The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Famalicao a 43% win probability (draw 27%, Estrela 29%). The final result was Estrela 0–0 Famalicao. In 2 previous meetings, Estrela have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Famalicao.
Match statistics
2
Total shots
12
1
Shots on target
4
0.25
Actual xG
2.00
4
Saves
1
38%
Possession
62%
3
Corners
10
19
Tackles
18
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
61'
Garcia
R. Ribeiro
65'
Rodrigo Pinho
73'
Rodrigo Pinho
/ L. Antonetti
73'
A. Sola
/ K. Jansson
79'
Jovane
/ T. Moustier
80'
83'
R. Beney
/
Gil Dias
83'
U. Abubakar
/
S. Elisor
J. Encada
84'
S. Lekovic
/ Bernardo Schappo
88'
J. Encada
/ M. Scholze
88'
Pre-match prediction
29.03%
Estrela
27.71%
X ←
43.27%
Famalicao
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.71%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
0.25
-0.71
1.17
2.00
+0.83
Famalicao dominated by xG (2.00 vs 0.25).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
Renan Ribeiro
G
Renan Ribeiro
G
24
Bruno Langa
D
Bruno Langa
D
4
S. Leković
88'
D
S. Leković
88'
D
30
Luan Patrick
D
Luan Patrick
D
17
Jefferson Encada
88'
D
Jefferson Encada
88'
D
10
I. Stoica
M
I. Stoica
M
19
Paulo Moreira
M
Paulo Moreira
M
63
Alexandre Sola
79'
M
Alexandre Sola
79'
M
99
A. Marcus
M
A. Marcus
M
9
Rodrigo Pinho
73'
F
11
Jovane Cabral
80'
F
Jovane Cabral
80'
F
Bench
14
Bernardo Schappo
10'
D
Bernardo Schappo
10'
D
1
Diogo Pinto
G
Diogo Pinto
G
39
Eddy Doue
M
Eddy Doue
M
18
Jorge Meireles
F
6
K. Höög Jansson
11'
M
K. Höög Jansson
11'
M
7
L. Antonetti
17'
F
L. Antonetti
17'
F
21
M. Scholze
10'
D
M. Scholze
10'
D
20
S. van Hooijdonk
F
S. van Hooijdonk
F
28
Tom Moustier
10'
M
Tom Moustier
10'
M
25
L. Carević
G
L. Carević
G
5
Rafa Soares
D
Rafa Soares
D
16
J. de Haas
D
J. de Haas
D
3
L. Realpe
D
L. Realpe
D
2
Gustavo Garcia
D
Gustavo Garcia
D
14
Mathias De Amorim
M
Mathias De Amorim
M
6
Tom Van De Looi
M
Tom Van De Looi
M
20
Gustavo Sá
M
Gustavo Sá
M
7
Sorriso
F
Sorriso
F
12
S. Elisor
83'
F
S. Elisor
83'
F
23
Gil Dias
83'
F
Gil Dias
83'
F
Bench
77
A. Joujou
F
A. Joujou
F
1
I. Zlobin
G
I. Zlobin
G
8
Marcos Peña
M
Marcos Peña
M
36
M. Mattara
D
M. Mattara
D
28
Pedro Francisco
D
Pedro Francisco
D
80
Pedro Santos
F
Pedro Santos
F
18
R. Beney
15'
F
R. Beney
15'
F
91
Rudi Almeida
F
Rudi Almeida
F
9
U. Abubakar
15'
F
U. Abubakar
15'
F
Best on the pitch
Luan Patrick
D · Estrela
7.90
· 40 pass
J. de Haas
D · Famalicao
7.70
1 shots
· 75 pass
Gustavo Garcia
D · Famalicao
7.60
· 58 pass
Gustavo Sá
M · Famalicao
7.50
1 shots
· 45 pass
S. Leković
D · Estrela
7.30
· 22 pass
Mathias De Amorim
M · Famalicao
7.30
2 shots
· 24 pass
Estrela — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Bruno Langa | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Leković | D | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| Luan Patrick | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Jefferson Encada | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Stoica | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Moreira | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexandre Sola | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Marcus | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Pinho | F | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Jovane Cabral | F | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Bernardo Schappo | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| K. Höög Jansson | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Antonetti | F | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Scholze | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Tom Moustier | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Famalicao — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Carević | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Rafa Soares | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| J. de Haas | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Realpe | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 72 | 67% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Garcia | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 58 | 52% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Mathias De Amorim | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| Tom Van De Looi | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Gustavo Sá | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Sorriso | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Elisor | F | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Gil Dias | F | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 33 | 24% | — | — | — |
| R. Beney | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| U. Abubakar | F | 15 | 5.60 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Estrela vs Famalicao?
The final score was Estrela 0–0 Famalicao.
What did the model predict before Estrela vs Famalicao?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Estrela win, 27% to a draw, and 43% to an Famalicao win.