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T. Cukur (ast. I. Lichnovsky) 17'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fatih Karagümrük a 48% win probability (draw 29%, Gençlerbirliği S.K. 21%). The final result was Fatih Karagümrük 1–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K.. In 1 previous meetings, Fatih Karagümrük have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gençlerbirliği S.K..

Match statistics
5
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
4
0.81
Actual xG
2.14
3
Saves
1
37%
Possession
63%
1
Corners
5
14
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽T. Cukur · ast. I. Lichnovsky
17'
I. Lichnovsky
45'+4
45'+5
(missed pen.) M. Mimaroglu⚽
45'+6
D. Goutas
↕ B. Kalayci / S. Larsson
46'
↕ T. Ahmed / Serginho
46'
49'
A. Dursun
↕ B. Ozcan / B. Elmaz
58'
69'
C. Canak / S. Onur ↕
T. Cukur
70'
77'
G. Gurpuz / M. Mimaroglu ↕
77'
M. Niang / A. Traore ↕
82'
P. Pereira / F. Tongya ↕
82'
O. Ulgun / A. Dursun ↕
↕ T. Cukur / A. Cinar
84'
↕ S. Babicka / C. Kurukalip
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
48.86%
Fatih ←
29.88%
X
21.26%
Gençlerbirliği
we assigned to the actual result (Fatih Karagümrük) 48.86% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fatih
1.18
0.81
-0.37
Gençlerbirliği
0.54
2.14
+1.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K. dominated by xG (2.14 vs 0.81). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Galatasaray Galatasaray 9 22
2 Amed Amed 9 20
3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 9 19
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 9 18
5 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 9 16
6 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 9 16
7 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 9 15
8 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 9 14
9 Çorum FK Çorum FK 9 13
10 Göztepe Göztepe 9 12
11 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 9 12
12 Başakşehir Başakşehir 9 11
13 Rizespor Rizespor 9 10
14 Konyaspor Konyaspor 9 8
15 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 9 8
16 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K. 9 8
17 Samsunspor Samsunspor 9 4
18 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 9 3
Lineups
13
G 7.70
25 F. Mladenović F. Mladenović D 6.70
3 I. Lichnovsky I. Lichnovsky 1 👟 D 6.90
4
D 6.60
47
D 7.30
5 M. Kranevitter M. Kranevitter M 7.30
8 Berkay Özcan Berkay Özcan 59' M 6.60
80 S. Babicka S. Babicka M 6.90
72 Baris Kalayci Baris Kalayci 45' M 6.30
88 Traore Ahmed Traore Ahmed 45' M 6.30
21 T. Çukur T. Çukur 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.60
Bench
94 A. Çınar A. Çınar 8' D 6.30
6 Bartuğ Elmaz Bartuğ Elmaz 33' M 6.90
33 Ç. Kurukalıp Ç. Kurukalıp D
70 Serginho Serginho 47' M 6.60
23 S. Larsson S. Larsson 47' M 6.30
24
G 6.70
77 Abdurrahim Dursun Abdurrahim Dursun 82' D 6.60
4 Ž. Žužek Ž. Žužek D 7.20
6 Dimitris Goutas Dimitris Goutas D 6.90
88
D 6.30
8 Samed Onur Samed Onur 69' M 6.60
42 Ousmane Diabate Ousmane Diabate M 7.30
10 Metehan Mimaroğlu Metehan Mimaroğlu 78' M 6.30
70 Franco Tongya Franco Tongya 82' M 6.30
20 Adama Malouda Traoré Adama Malouda Traoré 78' M 6.70
22 Sekou Koita Sekou Koita F 6.30
Bench
18 Erhan Erentürk Erhan Erentürk G
11 Göktan Gürpüz Göktan Gürpüz 14' M 6.50
29 M. Niang M. Niang 14' F 6.30
35 Oğulcan Ülgün Oğulcan Ülgün 10' M 6.30
13 Pedro Pereira Pedro Pereira 10' D 6.50
15 T. Dele-Bashiru T. Dele-Bashiru M
Best on the pitch
G · Fatih
7.70
· 41 pass
T. Çukur
T. Çukur
F · Fatih
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
D · Fatih
7.30
· 29 pass
M. Kranevitter
M. Kranevitter
M · Fatih
7.30
· 38 pass
Ousmane Diabate
Ousmane Diabate
M · Gençlerbirliği
7.30
1 shots · 47 pass
Ž. Žužek
Ž. Žužek
D · Gençlerbirliği
7.20
· 99 pass
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 92 7.70 — — — 41 25% — — —
F. Mladenović D 92 6.70 — — — 24 18% — — —
I. Lichnovsky D 92 6.90 — 1 — 38 33% 1 1 —
D 92 6.60 — — — 33 19% — — —
D 92 7.30 — — — 29 18% 6 — —
M. Kranevitter M 92 7.30 — — — 38 29% 1 — —
Berkay Özcan M 59 6.60 — — 1 25 22% 1 — —
S. Babicka M 92 6.90 — — 1 15 10% 2 — —
Baris Kalayci M 45 6.30 — — — 5 4% — — —
Traore Ahmed M 45 6.30 — — — 6 4% 1 — —
T. Çukur F 84 7.60 1 — 1 27 21% — 1 —
A. Çınar D 8 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Bartuğ Elmaz M 33 6.90 — — — 20 17% — — —
Serginho M 47 6.60 — — 1 13 8% 2 — —
S. Larsson M 47 6.30 — — 1 15 15% — — —
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K. — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 92 6.70 — — — 33 27% — — —
Abdurrahim Dursun D 82 6.60 — — — 46 38% — 1 —
Ž. Žužek D 92 7.20 — — — 99 89% 1 — —
Dimitris Goutas D 92 6.90 — — 3 103 92% — 1 —
D 92 6.30 — — 1 42 34% 3 — —
Samed Onur M 69 6.60 — — 2 55 51% 1 — —
Ousmane Diabate M 92 7.30 — — 1 47 41% 3 — —
Metehan Mimaroğlu M 78 6.30 — — 1 16 12% 1 — —
Franco Tongya M 82 6.30 — — 2 29 26% 2 — —
Adama Malouda Traoré M 78 6.70 — — 1 26 22% — — —
Sekou Koita F 92 6.30 — — 2 20 18% 1 — —
Göktan Gürpüz M 14 6.50 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
M. Niang F 14 6.30 — — — — — — — —
Oğulcan Ülgün M 10 6.30 — — — 7 4% — — —
Pedro Pereira D 10 6.50 — — — 11 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.?
The final score was Fatih Karagümrük 1–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K..
What did the model predict before Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Fatih Karagümrük win, 29% to a draw, and 21% to an Gençlerbirliği S.K. win.