FC Thun 3–8 BSC Young Boys — pre-match prediction — Super League — May 14, 2026

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Super League · Championship Group - 37 May 14, 2026 16:30

FC Thun

#1 · 74 pts

3 – 8

Final score

BSC Young Boys

#6 · 54 pts

E. Rastoder (ast. C. Ibayi) 11'

E. Rastoder (ast. J. Roth) 13'

L. Bertone 79'

1' (ast. S. Lauper) S. Essende

(pen.) 26' S. Essende

43' (ast. E. Fernandes) A. Sanches

(pen.) 54' S. Essende

64' (ast. A. Gigovic) A. Virginius

68' (ast. A. Virginius) C. Fassnacht

(pen.) 77' C. Bedia

81' (ast. A. Gigovic) C. Fassnacht

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Thun a 50% win probability (draw 21%, BSC Young Boys 27%). The final result was FC Thun 3–8 BSC Young Boys. In 3 previous meetings, FC Thun have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for BSC Young Boys.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.81

Actual xG

5.46

Saves

43%

Possession

57%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

ast. S. Lauper · S. Essende⚽

⚽E. Rastoder · ast. C. Ibayi

11'

⚽E. Rastoder · ast. J. Roth

13'

C. Ibayi

17'

26'

(pen.) S. Essende⚽

29'

E. Colley

43'

ast. E. Fernandes · A. Sanches⚽

M. Burki

45'+3

54'

(pen.) S. Essende⚽

↕ K. Imeri / B. Labeau

57'

↕ M. Kait / V. Matoshi

57'

↕ C. Ibayi / N. Reichmuth

57'

L. Bertone

61'

62'

A. Gigovic / E. Fernandes ↕

62'

A. Virginius / D. Males ↕

63'

C. Fassnacht / E. Colley ↕

64'

ast. A. Gigovic · A. Virginius⚽

68'

ast. A. Virginius · C. Fassnacht⚽

↕ E. Rastoder / N. Rupp

70'

75'

J. Hadjam / Y. Valery ↕

76'

C. Bedia / A. Sanches ↕

J. Bamert

76'

77'

(pen.) C. Bedia⚽

78'

S. Lauper

⚽L. Bertone

79'

↕ L. Bertone / D. Franke

79'

81'

ast. A. Gigovic · C. Fassnacht⚽

86'

S. Essende

N. Steffen

89'

Pre-match prediction

50.35%

21.9%

27.75%

BSC ←

we assigned to the actual result (BSC Young Boys) 27.75% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

1.86

1.81

-0.04

BSC

1.34

5.46

+4.12

BSC Young Boys dominated by xG (5.46 vs 1.81). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Thun	37	74
1	FC Luzern	37	50
2	FC ST. Gallen	37	69
2	Servette FC	37	50
3	Lausanne	37	42
3	FC Lugano	37	64
4	FC Zurich	37	38
4	FC Sion	37	62
5	Grasshoppers	37	30
5	FC Basel 1893	37	56
6	BSC Young Boys	37	54
6	FC Winterthur	37	23

