Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 34
May 16, 2026 21:30
U. Abubakar
(ast. Rafa Soares)
83'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Famalicao a 54% win probability (draw 25%, Alverca 20%). The final result was Famalicao 1–0 Alverca. In 1 previous meetings, Famalicao have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Alverca.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
1
0.56
Actual xG
0.46
1
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
6
Corners
5
17
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
20'
N. Touaizi
T. Van de Looi
38'
S. Elisor
/ U. Abubakar
65'
T. Van de Looi
/ Pedro Bondo
81'
81'
D. Gui
/
Rhaldney
Gil Dias
/ R. Beney
81'
⚽U. Abubakar
· ast. Rafa Soares
83'
86'
Chiquinho
Sorriso
/ M. Pena
87'
G. Sa
/ A. Joujou
87'
88'
V. Moreira
/
Figueiredo
88'
Felipe Lima
/
Sandro Lima
88'
F. Garcia
/
Lincoln
90'+1
Kauan
/
N. Touaizi
Pre-match prediction
54.42%
Famalicao ←
25.37%
X
20.2%
Alverca
we assigned to the actual result (Famalicao)
54.42%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.43
0.56
-0.87
0.77
0.46
-0.31
xG dominance was balanced (0.56 – 0.46).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
Lazar Carević
G
Lazar Carević
G
5
Rafa Soares
1 👟
D
Rafa Soares
1 👟
D
16
Justin De Haas
D
Justin De Haas
D
3
Léo Realpe
D
Léo Realpe
D
17
Rodrigo Pinheiro
D
Rodrigo Pinheiro
D
14
Mathias De Amorim
M
Mathias De Amorim
M
6
Tom Van De Looi
81'
M
Tom Van De Looi
81'
M
7
Sorriso
87'
M
Sorriso
87'
M
20
Gustavo Sá
87'
M
Gustavo Sá
87'
M
23
Gil Dias
81'
M
Gil Dias
81'
M
12
Simon Elisor
65'
F
Simon Elisor
65'
F
Bench
77
Antoine Joujou
7'
F
Antoine Joujou
7'
F
2
Gustavo García
D
Gustavo García
D
1
Ivan Zlobin
G
Ivan Zlobin
G
8
Marcos Peña
7'
M
Marcos Peña
7'
M
36
Matheus Mattara
D
Matheus Mattara
D
28
Pedro Bondo
D
Pedro Bondo
D
80
Pedro Santos
13'
F
Pedro Santos
13'
F
18
R. Beney
13'
F
R. Beney
13'
F
9
Umar Abubakar
1 ⚽
29'
F
Umar Abubakar
1 ⚽
29'
F
31
Matheus Mendes
G
Matheus Mendes
G
15
Ikker dos Santos
D
Ikker dos Santos
D
4
Kaiky Naves
D
Kaiky Naves
D
14
Steven Baseya
D
Steven Baseya
D
82
Diogo Spencer
M
Diogo Spencer
M
18
Lincoln
88'
M
Lincoln
88'
M
26
Rhaldney
81'
M
Rhaldney
81'
M
2
Nabil Touaizi
M
Nabil Touaizi
M
10
Chiquinho
F
Chiquinho
F
91
Sandro Lima
88'
F
20
Figueiredo
88'
F
Figueiredo
88'
F
Bench
11
Cédric Nuozzi
F
Cédric Nuozzi
F
6
Davy Gui
13'
M
Davy Gui
13'
M
98
Fabrício Garcia
6'
F
Fabrício Garcia
6'
F
77
Felipe Lima
6'
F
37
Kauan Gomes
3'
D
Kauan Gomes
3'
D
1
Mateus Oliveira
G
Mateus Oliveira
G
5
Sergi Gómez
D
Sergi Gómez
D
17
Vasco Moreira
6'
M
Vasco Moreira
6'
M
35
Zakaria Kassary
M
Zakaria Kassary
M
Best on the pitch
Umar Abubakar
F · Famalicao
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 4 pass
Chiquinho
F · Alverca
7.30
1 shots
· 17 pass
Kaiky Naves
D · Alverca
7.30
· 59 pass
Rafa Soares
D · Famalicao
7.20
1 👟
· 36 pass
Justin De Haas
D · Famalicao
7.20
· 70 pass
Rodrigo Pinheiro
D · Famalicao
7.20
· 35 pass
Famalicao — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazar Carević | G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Rafa Soares | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Justin De Haas | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 70 | 66% | 4 | — | — |
| Léo Realpe | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 62 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Pinheiro | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Mathias De Amorim | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Tom Van De Looi | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sorriso | M | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Sá | M | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Gil Dias | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Simon Elisor | F | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Antoine Joujou | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Peña | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Santos | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| R. Beney | F | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Umar Abubakar | F | 29 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Alverca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Mendes | G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Ikker dos Santos | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Kaiky Naves | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| Steven Baseya | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Diogo Spencer | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Lincoln | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Rhaldney | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Nabil Touaizi | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Chiquinho | F | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Sandro Lima | F | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Figueiredo | F | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Davy Gui | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabrício Garcia | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Lima | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Kauan Gomes | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Vasco Moreira | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Famalicao vs Alverca?
The final score was Famalicao 1–0 Alverca.
What did the model predict before Famalicao vs Alverca?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Famalicao win, 25% to a draw, and 20% to an Alverca win.