Liga MX · Clausura - 17 April 26, 2026 05:00

FC Juarez

#1 · 3 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Atletico San Luis

#13 · 18 pts

✓Model correct — prediction FC Juarez

E. Ayon 12'

E. Ayon 44' (pen.)

(pen.) 45'+5 Joao Pedro Galvao

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Juarez a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Atletico San Luis 20%). The final result was FC Juarez 2–1 Atletico San Luis. In 1 previous meetings, FC Juarez have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Atletico San Luis.

Match statistics

10

Total shots

8

4

Shots on target

4

1.73

Actual xG

1.24

3

Saves

2

54%

Possession

46%

4

Corners

4

13

Tackles

11

0

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽E. Ayon

12'

⚽E. Ayon (pen.)

44'

45'+5

(pen.) Joao Pedro Galvao⚽

46'

L. Flores / B. Galdames ↕

61'

A. Duarte / R. Meraz ↕

↕ E. Ayon / L. Dupuy

66'

↕ Madson / Guilherme Castilho

66'

78'

Lucas Esteves / A. Cruz ↕

78'

M. Garcia / O. Macias ↕

81'

A. Duarte

85'

S. Munoz / D. Rodriguez ↕

↕ J. M. Torres Ramirez I. / Ricardinho

90'+1

↕ Puma / J. Carmona

90'+6

↕ D. Garcia / H. E. Martinez Yepez

90'

Pre-match prediction

56.71%

FC ←

23.19%

X

20.1%

Atletico

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Juarez) 56.71% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FC

1.91

1.73

-0.18

Atletico

0.96

1.24

+0.28

FC Juarez dominated by xG (1.73 vs 1.24). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Monterrey	2	3
1	Toluca	17	37
1	Guadalajara Chivas	16	35
1	Toluca	2	3
1	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	17	36
1	CF Pachuca	1	3
1	Cruz Azul	2	4
1	FC Juarez	1	3
2	Tigres UANL	17	36
2	Tigres UANL	2	3
2	Toluca	2	3
2	CF Pachuca	1	0
2	Guadalajara Chivas	17	36
2	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	16	33
2	Toluca	2	4
2	Club Tijuana	1	3
3	Tigres UANL	2	3
3	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	1	0
3	Cruz Azul	17	35
3	Cruz Azul	17	33
3	Cruz Azul	2	2
3	CF Pachuca	16	31
4	Tigres UANL	2	2
4	Cruz Azul	16	30
4	Monterrey	2	3
4	Club America	17	34
4	FC Juarez	1	0
4	CF Pachuca	17	31
5	Toluca	16	27
5	Toluca	17	30
5	Monterrey	17	31
5	Club America	2	3
6	Atlas	17	26
6	Guadalajara Chivas	17	29
6	Club Tijuana	2	3
6	Club America	16	25
7	Atlas	16	23
7	Tigres UANL	17	25
7	Club Tijuana	17	24
7	Guadalajara Chivas	2	1
8	FC Juarez	17	23
8	Club America	17	25
8	FC Juarez	2	1
8	Tigres UANL	16	22
9	Club Tijuana	17	23
9	CF Pachuca	17	22
9	Club Tijuana	16	22
10	Leon	16	22
10	Leon	17	22
10	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	17	21
11	Santos Laguna	17	20
11	Club Queretaro	17	20
11	Club Queretaro	17	20
12	Club Queretaro	17	20
12	FC Juarez	17	19
12	Monterrey	16	18
13	Monterrey	17	18
13	Atletico San Luis	16	18
13	Necaxa	17	17
14	Atletico San Luis	17	18
14	Atlas	17	17
14	Necaxa	16	18
15	Necaxa	17	18
15	FC Juarez	16	16
15	Atletico San Luis	17	16
16	Mazatlán	17	15
16	Mazatlán	17	14
16	Mazatlán	16	15
17	Leon	17	13
17	Puebla	17	13
17	Puebla	17	13
18	Santos Laguna	17	12
18	Puebla	17	12
18	Santos Laguna	16	9

Lineups

FC Juarez 4-2-3-1

1

S. Jurado G 6.90

4

D 7.20

26

D 7.90

2

J. Murillo D 6.50

33

F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin D 7.20

6

Monchu M 6.90

5

D. Garcia 89' M 7.30

11

Puma 89' M 7.00

20

J. M. Torres Ramirez I. 89' M 6.90

9

Madson 66' M 7.20

29

E. Ayon 2 ⚽ 66' F 8.30

Bench

8

Guilherme Castilho 24' M 6.20

18

H. E. Martinez Yepez 8' M 6.70

22

J. Aquino M

17

L. Dupuy 24' F 6.50

13

R. Fulgencio M

Atletico San Luis 4-4-2

1

Andrés Sánchez G 6.90

18

A. Cruz 78' D 5.60

31

E. Aguila D 6.30

6

D 6.30

2

D 6.20

7

B. Galdames 45' M 6.50

21

O. Macias 78' M 7.20

5

R. Meraz 61' M 6.00

11

D. Rodriguez 85' M 6.00

10

F 7.20

9

Joao Pedro Galvao 1 ⚽ F 7.20

Bench

17

A. Duarte 29' F 6.30

20

L. Flores 45' F 6.30

15

Lucas Esteves 12' D 6.30

26

S. Perez M

Best on the pitch

E. Ayon

F · FC

8.30

2 ⚽

3 shots · 8 pass

D · FC

7.90

1 shots · 37 pass

D. Garcia

M · FC

7.30

· 22 pass

F · Atletico

7.20

2 shots · 44 pass

Joao Pedro Galvao

F · Atletico

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 7 pass

O. Macias

M · Atletico

7.20

1 shots · 33 pass

FC Juarez — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Jurado	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	29	21%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	43	34%	1	—	—
	D	90	7.90	—	—	1	37	34%	1	—	—
J. Murillo	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	24	19%	1	—	—
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	35	29%	1	—	—
Monchu	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	45	38%	3	—	—
D. Garcia	M	89	7.30	—	—	—	22	22%	1	—	—
Puma	M	89	7.00	—	—	1	30	28%	1	—	—
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.	M	89	6.90	—	—	1	39	32%	1	—	—
Madson	M	66	7.20	—	—	—	16	12%	2	—	—
E. Ayon	F	66	8.30	2	—	3	8	4%	—	—	—
Guilherme Castilho	M	24	6.20	—	—	—	11	9%	—	—	—
H. E. Martinez Yepez	M	8	6.70	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
L. Dupuy	F	24	6.50	—	—	2	2	2%	1	—	—

Atletico San Luis — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Andrés Sánchez	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	21	14%	—	—	—
A. Cruz	D	78	5.60	—	—	—	28	19%	—	—	—
E. Aguila	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	38	33%	2	—	—
	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	35	26%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	27	20%	1	—	—
B. Galdames	M	45	6.50	—	—	—	14	12%	1	—	—
O. Macias	M	78	7.20	—	—	1	33	30%	—	—	—
R. Meraz	M	61	6.00	—	—	—	23	14%	3	—	—
D. Rodriguez	M	85	6.00	—	—	1	14	12%	1	—	—
	F	90	7.20	—	—	2	44	39%	3	—	—
Joao Pedro Galvao	F	90	7.20	1	—	1	7	4%	—	—	—
A. Duarte	F	29	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	1	—
L. Flores	F	45	6.30	—	—	2	7	2%	—	—	—
Lucas Esteves	D	12	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—