Famalicao - Alverca

Primeira Liga May 16, 2026 21:30

Famalicao

#5 · 53 pts

21:30

vs

Alverca

#11 · 39 pts

Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 13.5°C 💨 9 km/h · Vila Nova de Famalicao

⚡ Pre-match analysis

53.63%

Win

Famalicao

25.73%

Draw

20.64%

Win

Alverca

1.43

Expected xG

0.77

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Famalicao a 53% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Alverca. Expected goals are 1.4 for Famalicao and 0.8 for Alverca (total 2.2), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.9% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Famalicao have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Alverca.

Score Matrix

↕ Famalicao Alverca →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11.1%	8.6%	3.3%	0.8%	0.2%	—
1	15.9%	12.2%	4.7%	1.2%	0.2%	—
2	11.3%	8.7%	3.4%	0.9%	0.2%	—
3	5.4%	4.1%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%	—
4	1.9%	1.5%	0.6%	0.1%	—	—
5	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	—	—	—

Recent form

Famalicao

D Estrela 0–0

D Benfica 2–2

W Estoril 0–1

D SC Braga 2–2

D Moreirense 1–1

Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 43%

Alverca

D Estoril 1–1

L FC Porto 1–0

W Arouca 2–1

L Nacional 1–0

W Casa Pia 3–1

Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 12%

Playing profile

Famalicao

Attack

42

Defence

74

Form

54

Alverca

Attack

38

Defence

63

Form

45

Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0

Famalicao

0

Draw

1

Alverca

L 4 Jan 2026 Primeira Liga 0–1

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Porto	33	85
2	Sporting CP	33	79
3	Benfica	33	77
4	SC Braga	33	58
5	Famalicao	33	53
6	GIL Vicente	33	50
7	Moreirense	33	42
8	Guimaraes	33	42
9	Estoril	33	39
10	Arouca	33	39
11	Alverca	33	39
12	Santa Clara	33	36
13	Rio Ave	33	35
14	Nacional	33	31
15	Estrela	33	29
16	Casa Pia	33	29
17	Tondela	33	28
18	AVS	33	20