
M
14
Aleix Febas
M
Aleix Febas
M
12
Gonzalo Villar
M
Gonzalo Villar
M
15
Tete Morente
1 👟
67'
M
Tete Morente
1 👟
67'
M
9
André Silva
2 ⚽
F
André Silva
2 ⚽
F
10
Rafa Mir
67'
F
Rafa Mir
67'
F
Bench
3
Adrià Pedrosa
D
Adrià Pedrosa
D
20
Álvaro Rodriguez
27'
F
Álvaro Rodriguez
27'
F
39
Hector Fort
D
Hector Fort
D
18
John Donald
D
John Donald
D
24
Lucas Cepeda
27'
F
Lucas Cepeda
27'
F
6
Pedro Bigas
12'
D
Pedro Bigas
12'
D
23
Víctor Chust
34'
D
Víctor Chust
34'
D
13
G
34
Julio Díaz
45'
D
Julio Díaz
45'
D
15
Clément Lenglet
D
24
Robin Le Normand
1 👟
45'
D
Robin Le Normand
1 👟
45'
D
32
Javier Boñar
D
Javier Boñar
D
21
Obed Vargas
62'
M
Obed Vargas
62'
M
4
Rodrigo Mendoza
1 👟
62'
M
Rodrigo Mendoza
1 👟
62'
M
5
J. Cardoso
M
23
N. González
2 ⚽
M
N. González
2 ⚽
M
11
T. Almada
30'
F
T. Almada
30'
F
10
Álex Baena
62'
F
Álex Baena
62'
F
Bench
7
A. Griezmann
32'
F
A. Griezmann
32'
F
20
G. Simeone
32'
F
G. Simeone
32'
F
37
Iker Luque
F
Iker Luque
F
47
Javi Morcillo
M
Javi Morcillo
M
1
J. Musso
G
J. Musso
G
18
Marc Pubill
49'
D
Marc Pubill
49'
D
61
Miguel Cubo
F
Miguel Cubo
F
16
N. Molina
49'
D
N. Molina
49'
D
8
P. Barrios
32'
M
29
Rayane Belaid
F
Rayane Belaid
F
Best on the pitch
David Affengruber
D · Elche
9.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 107 pass
N. González
M · Atletico
9.20
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
Aleix Febas
M · Elche
7.70
1 shots
· 82 pass
André Silva
F · Elche
7.70
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
Lucas Cepeda
F · Elche
7.30
1 shots
· 8 pass
Léo Pétrot
D · Elche
7.20
· 74 pass
Elche — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Léo Pétrot | D | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 74 | 62% | — | — | — |
| David Affengruber | D | 94 | 9.50 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 107 | 95% | 1 | — | — |
| Buba Sangare | D | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 61 | 59% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Germán Valera | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Martim Neto | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Aleix Febas | M | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 82 | 75% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gonzalo Villar | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 89 | 84% | — | — | — |
| Tete Morente | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| André Silva | F | 94 | 7.70 | 2 | — | 3 | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafa Mir | F | 67 | 5.70 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Rodriguez | F | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Cepeda | F | 27 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Bigas | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Víctor Chust | D | 34 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| Julio Díaz | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Clément Lenglet | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Robin Le Normand | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Javier Boñar | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Obed Vargas | M | 62 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | M | 62 | 5.90 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Cardoso | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| N. González | M | 94 | 9.20 | 2 | — | 3 | 22 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Almada | F | 30 | 4.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Álex Baena | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Griezmann | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Simeone | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Marc Pubill | D | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Molina | D | 49 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Barrios | M | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Elche vs Atletico Madrid?
The final score was Elche 3–2 Atletico Madrid.
What did the model predict before Elche vs Atletico Madrid?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Elche win, 25% to a draw, and 37% to an Atletico Madrid win.