Scottish Premiership
· 1st Phase - 31
March 21, 2026 16:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Falkirk, result ST Mirren wins
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Falkirk a 67% win probability (draw 20%, ST Mirren 12%). The final result was Falkirk 1–2 ST Mirren. In 3 previous meetings, Falkirk have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for ST Mirren.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
4
1.34
Actual xG
0.91
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
67.12%
Falkirk
20.8%
X
12.08%
ST ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (ST Mirren)
12.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.84
1.34
-0.5
0.38
0.91
+0.53
Falkirk dominated by xG (1.34 vs 0.91).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Falkirk vs ST Mirren?
The final score was Falkirk 1–2 ST Mirren.
What did the model predict before Falkirk vs ST Mirren?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Falkirk win, 20% to a draw, and 12% to an ST Mirren win.