← Scottish Premiership
Scottish Premiership · Championship Group - 36 May 09, 2026 16:00
Falkirk
#6 · 46 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Hibernian
#5 · 51 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Falkirk, result Hibernian vince
B. Broggio (ast. B. Spencer) 73'
3' (ast. J. Obita) J. Campbell
20' (ast. M. Boyle) J. Campbell
40' (ast. F. Passlack) J. Obita

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Falkirk a 57% win probability (draw 21%, Hibernian 21%). The final result was Falkirk 1–3 Hibernian. In 3 previous meetings, Falkirk have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Hibernian.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
4
0.48
Actual xG
0.98
2
Saves
0
67%
Possession
33%
6
Corners
4
8
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
ast. J. Obita · J. Campbell⚽
20'
ast. M. Boyle · J. Campbell⚽
↕ L. McCann / L. Henderson
37'
40'
ast. F. Passlack · J. Obita⚽
↕ K. Wilson / B. Parkinson
59'
↕ F. Yeats / B. Broggio
60'
61'
J. Campbell
63'
J. Newell / J. Campbell ↕
↕ F. Lissah / E. Ross
70'
↕ D. Tait / H. Cartwright
70'
⚽B. Broggio · ast. B. Spencer
73'
75'
K. Andrews / M. Chaiwa ↕
75'
A. Suto / M. Boyle ↕
90'+3
C. Cadden / O. Elding ↕
Pre-match prediction
57.3%
Falkirk
21.2%
X
21.51%
Hibernian ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Hibernian) 21.51% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Falkirk
2.03
0.48
-1.55
Hibernian
1.01
0.98
-0.03
Hibernian dominated by xG (0.98 vs 0.48). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 33 70
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 37 80
1 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 37 44
2 Rangers Rangers 33 69
2 Celtic Celtic 37 79
2 Aberdeen Aberdeen 37 40
3 Dundee Dundee 37 39
3 Celtic Celtic 33 67
3 Rangers Rangers 37 69
4 Motherwell Motherwell 37 58
4 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 37 37
4 Motherwell Motherwell 33 54
5 ST Mirren ST Mirren 37 33
5 Hibernian Hibernian 33 51
5 Hibernian Hibernian 37 57
6 Livingston Livingston 37 21
6 Falkirk Falkirk 33 46
6 Falkirk Falkirk 37 49
7 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 33 40
8 Aberdeen Aberdeen 33 33
9 Dundee Dundee 33 33
10 ST Mirren ST Mirren 33 30
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 33 28
12 Livingston Livingston 33 16
Lineups
Falkirk Falkirk 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.30
3
L. McCann 37' D 5.90
20 Connor Allan Connor Allan D 6.30
15
D 6.20
28
F. Lissah 70' D 6.50
21 Dylan Tait Dylan Tait 70' M 6.50
8 Brad Spencer Brad Spencer 1 👟 M 7.30
29 Calvin Miller Calvin Miller M 6.20
14 Finn Yeats Finn Yeats 59' M 6.20
22 Kyrell Wilson Kyrell Wilson 59' M 6.20
16
B. Stewart F 6.90
Bench
11 Ben Broggio Ben Broggio 1 ⚽ 31' M 8.20
27 Ben Parkinson Ben Parkinson 31' F 6.70
6 Coll Donaldson Coll Donaldson D
17 Henry Cartwright Henry Cartwright 20' M 6.50
5 Liam Henderson Liam Henderson 53' D 6.90
Hibernian Hibernian 3-4-1-2
1 Raphael Sallinger Raphael Sallinger G 6.60
15 Jack Iredale Jack Iredale D 6.70
4 Grant Hanley Grant Hanley D 6.20
5 Warren O'Hora Warren O'Hora D 6.90
21 Jordan Obita Jordan Obita 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.90
22 Daniel Barlaser Daniel Barlaser M 6.60
14 Miguel Changa Chaiwa Miguel Changa Chaiwa 75' M 6.30
25 Felix Passlack Felix Passlack 1 👟 M 6.90
32 Josh Campbell Josh Campbell 2 ⚽ 64' F 8.00
47 Owen Elding Owen Elding F 6.20
10 Martin Boyle Martin Boyle 1 👟 75' F 7.20
Bench
77 Ante Šuto Ante Šuto 15' F 6.60
44 Dane Scarlett Dane Scarlett F
11 Joe Newell Joe Newell 26' M 6.70
19 Nicky Cadden Nicky Cadden M
Best on the pitch
Jordan Obita
Jordan Obita
M · Hibernian
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 16 pass
Ben Broggio
Ben Broggio
M · Falkirk
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
Josh Campbell
Josh Campbell
F · Hibernian
8.00
2 ⚽
2 shots · 15 pass
Brad Spencer
Brad Spencer
M · Falkirk
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 63 pass
Martin Boyle
Martin Boyle
F · Hibernian
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 13 pass
Liam Henderson
Liam Henderson
D · Falkirk
6.90
· 43 pass
Falkirk Falkirk — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 38 25% — — —
L. McCann D 37 5.90 — — — 17 11% 1 — —
Connor Allan D 90 6.30 — — — 68 60% 1 — —
D 90 6.20 — — — 57 51% — — —
F. Lissah D 70 6.50 — — — 39 31% 2 — —
Dylan Tait M 70 6.50 — — — 48 35% — — —
Brad Spencer M 90 7.30 — 1 1 63 51% 2 — —
Calvin Miller M 90 6.20 — — 2 28 22% — — —
Finn Yeats M 59 6.20 — — — 19 16% — — —
Kyrell Wilson M 59 6.20 — — — 19 11% — — —
B. Stewart F 90 6.90 — — — 9 4% 1 — —
Ben Broggio M 31 8.20 1 — 1 13 12% 1 — —
Ben Parkinson F 31 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
Henry Cartwright M 20 6.50 — — — 7 7% — — —
Liam Henderson D 53 6.90 — — — 43 41% — — —
Hibernian Hibernian — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Raphael Sallinger G 90 6.60 — — — 30 11% — — —
Jack Iredale D 90 6.70 — — — 28 17% 3 — —
Grant Hanley D 90 6.20 — — — 16 12% — — —
Warren O'Hora D 90 6.90 — — 1 14 8% 1 — —
Jordan Obita M 90 8.90 1 1 3 16 9% 2 — —
Daniel Barlaser M 90 6.60 — — 1 30 20% 1 — —
Miguel Changa Chaiwa M 75 6.30 — — — 18 10% — — —
Felix Passlack M 90 6.90 — 1 — 21 10% 1 — —
Josh Campbell F 64 8.00 2 — 2 15 10% — 1 —
Owen Elding F 90 6.20 — — — 20 8% 2 — —
Martin Boyle F 75 7.20 — 1 1 13 10% — — —
Ante Šuto F 15 6.60 — — — 2 1% — — —
Joe Newell M 26 6.70 — — — 5 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Falkirk vs Hibernian?
The final score was Falkirk 1–3 Hibernian.
What did the model predict before Falkirk vs Hibernian?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Falkirk win, 21% to a draw, and 21% to an Hibernian win.