Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 33
May 11, 2026 21:15
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Famalicao a 43% win probability (draw 27%, Estrela 29%). The final result was Estrela 0–0 Famalicao. In 1 previous meetings, Estrela have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Famalicao.
Match statistics
2
Total shots
12
1
Shots on target
4
0.25
Actual xG
2.00
4
Saves
1
38%
Possession
62%
3
Corners
10
19
Tackles
18
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
61'
Garcia
R. Ribeiro
65'
Rodrigo Pinho
73'
Rodrigo Pinho
/ L. Antonetti
73'
A. Sola
/ K. Jansson
79'
Jovane
/ T. Moustier
80'
83'
R. Beney
/
Gil Dias
83'
U. Abubakar
/
S. Elisor
J. Encada
84'
S. Lekovic
/ Bernardo Schappo
88'
J. Encada
/ M. Scholze
88'
Pre-match prediction
29.03%
Estrela
27.71%
X ←
43.27%
Famalicao
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.71%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
0.25
-0.71
1.17
2.00
+0.83
Famalicao dominated by xG (2.00 vs 0.25).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
Renan Ribeiro
G
Renan Ribeiro
G
24
Bruno Langa
D
Bruno Langa
D
4
Stefan Leković
88'
D
Stefan Leković
88'
D
30
Luan Patrick
D
Luan Patrick
D
17
Jefferson Encada
88'
D
Jefferson Encada
88'
D
10
Ianis Stoica
M
Ianis Stoica
M
19
Paulo Moreira
M
Paulo Moreira
M
63
Alex Sola
79'
M
Alex Sola
79'
M
99
A. Marcus
M
A. Marcus
M
9
Rodrigo Pinho
73'
F
Rodrigo Pinho
73'
F
11
Jovane Cabral
80'
F
Jovane Cabral
80'
F
Bench
14
Bernardo Schappo
10'
D
Bernardo Schappo
10'
D
1
Diogo Pinto
G
Diogo Pinto
G
39
Eddy Doué
M
Eddy Doué
M
18
Jorge Meireles
F
Jorge Meireles
F
6
Kevin Höög Jansson
11'
M
Kevin Höög Jansson
11'
M
7
Leandro Antonetti
17'
F
Leandro Antonetti
17'
F
21
Max Scholze
10'
D
Max Scholze
10'
D
20
Sydney van Hooijdonk
F
Sydney van Hooijdonk
F
28
Tom Moustier
10'
M
Tom Moustier
10'
M
25
Lazar Carević
G
Lazar Carević
G
5
Rafa Soares
D
Rafa Soares
D
16
Justin De Haas
D
Justin De Haas
D
3
Léo Realpe
D
Léo Realpe
D
2
Gustavo García
D
Gustavo García
D
14
Mathias De Amorim
M
Mathias De Amorim
M
6
Tom Van De Looi
M
Tom Van De Looi
M
20
Gustavo Sá
M
Gustavo Sá
M
7
Sorriso
F
Sorriso
F
12
Simon Elisor
83'
F
Simon Elisor
83'
F
23
Gil Dias
83'
F
Gil Dias
83'
F
Bench
77
Antoine Joujou
F
Antoine Joujou
F
1
Ivan Zlobin
G
Ivan Zlobin
G
8
Marcos Peña
M
Marcos Peña
M
36
Matheus Mattara
D
Matheus Mattara
D
28
Pedro Bondo
D
Pedro Bondo
D
80
Pedro Santos
F
Pedro Santos
F
18
Romeo Beney
15'
F
Romeo Beney
15'
F
91
Rudi Almeida
F
Rudi Almeida
F
9
Umar Abubakar
15'
F
Umar Abubakar
15'
F
Best on the pitch
Luan Patrick
D · Estrela
7.90
· 40 pass
Justin De Haas
D · Famalicao
7.70
1 shots
· 75 pass
Gustavo García
D · Famalicao
7.60
· 58 pass
Gustavo Sá
M · Famalicao
7.50
1 shots
· 45 pass
Stefan Leković
D · Estrela
7.30
· 22 pass
Mathias De Amorim
M · Famalicao
7.30
2 shots
· 24 pass
Estrela — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Bruno Langa | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| Stefan Leković | D | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| Luan Patrick | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Jefferson Encada | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Ianis Stoica | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Moreira | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Sola | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Marcus | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Pinho | F | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Jovane Cabral | F | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Bernardo Schappo | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Höög Jansson | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Leandro Antonetti | F | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Max Scholze | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Tom Moustier | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Famalicao — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazar Carević | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Rafa Soares | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Justin De Haas | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Realpe | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 72 | 67% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo García | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 58 | 52% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Mathias De Amorim | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| Tom Van De Looi | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Gustavo Sá | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Sorriso | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Simon Elisor | F | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Gil Dias | F | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 33 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Romeo Beney | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Umar Abubakar | F | 15 | 5.60 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estrela vs Famalicao?
The final score was Estrela 0–0 Famalicao.
What did the model predict before Estrela vs Famalicao?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Estrela win, 27% to a draw, and 43% to an Famalicao win.