Superliga
· Championship Group - 28
April 23, 2026 20:00
L. Nene
(ast. C. Yirenkyi)
83'
31'
(ast. S. Jorgensen)
P. Mortensen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aarhus a 44% win probability (draw 23%, FC Nordsjaelland 31%). The final result was FC Nordsjaelland 1–1 Aarhus. In 3 previous meetings, FC Nordsjaelland have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Aarhus.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
9
11
Shots on target
5
2.04
Actual xG
1.21
4
Saves
9
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
3
16
Tackles
29
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
31'
ast. S. Jorgensen ·
P. Mortensen⚽
P. Amoako
45'
65'
J. Andersen
/
F. Emmery
65'
K. Yakob
/
T. Bech
L. Sadio
/ L. Nene
66'
N. Markmann
/ V. Rutkjaer
67'
J. Lahteenmaki
/ V. Gustafsen
67'
J. Janssen
71'
78'
J. Serra
/
P. Mortensen
78'
F. Tingager
/
H. Dalsgaard
⚽L. Nene
· ast. C. Yirenkyi
83'
M. Brink
/ M. Heyde
89'
I. Adel
/ H. Rasmussen
90'+1
90'
T. Kristjansson
/
S. Jorgensen
Pre-match prediction
31.67%
FC
23.88%
X ←
44.44%
Aarhus
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.88%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.50
2.04
+0.54
1.99
1.21
-0.78
FC Nordsjaelland dominated by xG (2.04 vs 1.21).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Andreas Hansen
G
Andreas Hansen
G
36
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
1 👟
D
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
1 👟
D
3
D
45
Noah Markmann
67'
D
Noah Markmann
67'
D
23
Runar Robinsonn Norheim
M
Runar Robinsonn Norheim
M
18
Justin Janssen
M
Justin Janssen
M
6
M. Brink
89'
M
M. Brink
89'
M
25
Juho Lähteenmäki
67'
M
Juho Lähteenmäki
67'
M
14
Ibrahim Adel
F
Ibrahim Adel
F
37
Lamine Sadio
67'
F
Lamine Sadio
67'
F
10
P. Amoako
F
P. Amoako
F
Bench
17
Levy Nene
1 ⚽
29'
F
Levy Nene
1 ⚽
29'
F
47
Malte Heyde
7'
M
Malte Heyde
7'
M
1
Jesper Hansen
G
Jesper Hansen
G
19
Eric Kahl
D
Eric Kahl
D
3
Henrik Dalsgaard
78'
D
Henrik Dalsgaard
78'
D
2
F. Beijmo
D
F. Beijmo
D
39
Frederik Emmery
65'
M
Frederik Emmery
65'
M
10
M
4
Magnus Knudsen
M
Magnus Knudsen
M
11
G. Links
M
G. Links
M
31
T. Bech
65'
F
T. Bech
65'
F
8
Sebastian Jørgensen
1 👟
F
Sebastian Jørgensen
1 👟
F
9
P. Mortensen
1 ⚽
78'
F
P. Mortensen
1 ⚽
78'
F
Bench
5
Frederik Tingager
18'
D
Frederik Tingager
18'
D
26
Jacob Andersen
31'
D
Jacob Andersen
31'
D
57
James Bogere
F
James Bogere
F
13
Janni Serra
18'
F
Janni Serra
18'
F
17
Kevin Yakob
31'
M
Kevin Yakob
31'
M
Best on the pitch
Jesper Hansen
G · Aarhus
8.90
· 33 pass
Magnus Knudsen
M · Aarhus
8.30
· 41 pass
Levy Nene
F · FC
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
Henrik Dalsgaard
D · Aarhus
7.60
· 57 pass
G. Links
M · Aarhus
7.50
1 shots
· 29 pass
M. Brink
M · FC
7.50
· 86 pass
FC Nordsjaelland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Hansen | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 58 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 91 | 88% | — | — | — | |
| Noah Markmann | D | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Runar Robinsonn Norheim | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Justin Janssen | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 69 | 63% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Brink | M | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 86 | 79% | — | — | — |
| Juho Lähteenmäki | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Adel | F | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | 6 | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Lamine Sadio | F | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Amoako | F | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 13% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Levy Nene | F | 29 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Malte Heyde | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Aarhus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Hansen | G | 96 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Eric Kahl | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| Henrik Dalsgaard | D | 78 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 57 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Beijmo | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 50% | 4 | — | — |
| Frederik Emmery | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 47% | 1 | — | — | |
| Magnus Knudsen | M | 96 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 6 | — | — |
| G. Links | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 5 | — | — |
| T. Bech | F | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Jørgensen | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Mortensen | F | 78 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Frederik Tingager | D | 18 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Andersen | D | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Janni Serra | F | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Yakob | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus?
The final score was FC Nordsjaelland 1–1 Aarhus.
What did the model predict before FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus?
The model assigned 31% probability to a FC Nordsjaelland win, 23% to a draw, and 44% to an Aarhus win.