Scottish Premiership · 1st Phase - 31 March 21, 2026 17:00

Falkirk

#6 · 46 pts

1 – 2

Final score

ST Mirren

#5 · 33 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Falkirk, result ST Mirren vince

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Falkirk a 67% win probability (draw 20%, ST Mirren 12%). The final result was Falkirk 1–2 ST Mirren. In 2 previous meetings, Falkirk have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for ST Mirren.

Match statistics

2

Shots on target

4

1.34

Actual xG

0.91

58%

Possession

42%

7

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

67.12%

Falkirk

20.8%

X

12.08%

ST ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (ST Mirren) 12.08% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Falkirk

1.84

1.34

-0.5

ST

0.38

0.91

+0.53

Falkirk dominated by xG (1.34 vs 0.91). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Heart Of Midlothian	33	70
1	Heart Of Midlothian	37	80
1	Dundee Utd	37	44
2	Rangers	33	69
2	Celtic	37	79
2	Aberdeen	37	40
3	Dundee	37	39
3	Celtic	33	67
3	Rangers	37	69
4	Motherwell	37	58
4	Kilmarnock	37	37
4	Motherwell	33	54
5	ST Mirren	37	33
5	Hibernian	33	51
5	Hibernian	37	57
6	Livingston	37	21
6	Falkirk	33	46
6	Falkirk	37	49
7	Dundee Utd	33	40
8	Aberdeen	33	33
9	Dundee	33	33
10	ST Mirren	33	30
11	Kilmarnock	33	28
12	Livingston	33	16