Scottish Premiership · 1st Phase - 31 March 21, 2026 16:00

Falkirk

#2 · 0 pts

1 – 2

Final score

ST Mirren

#7 · 0 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Falkirk, result ST Mirren wins

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Falkirk a 67% win probability (draw 20%, ST Mirren 12%). The final result was Falkirk 1–2 ST Mirren. In 2 previous meetings, Falkirk have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for ST Mirren.

Match statistics

2

Shots on target

4

1.34

Actual xG

0.91

58%

Possession

42%

7

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

67.12%

Falkirk

20.8%

X

12.08%

ST ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (ST Mirren) 12.08% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Falkirk

1.84

1.34

-0.5

ST

0.38

0.91

+0.53

Falkirk dominated by xG (1.34 vs 0.91). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Dundee Utd	0	0
2	Falkirk	0	0
3	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0
4	Hibernian	0	0
5	Kilmarnock	0	0
6	Motherwell	0	0
7	ST Mirren	0	0
8	Dundee	0	0
9	ST Johnstone	0	0
10	Celtic	0	0
11	Rangers	0	0
12	Aberdeen	0	0