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Serie B · Regular Season - 37 May 01, 2026 15:00
Empoli
#17 · 7 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Avellino
#9 · 12 pts
M. Lovato (ast. G. Yepes) 58'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Empoli a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Avellino 33%). The final result was Empoli 1–0 Avellino. In 1 previous meetings, Empoli have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Avellino.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
9
Shots on target
2
2.62
Actual xG
0.20
2
Saves
7
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
2
8
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
46'
R. Russo / T. Biasci ↕
N. Haas
46'
↕ M. Nasti / B. Popov
54'
57'
D. Sounas
⚽M. Lovato · ast. G. Yepes
58'
65'
R. Insigne / D. Sounas ↕
65'
F. Missori / T. Cancellotti ↕
↕ J. Ceesay / S. Elia
69'
↕ N. Haas / D. Degli Innocenti
69'
⚽S. Shpendi (missed pen.)
72'
73'
L. Pandolfi / M. Besaggio ↕
S. Elia
77'
83'
A. Le Borgne / C. Patierno ↕
G. Yepes
83'
↕ G. Yepes / A. Ghion
84'
↕ S. Shpendi / F. Bianchi
84'
90'+7
A. Fontanarosa
Pre-match prediction
35.79%
Empoli ←
30.77%
X
33.45%
Avellino
we assigned to the actual result (Empoli) 35.79% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Empoli
1.16
2.62
+1.46
Avellino
1.24
0.20
-1.04
Empoli dominated by xG (2.62 vs 0.20). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 8 22
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 8 14
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Avellino Avellino 9 12
10 Cesena Cesena 9 11
11 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
12 Arezzo Arezzo 8 10
13 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 8 9
14 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
15 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 8 8
17 Empoli Empoli 9 7
18 Carrarese Carrarese 8 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Empoli Empoli 3-5-2
21
G 8.30
20 M. Lovato M. Lovato 1 ⚽ D 7.90
4 S. Romagnoli S. Romagnoli D 7.30
34 Gabriele Guarino Gabriele Guarino D 7.50
15 J. Ceesay J. Ceesay 69' M 6.90
32
N. Haas 69' M 6.60
14 Gerard Yepes Gerard Yepes 1 👟 84' M 7.50
8 L. Magnino L. Magnino M 6.70
26 A. Candela A. Candela M 7.20
11 S. Shpendi S. Shpendi 84' F 6.50
19 M. Nasti M. Nasti 54' F 6.60
Bench
18 A. Ghion A. Ghion 14' M 6.90
27 B. Moruzzi B. Moruzzi D
77 B. Popov B. Popov 36' F 7.00
17 Daniel Fila Daniel Fila F
70 E. Saporiti E. Saporiti M
2 M. Curto M. Curto D
10 R. Ilie R. Ilie M
7 S. Elia S. Elia 21' M 6.30
Avellino Avellino 4-3-1-2
30
G 9.30
63 Alessandro Fontanarosa Alessandro Fontanarosa D 6.50
4 A. Izzo A. Izzo D 6.60
56
D 7.20
29 T. Cancellotti T. Cancellotti 65' D 6.20
39 M. Besaggio M. Besaggio 73' M 6.90
6 L. Palmiero L. Palmiero M 6.30
24 D. Sounas D. Sounas 65' M 6.60
20 M. Palumbo M. Palumbo M 7.50
14 T. Biasci T. Biasci 45' F 6.30
9 Cosimo Patierno Cosimo Patierno 83' F 6.00
Bench
99 A. Favilli A. Favilli F
2 F. Missori F. Missori 25' D 6.60
16 J. Kumi J. Kumi M
94 Roberto Insigne Roberto Insigne 25' F 6.60
10 R. Russo R. Russo 45' F 6.90
Best on the pitch
G · Avellino
9.30
· 31 pass
G · Empoli
8.30
· 33 pass
M. Lovato
M. Lovato
D · Empoli
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 38 pass
Gabriele Guarino
Gabriele Guarino
D · Empoli
7.50
· 41 pass
M. Palumbo
M. Palumbo
M · Avellino
7.50
· 32 pass
Gerard Yepes
Gerard Yepes
M · Empoli
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 28 pass
Empoli Empoli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.30 — — — 33 20% — — —
M. Lovato D 90 7.90 1 — 1 38 31% — — —
S. Romagnoli D 90 7.30 — — 1 30 25% 1 — —
Gabriele Guarino D 90 7.50 — — — 41 26% 1 — —
J. Ceesay M 69 6.90 — — 1 24 11% — — —
N. Haas M 69 6.60 — — 1 23 21% — 1 —
Gerard Yepes M 84 7.50 — 1 1 28 22% — 1 —
L. Magnino M 90 6.70 — — 1 26 17% 1 — —
A. Candela M 90 7.20 — — — 17 11% 3 — —
S. Shpendi F 84 6.50 — — 3 11 9% 1 — —
M. Nasti F 54 6.60 — — 1 8 6% — — —
A. Ghion M 14 6.90 — — — 1 1% — — —
B. Popov F 36 7.00 — — 1 6 3% 1 — —
S. Elia M 21 6.30 — — — 6 3% — 1 —
Avellino Avellino — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 9.30 — — — 31 20% — — —
Alessandro Fontanarosa D 90 6.50 — — 1 51 32% 2 — 1
A. Izzo D 90 6.60 — — — 56 48% — — —
D 90 7.20 — — — 52 41% 3 — —
T. Cancellotti D 65 6.20 — — — 23 17% 2 — —
M. Besaggio M 73 6.90 — — 1 15 13% 3 — —
L. Palmiero M 90 6.30 — — — 61 48% — — —
D. Sounas M 65 6.60 — — — 29 24% 2 1 —
M. Palumbo M 90 7.50 — — — 32 25% 1 — —
T. Biasci F 45 6.30 — — — 9 8% — — —
Cosimo Patierno F 83 6.00 — — — 12 9% 1 — —
F. Missori D 25 6.60 — — — 13 9% — — —
Roberto Insigne F 25 6.60 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
R. Russo F 45 6.90 — — 1 11 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Empoli vs Avellino?
The final score was Empoli 1–0 Avellino.
What did the model predict before Empoli vs Avellino?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Empoli win, 30% to a draw, and 33% to an Avellino win.