✓Model correct — prediction FC Juarez
E. Ayon
12'
E. Ayon
44'
(pen.)
(pen.)
45'+5
Joao Pedro Galvao
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Juarez a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Atletico San Luis 20%). The final result was FC Juarez 2–1 Atletico San Luis. In 1 previous meetings, FC Juarez have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Atletico San Luis.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
4
1.73
Actual xG
1.24
3
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
4
Corners
4
13
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽E. Ayon
12'
⚽E. Ayon
(pen.)
44'
45'+5
(pen.)
Joao Pedro Galvao⚽
46'
L. Flores
/
B. Galdames
61'
A. Duarte
/
R. Meraz
E. Ayon
/ L. Dupuy
66'
Madson
/ Guilherme Castilho
66'
78'
Lucas Esteves
/
A. Cruz
78'
M. Garcia
/
O. Macias
81'
A. Duarte
85'
S. Munoz
/
D. Rodriguez
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
/ Ricardinho
90'+1
Puma
/ J. Carmona
90'+6
D. Garcia
/ H. E. Martinez Yepez
90'
Pre-match prediction
56.71%
FC ←
23.19%
X
20.1%
Atletico
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FC Juarez)
56.71%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.91
1.73
-0.18
0.96
1.24
+0.28
FC Juarez dominated by xG (1.73 vs 1.24).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Sebastián Jurado
G
Sebastián Jurado
G
4
D
26
D
2
Jesús Murillo
D
Jesús Murillo
D
33
Francisco Nevarez
D
Francisco Nevarez
D
6
Monchu
M
Monchu
M
5
Denzell Garcia
89'
M
Denzell Garcia
89'
M
11
J. Rodríguez
89'
M
J. Rodríguez
89'
M
20
J. Torres
89'
M
J. Torres
89'
M
9
Madson de Souza Silva
66'
M
Madson de Souza Silva
66'
M
29
Ettson Ayón
2 ⚽
66'
F
Ettson Ayón
2 ⚽
66'
F
Bench
8
Guilherme Castilho
24'
M
Guilherme Castilho
24'
M
18
Homer Martinez
8'
M
Homer Martinez
8'
M
22
Javier Aquino
M
Javier Aquino
M
17
Luca Martínez Dupuy
24'
F
Luca Martínez Dupuy
24'
F
13
Raymundo Fulgencio
M
Raymundo Fulgencio
M
1
Andrés Sánchez
G
Andrés Sánchez
G
18
Aldo Cruz
78'
D
Aldo Cruz
78'
D
31
Eduardo Águila
D
Eduardo Águila
D
6
D
2
D
7
B. Galdames
45'
M
21
Oscar Macías
78'
M
Oscar Macías
78'
M
5
Roberto Meraz
61'
M
Roberto Meraz
61'
M
11
David Rodriguez
85'
M
David Rodriguez
85'
M
10
F
9
J. Galvão
1 ⚽
F
J. Galvão
1 ⚽
F
Bench
17
Anderson Duarte
29'
F
Anderson Duarte
29'
F
20
Leonardo Flores
45'
F
Leonardo Flores
45'
F
15
Lucas Esteves
12'
D
Lucas Esteves
12'
D
26
Sebastián Pérez Bouquet
M
Sebastián Pérez Bouquet
M
Best on the pitch
Ettson Ayón
F · FC
8.30
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 8 pass
D · FC
7.90
1 shots
· 37 pass
Denzell Garcia
M · FC
7.30
· 22 pass
F · Atletico
7.20
2 shots
· 44 pass
J. Galvão
F · Atletico
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Oscar Macías
M · Atletico
7.20
1 shots
· 33 pass
FC Juarez — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastián Jurado | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 34% | 1 | — | — | |
| Jesús Murillo | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Francisco Nevarez | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Monchu | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Denzell Garcia | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Torres | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Madson de Souza Silva | M | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Ettson Ayón | F | 66 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 3 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Castilho | M | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Homer Martinez | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Luca Martínez Dupuy | F | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Atletico San Luis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Sánchez | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Aldo Cruz | D | 78 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Águila | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — | |
| B. Galdames | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Oscar Macías | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Roberto Meraz | M | 61 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| David Rodriguez | M | 85 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 39% | 3 | — | — | |
| J. Galvão | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Anderson Duarte | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Leonardo Flores | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Esteves | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis?
The final score was FC Juarez 2–1 Atletico San Luis.
What did the model predict before FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis?
The model assigned 56% probability to a FC Juarez win, 23% to a draw, and 20% to an Atletico San Luis win.