Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 32
May 03, 2026 19:00
T. Cukur
(ast. I. Lichnovsky)
17'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fatih Karagümrük a 48% win probability (draw 29%, Gençlerbirliği S.K. 21%). The final result was Fatih Karagümrük 1–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K.. In 1 previous meetings, Fatih Karagümrük have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gençlerbirliği S.K..
Match statistics
5
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
4
0.81
Actual xG
2.14
3
Saves
1
37%
Possession
63%
1
Corners
5
14
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽T. Cukur
· ast. I. Lichnovsky
17'
I. Lichnovsky
45'+4
45'+5
(missed pen.)
M. Mimaroglu⚽
45'+6
D. Goutas
B. Kalayci
/ S. Larsson
46'
T. Ahmed
/ Serginho
46'
49'
A. Dursun
B. Ozcan
/ B. Elmaz
58'
69'
C. Canak
/
S. Onur
T. Cukur
70'
77'
G. Gurpuz
/
M. Mimaroglu
77'
M. Niang
/
A. Traore
82'
P. Pereira
/
F. Tongya
82'
O. Ulgun
/
A. Dursun
T. Cukur
/ A. Cinar
84'
S. Babicka
/ C. Kurukalip
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
48.86%
Fatih ←
29.88%
X
21.26%
Gençlerbirliği
we assigned to the actual result (Fatih Karagümrük)
48.86%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
0.81
-0.37
0.54
2.14
+1.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K. dominated by xG (2.14 vs 0.81).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
25
F. Mladenovic
D
3
Igor Lichnovsky
1 👟
D
4
D
47
D
5
M. Kranevitter
M
8
B. Ozcan
59'
M
80
S. Babicka
M
72
B. Kalayci
45'
M
88
T. Ahmed
45'
M
21
T. Cukur
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
94
A. Cinar
8'
D
6
B. Elmaz
33'
M
33
Çağtay Kurukalıp
D
70
Serginho
47'
M
23
S. Larsson
47'
M
24
G
77
A. Dursun
82'
D
4
Žan Žužek
D
6
D. Goutas
D
88
D
8
S. Onur
69'
M
42
O. Diabate
M
10
M. Mimaroglu
78'
M
70
F. Tongya
82'
M
20
A. Traore
78'
M
22
S. Koita
F
Bench
18
E. Erenturk
G
11
G. Gurpuz
14'
M
29
M. Niang
14'
F
35
O. Ulgun
10'
M
13
Pedro Pereira
10'
D
15
T. Dele-Bashiru
M
Best on the pitch
G · Fatih
7.70
· 41 pass
T. Cukur
F · Fatih
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
D · Fatih
7.30
· 29 pass
M. Kranevitter
M · Fatih
7.30
· 38 pass
O. Diabate
M · Gençlerbirliği
7.30
1 shots
· 47 pass
Žan Žužek
D · Gençlerbirliği
7.20
· 99 pass
Fatih Karagümrük — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| F. Mladenovic | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Igor Lichnovsky | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | 6 | — | — | |
| M. Kranevitter | M | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Ozcan | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Babicka | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Kalayci | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| T. Ahmed | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Cukur | F | 84 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Cinar | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| B. Elmaz | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Serginho | M | 47 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Larsson | M | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| A. Dursun | D | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| Žan Žužek | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 99 | 89% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Goutas | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 103 | 92% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 34% | 3 | — | — | |
| S. Onur | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Diabate | M | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Mimaroglu | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Tongya | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Traore | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| S. Koita | F | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Gurpuz | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Niang | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Ulgun | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Pereira | D | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.?
The final score was Fatih Karagümrük 1–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K..
What did the model predict before Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Fatih Karagümrük win, 29% to a draw, and 21% to an Gençlerbirliği S.K. win.