← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 37 May 01, 2026 15:00
Empoli
#15 · 41 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Avellino
#8 · 49 pts
M. Lovato (ast. G. Yepes) 58'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Empoli a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Avellino 33%). The final result was Empoli 1–0 Avellino. In 1 previous meetings, Empoli have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Avellino.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
9
Shots on target
2
2.62
Actual xG
0.20
2
Saves
7
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
2
8
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
46'
R. Russo / T. Biasci ↕
N. Haas
46'
↕ M. Nasti / B. Popov
54'
57'
D. Sounas
⚽M. Lovato · ast. G. Yepes
58'
65'
R. Insigne / D. Sounas ↕
65'
F. Missori / T. Cancellotti ↕
↕ J. Ceesay / S. Elia
69'
↕ N. Haas / D. Degli Innocenti
69'
⚽S. Shpendi (missed pen.)
72'
73'
L. Pandolfi / M. Besaggio ↕
S. Elia
77'
83'
A. Le Borgne / C. Patierno ↕
G. Yepes
83'
↕ G. Yepes / A. Ghion
84'
↕ S. Shpendi / F. Bianchi
84'
90'+7
A. Fontanarosa
Pre-match prediction
35.79%
Empoli ←
30.77%
X
33.45%
Avellino
we assigned to the actual result (Empoli) 35.79% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Empoli
1.16
2.62
+1.46
Avellino
1.24
0.20
-1.04
Empoli dominated by xG (2.62 vs 0.20). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Empoli Empoli 3-5-2
21
G 8.30
20
M. Lovato 1 ⚽ D 7.90
4
S. Romagnoli D 7.30
34
Gabriele Guarino D 7.50
15
J. Ceesay 69' M 6.90
32
N. Haas 69' M 6.60
14 Gerard Yepes Gerard Yepes 1 👟 84' M 7.50
8
L. Magnino M 6.70
26
A. Candela M 7.20
11 S. Shpendi S. Shpendi 84' F 6.50
19
M. Nasti 54' F 6.60
Bench
18
A. Ghion 14' M 6.90
27
B. Moruzzi D
77
Bogdan Popov 36' F 7.00
17
D. Fila F
70
E. Saporiti M
2
Marco Curto D
10
R. Ilie M
7 S. Elia S. Elia 21' M 6.30
Avellino Avellino 4-3-1-2
30
G 9.30
63 Alessandro Fontanarosa Alessandro Fontanarosa D 6.50
4 Armando Izzo Armando Izzo D 6.60
56
D 7.20
29 Tommaso Cancellotti Tommaso Cancellotti 65' D 6.20
39 Michele Besaggio Michele Besaggio 73' M 6.90
6 Luca Palmiero Luca Palmiero M 6.30
24 Dimitrios Sounas Dimitrios Sounas 65' M 6.60
20 Martin Palumbo Martin Palumbo M 7.50
14 Tommaso Biasci Tommaso Biasci 45' F 6.30
9 Cosimo Patierno Cosimo Patierno 83' F 6.00
Bench
99
A. Favilli F
2 Filippo Missori Filippo Missori 25' D 6.60
16 Justin Kumi Justin Kumi M
10 Raffaele Russo Raffaele Russo 45' F 6.90
94 Roberto Insigne Roberto Insigne 25' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
G · Avellino
9.30
· 31 pass
G · Empoli
8.30
· 33 pass
M. Lovato
D · Empoli
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 38 pass
Gabriele Guarino
D · Empoli
7.50
· 41 pass
Martin Palumbo
Martin Palumbo
M · Avellino
7.50
· 32 pass
Gerard Yepes
Gerard Yepes
M · Empoli
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 28 pass
Empoli Empoli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.30 — — — 33 20% — — —
M. Lovato D 90 7.90 1 — 1 38 31% — — —
S. Romagnoli D 90 7.30 — — 1 30 25% 1 — —
Gabriele Guarino D 90 7.50 — — — 41 26% 1 — —
J. Ceesay M 69 6.90 — — 1 24 11% — — —
N. Haas M 69 6.60 — — 1 23 21% — 1 —
Gerard Yepes M 84 7.50 — 1 1 28 22% — 1 —
L. Magnino M 90 6.70 — — 1 26 17% 1 — —
A. Candela M 90 7.20 — — — 17 11% 3 — —
S. Shpendi F 84 6.50 — — 3 11 9% 1 — —
M. Nasti F 54 6.60 — — 1 8 6% — — —
A. Ghion M 14 6.90 — — — 1 1% — — —
Bogdan Popov F 36 7.00 — — 1 6 3% 1 — —
S. Elia M 21 6.30 — — — 6 3% — 1 —
Avellino Avellino — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 9.30 — — — 31 20% — — —
Alessandro Fontanarosa D 90 6.50 — — 1 51 32% 2 — 1
Armando Izzo D 90 6.60 — — — 56 48% — — —
D 90 7.20 — — — 52 41% 3 — —
Tommaso Cancellotti D 65 6.20 — — — 23 17% 2 — —
Michele Besaggio M 73 6.90 — — 1 15 13% 3 — —
Luca Palmiero M 90 6.30 — — — 61 48% — — —
Dimitrios Sounas M 65 6.60 — — — 29 24% 2 1 —
Martin Palumbo M 90 7.50 — — — 32 25% 1 — —
Tommaso Biasci F 45 6.30 — — — 9 8% — — —
Cosimo Patierno F 83 6.00 — — — 12 9% 1 — —
Filippo Missori D 25 6.60 — — — 13 9% — — —
Raffaele Russo F 45 6.90 — — 1 11 10% — — —
Roberto Insigne F 25 6.60 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Empoli vs Avellino?
The final score was Empoli 1–0 Avellino.
What did the model predict before Empoli vs Avellino?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Empoli win, 30% to a draw, and 33% to an Avellino win.