Serie B
· Regular Season - 37
May 01, 2026 15:00
M. Lovato
(ast. G. Yepes)
58'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Empoli a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Avellino 33%). The final result was Empoli 1–0 Avellino. In 1 previous meetings, Empoli have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Avellino.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
9
Shots on target
2
2.62
Actual xG
0.20
2
Saves
7
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
2
8
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
46'
R. Russo
/
T. Biasci
N. Haas
46'
M. Nasti
/ B. Popov
54'
57'
D. Sounas
⚽M. Lovato
· ast. G. Yepes
58'
65'
R. Insigne
/
D. Sounas
65'
F. Missori
/
T. Cancellotti
J. Ceesay
/ S. Elia
69'
N. Haas
/ D. Degli Innocenti
69'
⚽S. Shpendi
(missed pen.)
72'
73'
L. Pandolfi
/
M. Besaggio
S. Elia
77'
83'
A. Le Borgne
/
C. Patierno
G. Yepes
83'
G. Yepes
/ A. Ghion
84'
S. Shpendi
/ F. Bianchi
84'
90'+7
A. Fontanarosa
Pre-match prediction
35.79%
Empoli ←
30.77%
X
33.45%
Avellino
we assigned to the actual result (Empoli)
35.79%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.16
2.62
+1.46
1.24
0.20
-1.04
Empoli dominated by xG (2.62 vs 0.20).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
21
G
20
M. Lovato
1 ⚽
D
M. Lovato
1 ⚽
D
4
S. Romagnoli
D
34
G. Guarino
D
G. Guarino
D
15
J. Ceesay
69'
M
32
N. Haas
69'
M
14
Gerard Yepes
1 👟
84'
M
Gerard Yepes
1 👟
84'
M
8
L. Magnino
M
26
A. Candela
M
11
S. Shpendi
84'
F
S. Shpendi
84'
F
19
M. Nasti
54'
F
Bench
18
A. Ghion
14'
M
27
B. Moruzzi
D
77
Bogdan Popov
36'
F
17
D. Fila
F
70
E. Saporiti
M
2
Marco Curto
D
10
R. Ilie
M
7
S. Elia
21'
M
S. Elia
21'
M
30
G
63
A. Fontanarosa
D
A. Fontanarosa
D
4
Armando Izzo
D
Armando Izzo
D
56
D
29
Tommaso Cancellotti
65'
D
Tommaso Cancellotti
65'
D
39
Michele Besaggio
73'
M
Michele Besaggio
73'
M
6
L. Palmiero
M
L. Palmiero
M
24
Dimitrios Sounas
65'
M
Dimitrios Sounas
65'
M
20
Martin Palumbo
M
Martin Palumbo
M
14
T. Biasci
45'
F
T. Biasci
45'
F
9
Cosimo Patierno
83'
F
Cosimo Patierno
83'
F
Bench
99
A. Favilli
F
2
Filippo Missori
25'
D
Filippo Missori
25'
D
16
Justin Kumi
M
Justin Kumi
M
10
Raffaele Russo
45'
F
Raffaele Russo
45'
F
94
Roberto Insigne
25'
F
Roberto Insigne
25'
F
Best on the pitch
G · Avellino
9.30
· 31 pass
G · Empoli
8.30
· 33 pass
M. Lovato
D · Empoli
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 38 pass
G. Guarino
D · Empoli
7.50
· 41 pass
Martin Palumbo
M · Avellino
7.50
· 32 pass
Gerard Yepes
M · Empoli
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 28 pass
Empoli — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| M. Lovato | D | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 38 | 31% | — | — | — |
| S. Romagnoli | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Guarino | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ceesay | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 11% | — | — | — |
| N. Haas | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Gerard Yepes | M | 84 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 28 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Magnino | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Candela | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Shpendi | F | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Nasti | F | 54 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Ghion | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Bogdan Popov | F | 36 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Elia | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
Avellino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 9.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| A. Fontanarosa | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 32% | 2 | — | 1 |
| Armando Izzo | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 56 | 48% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| Tommaso Cancellotti | D | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Michele Besaggio | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Palmiero | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Dimitrios Sounas | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Martin Palumbo | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Biasci | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Cosimo Patierno | F | 83 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Filippo Missori | D | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Raffaele Russo | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Roberto Insigne | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Empoli vs Avellino?
The final score was Empoli 1–0 Avellino.
What did the model predict before Empoli vs Avellino?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Empoli win, 30% to a draw, and 33% to an Avellino win.