Scottish Premiership
· Championship Group - 36
May 09, 2026 16:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Falkirk, result Hibernian wins
B. Broggio
(ast. B. Spencer)
73'
3'
(ast. J. Obita)
J. Campbell
20'
(ast. M. Boyle)
J. Campbell
40'
(ast. F. Passlack)
J. Obita
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Falkirk a 57% win probability (draw 21%, Hibernian 21%). The final result was Falkirk 1–3 Hibernian. In 3 previous meetings, Falkirk have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Hibernian.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
4
0.48
Actual xG
0.98
2
Saves
0
67%
Possession
33%
6
Corners
4
8
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
ast. J. Obita ·
J. Campbell⚽
20'
ast. M. Boyle ·
J. Campbell⚽
L. McCann
/ L. Henderson
37'
40'
ast. F. Passlack ·
J. Obita⚽
K. Wilson
/ B. Parkinson
59'
F. Yeats
/ B. Broggio
60'
61'
J. Campbell
63'
J. Newell
/
J. Campbell
F. Lissah
/ E. Ross
70'
D. Tait
/ H. Cartwright
70'
⚽B. Broggio
· ast. B. Spencer
73'
75'
K. Andrews
/
M. Chaiwa
75'
A. Suto
/
M. Boyle
90'+3
C. Cadden
/
O. Elding
Pre-match prediction
57.3%
Falkirk
21.2%
X
21.51%
Hibernian ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Hibernian)
21.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.03
0.48
-1.55
1.01
0.98
-0.03
Hibernian dominated by xG (0.98 vs 0.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
3
L. McCann
37'
D
20
Connor Allan
D
Connor Allan
D
15
D
28
F. Lissah
70'
D
21
D. Tait
70'
M
D. Tait
70'
M
8
B. Spencer
1 👟
M
B. Spencer
1 👟
M
29
C. Miller
M
C. Miller
M
14
Finn Yeats
59'
M
Finn Yeats
59'
M
22
Kyrell Wilson
59'
M
Kyrell Wilson
59'
M
16
B. Stewart
F
Bench
11
Ben Broggio
1 ⚽
31'
M
Ben Broggio
1 ⚽
31'
M
27
Ben Parkinson
31'
F
Ben Parkinson
31'
F
6
Coll Donaldson
D
Coll Donaldson
D
17
Henry Cartwright
20'
M
Henry Cartwright
20'
M
5
Liam Henderson
53'
D
Liam Henderson
53'
D
1
Raphael Sallinger
G
Raphael Sallinger
G
15
Jack Iredale
D
Jack Iredale
D
4
Grant Hanley
D
Grant Hanley
D
5
Warren O'Hora
D
Warren O'Hora
D
21
J. Obita
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
J. Obita
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
22
Daniel Barlaser
M
Daniel Barlaser
M
14
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
75'
M
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
75'
M
25
Felix Passlack
1 👟
M
Felix Passlack
1 👟
M
32
Josh Campbell
2 ⚽
64'
F
Josh Campbell
2 ⚽
64'
F
47
Owen Elding
F
Owen Elding
F
10
M. Boyle
1 👟
75'
F
M. Boyle
1 👟
75'
F
Bench
77
A. Šuto
15'
F
A. Šuto
15'
F
44
Dane Scarlett
F
Dane Scarlett
F
11
Joe Newell
26'
M
Joe Newell
26'
M
19
Nicky Cadden
M
Nicky Cadden
M
Best on the pitch
J. Obita
M · Hibernian
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 16 pass
Ben Broggio
M · Falkirk
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
Josh Campbell
F · Hibernian
8.00
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
B. Spencer
M · Falkirk
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 63 pass
M. Boyle
F · Hibernian
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 13 pass
Liam Henderson
D · Falkirk
6.90
· 43 pass
Falkirk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| L. McCann | D | 37 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Connor Allan | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 68 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | — | — | — | |
| F. Lissah | D | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Tait | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 48 | 35% | — | — | — |
| B. Spencer | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 63 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Miller | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Finn Yeats | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Kyrell Wilson | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
| B. Stewart | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Ben Broggio | M | 31 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Ben Parkinson | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Henry Cartwright | M | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Liam Henderson | D | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 41% | — | — | — |
Hibernian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raphael Sallinger | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Jack Iredale | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Grant Hanley | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Warren O'Hora | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Obita | M | 90 | 8.90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Barlaser | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Changa Chaiwa | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Felix Passlack | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Josh Campbell | F | 64 | 8.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Owen Elding | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Boyle | F | 75 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Šuto | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Joe Newell | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Falkirk vs Hibernian?
The final score was Falkirk 1–3 Hibernian.
What did the model predict before Falkirk vs Hibernian?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Falkirk win, 21% to a draw, and 21% to an Hibernian win.