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La Liga · Regular Season - 33 April 22, 2026 19:00 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
Elche
#18 · 5 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Atletico Madrid
#2 · 16 pts
D. Affengruber (ast. Tete Morente) 18'
Andre Silva 33' (pen.)
Andre Silva (ast. D. Affengruber) 75'
10' (ast. R. Mendoza) N. Gonzalez
34' (ast. R. Le Normand) N. Gonzalez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Elche a 37% win probability (draw 25%, Atletico Madrid 37%). The final result was Elche 3–2 Atletico Madrid. In 1 previous meetings, Elche have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Atletico Madrid.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
3
2.67
Actual xG
1.01
1
Saves
4
72%
Possession
28%
13
Corners
3
13
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
10'
ast. R. Mendoza · N. Gonzalez⚽
⚽D. Affengruber · ast. Tete Morente
18'
30'
T. Almada
⚽Andre Silva (pen.)
33'
34'
ast. R. Le Normand · N. Gonzalez⚽
36'
C. Lenglet
38'
J. Diaz
A. Febas
45'+4
Buba Sangare
45'+4
46'
N. Molina / R. Le Normand ↕
46'
M. Pubill / J. Diaz ↕
↕ Buba Sangare / V. Chust
60'
62'
P. Barrios / O. Vargas ↕
62'
A. Griezmann / R. Mendoza ↕
62'
G. Simeone / A. Baena ↕
↕ Tete Morente / Josan
67'
↕ R. Mir / A. Rodriguez
67'
↕ M. Neto / L. Cepeda
67'
⚽Andre Silva · ast. D. Affengruber
75'
↕ L. Petrot / P. Bigas
82'
Pre-match prediction
37.17%
Elche ←
25.11%
X
37.72%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Elche) 37.17% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Elche
1.45
2.67
+1.22
Atletico
1.41
1.01
-0.4
Elche dominated by xG (2.67 vs 1.01). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 7 21
2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 7 16
3 Real Betis Real Betis 7 16
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 7 15
5 Sevilla Sevilla 7 13
6 Alaves Alaves 7 11
7 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 7 10
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 7 10
9 Villarreal Villarreal 7 8
10 Athletic Club Athletic Club 6 8
11 Getafe Getafe 7 8
12 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 7 8
13 Osasuna Osasuna 7 8
14 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 7 7
15 Espanyol Espanyol 7 7
16 Racing Santander Racing Santander 7 7
17 Levante Levante 6 5
18 Elche Elche 7 5
19 Valencia Valencia 7 4
20 Malaga Malaga 7 3
Lineups
Elche Elche 3-5-2
1
G 6.60
21 L. Pétrot L. Pétrot 82' D 7.20
22 D. Affengruber D. Affengruber 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 9.50
42 Buba Sangaré Buba Sangaré 60' D 6.70
11 Germán Valera Germán Valera M 6.90
16 Martim Neto Martim Neto 67' M 6.90
14 Aleix Febas Aleix Febas M 7.70
12 Gonzalo Villar Gonzalo Villar M 6.90
15 Tete Morente Tete Morente 1 👟 67' M 6.20
9 André Silva André Silva 2 ⚽ F 7.70
10 Rafa Mir Rafa Mir 67' F 5.70
Bench
3 Adrià Pedrosa Adrià Pedrosa D
20 Á. Rodríguez Á. Rodríguez 27' F 6.60
6 Bigas Bigas 12' D 6.60
39 Héctor Fort Héctor Fort D
18 John Donald John Donald D
24 L. Cepeda L. Cepeda 27' F 7.30
23 Víctor Chust Víctor Chust 34' D 7.00
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
13
G 6.00
34 Julio Díaz del Romo Julio Díaz del Romo 45' D 6.30
15 C. Lenglet C. Lenglet D 6.20
24 Robin Le Normand Robin Le Normand 1 👟 45' D 6.20
32 Javier Boñar Javier Boñar D 6.20
21 O. Vargas O. Vargas 62' M 7.00
4 Rodrigo Mendoza Rodrigo Mendoza 1 👟 62' M 5.90
5 J. Cardoso J. Cardoso M 6.30
23 N. González N. González 2 ⚽ M 9.20
11 T. Almada T. Almada 30' F 4.30
10 Álex Baena Álex Baena 62' F 6.20
Bench
7 A. Griezmann A. Griezmann 32' F 6.90
20 G. Simeone G. Simeone 32' F 6.30
37 Iker Luque Iker Luque F
47 J. Morcillo J. Morcillo M
1 J. Musso J. Musso G
18 Marc Pubill Marc Pubill 49' D 6.70
61 Miguel Cubo Miguel Cubo F
16 Nahuel Molina Nahuel Molina 49' D 6.20
8 Pablo Barrios Pablo Barrios 32' M 6.60
29 Rayane Belid Rayane Belid F
Best on the pitch
D. Affengruber
D. Affengruber
D · Elche
9.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 107 pass
N. González
N. González
M · Atletico
9.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
Aleix Febas
Aleix Febas
M · Elche
7.70
1 shots · 82 pass
André Silva
André Silva
F · Elche
7.70
2 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
L. Cepeda
L. Cepeda
F · Elche
7.30
1 shots · 8 pass
L. Pétrot
L. Pétrot
D · Elche
7.20
· 74 pass
Elche Elche — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.60 — — — 27 23% — — —
L. Pétrot D 82 7.20 — — — 74 62% — — —
D. Affengruber D 94 9.50 1 1 2 107 95% 1 — —
Buba Sangaré D 60 6.70 — — — 61 59% 2 1 —
Germán Valera M 94 6.90 — — 1 40 31% — — —
Martim Neto M 67 6.90 — — — 35 28% 3 — —
Aleix Febas M 94 7.70 — — 1 82 75% 2 1 —
Gonzalo Villar M 94 6.90 — — — 89 84% — — —
Tete Morente M 67 6.20 — 1 — 40 34% — — —
André Silva F 94 7.70 2 — 3 16 13% 2 — —
Rafa Mir F 67 5.70 — — 2 13 10% — — —
Á. Rodríguez F 27 6.60 — — 2 4 1% — — —
Bigas D 12 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
L. Cepeda F 27 7.30 — — 1 8 8% 2 — —
Víctor Chust D 34 7.00 — — — 36 35% 1 — —
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.00 — — — 35 15% — — —
Julio Díaz del Romo D 45 6.30 — — — 10 8% 3 1 —
C. Lenglet D 94 6.20 — — — 24 19% 2 1 —
Robin Le Normand D 45 6.20 — 1 — 17 10% — — —
Javier Boñar D 94 6.20 — — — 21 14% 2 — —
O. Vargas M 62 7.00 — — — 11 10% 2 — —
Rodrigo Mendoza M 62 5.90 — 1 — 13 10% — — —
J. Cardoso M 94 6.30 — — — 25 21% 3 — —
N. González M 94 9.20 2 — 3 22 16% 3 — —
T. Almada F 30 4.30 — — — 8 7% 1 — 1
Álex Baena F 62 6.20 — — — 10 6% — — —
A. Griezmann F 32 6.90 — — 1 18 14% 1 — —
G. Simeone F 32 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
Marc Pubill D 49 6.70 — — — 13 11% 1 — —
Nahuel Molina D 49 6.20 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
Pablo Barrios M 32 6.60 — — 1 17 17% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Elche vs Atletico Madrid?
The final score was Elche 3–2 Atletico Madrid.
What did the model predict before Elche vs Atletico Madrid?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Elche win, 25% to a draw, and 37% to an Atletico Madrid win.