Scottish Premiership
· Championship Group - 36
May 09, 2026 16:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Falkirk, result Hibernian wins
B. Broggio
(ast. B. Spencer)
73'
3'
(ast. J. Obita)
J. Campbell
20'
(ast. M. Boyle)
J. Campbell
40'
(ast. F. Passlack)
J. Obita
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Falkirk a 57% win probability (draw 21%, Hibernian 21%). The final result was Falkirk 1–3 Hibernian. In 4 previous meetings, Falkirk have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Hibernian.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
4
0.48
Actual xG
0.98
2
Saves
0
67%
Possession
33%
6
Corners
4
8
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
ast. J. Obita ·
J. Campbell⚽
20'
ast. M. Boyle ·
J. Campbell⚽
L. McCann
/ L. Henderson
37'
40'
ast. F. Passlack ·
J. Obita⚽
K. Wilson
/ B. Parkinson
59'
F. Yeats
/ B. Broggio
60'
61'
J. Campbell
63'
J. Newell
/
J. Campbell
F. Lissah
/ E. Ross
70'
D. Tait
/ H. Cartwright
70'
⚽B. Broggio
· ast. B. Spencer
73'
75'
K. Andrews
/
M. Chaiwa
75'
A. Suto
/
M. Boyle
90'+3
C. Cadden
/
O. Elding
Pre-match prediction
57.3%
Falkirk
21.2%
X
21.51%
Hibernian ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Hibernian)
21.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.03
0.48
-1.55
1.01
0.98
-0.03
Hibernian dominated by xG (0.98 vs 0.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
3
L. McCann
37'
D
L. McCann
37'
D
20
C. Allan
D
C. Allan
D
15
D
28
F. Lissah
70'
D
F. Lissah
70'
D
21
D. Tait
70'
M
D. Tait
70'
M
8
B. Spencer
1 👟
M
B. Spencer
1 👟
M
29
C. Miller
M
C. Miller
M
14
F. Yeats
59'
M
F. Yeats
59'
M
22
Kyrell Wilson
59'
M
Kyrell Wilson
59'
M
16
Barney Stewart
F
Barney Stewart
F
Bench
11
B. Broggio
1 ⚽
31'
M
B. Broggio
1 ⚽
31'
M
27
Ben Parkinson
31'
F
Ben Parkinson
31'
F
6
C. Donaldson
D
C. Donaldson
D
17
Henry Cartwright
20'
M
Henry Cartwright
20'
M
5
L. Henderson
53'
D
L. Henderson
53'
D
1
R. Sallinger
G
R. Sallinger
G
15
J. Iredale
D
J. Iredale
D
4
G. Hanley
D
G. Hanley
D
5
W. O'Hora
D
W. O'Hora
D
21
J. Obita
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
J. Obita
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
22
D. Barlaser
M
D. Barlaser
M
14
M. Chaiwa
75'
M
M. Chaiwa
75'
M
25
F. Passlack
1 👟
M
F. Passlack
1 👟
M
32
J. Campbell
2 ⚽
64'
F
J. Campbell
2 ⚽
64'
F
47
O. Elding
F
O. Elding
F
10
M. Boyle
1 👟
75'
F
M. Boyle
1 👟
75'
F
Bench
77
A. Šuto
15'
F
A. Šuto
15'
F
44
D. Scarlett
F
D. Scarlett
F
11
J. Newell
26'
M
J. Newell
26'
M
19
N. Cadden
M
N. Cadden
M
Best on the pitch
J. Obita
M · Hibernian
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 16 pass
B. Broggio
M · Falkirk
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
J. Campbell
F · Hibernian
8.00
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
B. Spencer
M · Falkirk
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 63 pass
M. Boyle
F · Hibernian
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 13 pass
L. Henderson
D · Falkirk
6.90
· 43 pass
Falkirk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| L. McCann | D | 37 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Allan | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 68 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | — | — | — | |
| F. Lissah | D | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Tait | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 48 | 35% | — | — | — |
| B. Spencer | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 63 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Miller | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| F. Yeats | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Kyrell Wilson | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Barney Stewart | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Broggio | M | 31 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Ben Parkinson | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Henry Cartwright | M | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| L. Henderson | D | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 41% | — | — | — |
Hibernian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sallinger | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Iredale | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Hanley | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| W. O'Hora | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Obita | M | 90 | 8.90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Barlaser | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Chaiwa | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| F. Passlack | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Campbell | F | 64 | 8.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Elding | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Boyle | F | 75 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Šuto | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Newell | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Falkirk vs Hibernian?
The final score was Falkirk 1–3 Hibernian.
What did the model predict before Falkirk vs Hibernian?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Falkirk win, 21% to a draw, and 21% to an Hibernian win.