L. Nene
(ast. C. Yirenkyi)
83'
31'
(ast. S. Jorgensen)
P. Mortensen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aarhus a 44% win probability (draw 23%, FC Nordsjaelland 31%). The final result was FC Nordsjaelland 1–1 Aarhus. In 4 previous meetings, FC Nordsjaelland have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Aarhus.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
9
11
Shots on target
5
2.04
Actual xG
1.21
4
Saves
9
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
3
16
Tackles
29
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
31'
ast. S. Jorgensen ·
P. Mortensen⚽
P. Amoako
45'
65'
J. Andersen
/
F. Emmery
65'
K. Yakob
/
T. Bech
L. Sadio
/ L. Nene
66'
N. Markmann
/ V. Rutkjaer
67'
J. Lahteenmaki
/ V. Gustafsen
67'
J. Janssen
71'
78'
J. Serra
/
P. Mortensen
78'
F. Tingager
/
H. Dalsgaard
⚽L. Nene
· ast. C. Yirenkyi
83'
M. Brink
/ M. Heyde
89'
I. Adel
/ H. Rasmussen
90'+1
90'
T. Kristjansson
/
S. Jorgensen
Pre-match prediction
31.67%
FC
23.88%
X ←
44.44%
Aarhus
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.88%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.50
2.04
+0.54
1.99
1.21
-0.78
FC Nordsjaelland dominated by xG (2.04 vs 1.21).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
A. Hansen
G
A. Hansen
G
36
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
1 👟
D
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
1 👟
D
3
D
45
Noah Markmann
67'
D
Noah Markmann
67'
D
23
R. Norheim
M
R. Norheim
M
18
Justin Janssen
M
Justin Janssen
M
6
M. Brink
89'
M
M. Brink
89'
M
25
J. Lähteenmäki
67'
M
J. Lähteenmäki
67'
M
14
Ibrahim Adel
F
Ibrahim Adel
F
37
Lamine Sadio
67'
F
Lamine Sadio
67'
F
10
P. Amoako
F
P. Amoako
F
Bench
17
L. Nene
1 ⚽
29'
F
L. Nene
1 ⚽
29'
F
47
M. Heyde
7'
M
M. Heyde
7'
M
1
J. Hansen
G
J. Hansen
G
19
E. Kahl
D
E. Kahl
D
3
Henrik Dalsgaard
78'
D
Henrik Dalsgaard
78'
D
2
F. Beijmo
D
F. Beijmo
D
39
Frederik Emmery
65'
M
Frederik Emmery
65'
M
10
M
4
M. Knudsen
M
M. Knudsen
M
11
G. Links
M
G. Links
M
31
T. Bech
65'
F
T. Bech
65'
F
8
S. Jørgensen
1 👟
F
S. Jørgensen
1 👟
F
9
P. Mortensen
1 ⚽
78'
F
P. Mortensen
1 ⚽
78'
F
Bench
5
F. Tingager
18'
D
F. Tingager
18'
D
26
J. Andersen
31'
D
J. Andersen
31'
D
13
Janni Serra
18'
F
Janni Serra
18'
F
57
J. Bogere
F
J. Bogere
F
17
Kevin Yakob
31'
M
Kevin Yakob
31'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Hansen
G · Aarhus
8.90
· 33 pass
M. Knudsen
M · Aarhus
8.30
· 41 pass
L. Nene
F · FC
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
Henrik Dalsgaard
D · Aarhus
7.60
· 57 pass
G. Links
M · Aarhus
7.50
1 shots
· 29 pass
M. Brink
M · FC
7.50
· 86 pass
FC Nordsjaelland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hansen | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 58 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 91 | 88% | — | — | — | |
| Noah Markmann | D | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Norheim | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Justin Janssen | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 69 | 63% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Brink | M | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 86 | 79% | — | — | — |
| J. Lähteenmäki | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Adel | F | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | 6 | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Lamine Sadio | F | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Amoako | F | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 13% | 3 | 1 | — |
| L. Nene | F | 29 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Heyde | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Aarhus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hansen | G | 96 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | — | — | — |
| E. Kahl | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| Henrik Dalsgaard | D | 78 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 57 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Beijmo | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 50% | 4 | — | — |
| Frederik Emmery | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 47% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. Knudsen | M | 96 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 6 | — | — |
| G. Links | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 5 | — | — |
| T. Bech | F | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| S. Jørgensen | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Mortensen | F | 78 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Tingager | D | 18 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Andersen | D | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Janni Serra | F | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Yakob | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus?
The final score was FC Nordsjaelland 1–1 Aarhus.
What did the model predict before FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus?
The model assigned 31% probability to a FC Nordsjaelland win, 23% to a draw, and 44% to an Aarhus win.