Lineups

FC Thun 4-2-2-2

Niklas Steffen G 5.20

Michael Heule D 5.90

Marco Bürki 48' D 4.90

Jan Bamert 76' D 5.30

Fabio Fehr D 5.00

Mattias Käit 57' M 5.90

Leonardo Bertone 1 ⚽ 79' M 6.90

Kastriot Imeri 57' M 6.50

Justin Roth 1 👟 M 8.50

Elmin Rastoder 2 ⚽ 70' F 8.30

Christopher Ibayi 1 👟 57' F 6.20

Bench

Ashvin Balaruban D

Brighton Labeau 33' F 7.20

Dominik Franke 11' D 6.30

Furkan Dursun F

Lucien Dähler D

Nils Reichmuth 33' M 6.30

Noah Rupp 20' M 6.30

Tim Spycher G

Valmir Matoshi 33' M 6.20

BSC Young Boys 4-2-3-1

Marvin Keller G 6.20

Stefan Bukinac D 6.30

Loris Benito D 6.20

Sandro Lauper 1 👟 D 6.60

Yan Valery 75' D 6.00

Edimilson Fernandes 1 👟 62' M 7.50

Dominik Pech M 6.70

Ebrima Colley 63' M 6.50

Alvyn Sanches 1 ⚽ 76' M 7.60

Darian Maleš 63' M 7.50

Samuel Essende 3 ⚽ F 9.90

Bench

Alan Virginius 1 ⚽ 1 👟 27' F 8.30

Armin Gigović 2 👟 28' M 6.90

Chris Bedia 1 ⚽ 14' F 7.30

Christian Fassnacht 2 ⚽ 27' M 8.30

Dario Marzino G

Gregory Wüthrich D

Jaouen Hadjam 15' D 6.50

Joël Monteiro F

Tanguy Zoukrou D

Best on the pitch

Samuel Essende

F · BSC

9.90

3 ⚽

4 shots · 18 pass

Justin Roth

M · FC

8.50

1 👟

1 shots · 42 pass

Christian Fassnacht

M · BSC

8.30

2 ⚽

2 shots · 9 pass

Alan Virginius

F · BSC

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 12 pass

Elmin Rastoder

F · FC

8.30

2 ⚽

3 shots · 17 pass

Alvyn Sanches

M · BSC

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots · 29 pass

FC Thun — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Niklas Steffen	G	90	5.20	—	—	—	34	29%	—	1	—
Michael Heule	D	90	5.90	—	—	3	20	12%	1	—	—
Marco Bürki	D	48	4.90	—	—	—	33	28%	—	—	1
Jan Bamert	D	76	5.30	—	—	—	42	36%	2	—	1
Fabio Fehr	D	90	5.00	—	—	—	33	22%	4	—	—
Mattias Käit	M	57	5.90	—	—	—	10	10%	3	—	—
Leonardo Bertone	M	79	6.90	1	—	1	33	24%	4	1	—
Kastriot Imeri	M	57	6.50	—	—	2	20	13%	5	—	—
Justin Roth	M	90	8.50	—	1	1	42	40%	3	—	—
Elmin Rastoder	F	70	8.30	2	—	3	17	11%	—	—	—
Christopher Ibayi	F	57	6.20	—	1	1	14	10%	—	1	—
Brighton Labeau	F	33	7.20	—	—	1	5	2%	1	—	—
Dominik Franke	D	11	6.30	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
Nils Reichmuth	M	33	6.30	—	—	—	5	3%	1	—	—
Noah Rupp	M	20	6.30	—	—	—	6	6%	1	—	—
Valmir Matoshi	M	33	6.20	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—

BSC Young Boys — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Marvin Keller	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	32	23%	—	—	—
Stefan Bukinac	D	90	6.30	—	—	1	27	23%	1	—	—
Loris Benito	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	60	52%	2	—	—
Sandro Lauper	D	90	6.60	—	1	—	50	46%	2	1	—
Yan Valery	D	75	6.00	—	—	—	43	32%	1	—	—
Edimilson Fernandes	M	62	7.50	—	1	1	41	39%	2	—	—
Dominik Pech	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	37	31%	2	—	—
Ebrima Colley	M	63	6.50	—	—	2	19	16%	1	1	—
Alvyn Sanches	M	76	7.60	1	—	2	29	25%	2	—	—
Darian Maleš	M	63	7.50	—	—	—	16	14%	2	—	—
Samuel Essende	F	90	9.90	3	—	4	18	11%	—	1	—
Alan Virginius	F	27	8.30	1	1	1	12	11%	—	—	—
Armin Gigović	M	28	6.90	—	2	2	17	15%	—	—	—
Chris Bedia	F	14	7.30	1	—	2	3	3%	—	—	—
Christian Fassnacht	M	27	8.30	2	—	2	9	9%	—	—	—
Jaouen Hadjam	D	15	6.50	—	—	—	12	12%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?

The final score was FC Thun 3–8 BSC Young Boys.

What did the model predict before FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?

The model assigned 50% probability to a FC Thun win, 21% to a draw, and 27% to an BSC Young Boys win.