FC Thun 3–8 BSC Young Boys — pre-match prediction — Super League — May 14, 2026

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Super League · Championship Group - 37 May 14, 2026 16:30 Stockhorn Arena, Thun

FC Thun

#9 · 10 pts

3 – 8

Final score

BSC Young Boys

#2 · 19 pts

E. Rastoder (ast. C. Ibayi) 11'

E. Rastoder (ast. J. Roth) 13'

L. Bertone 79'

1' (ast. S. Lauper) S. Essende

(pen.) 26' S. Essende

43' (ast. E. Fernandes) A. Sanches

(pen.) 54' S. Essende

64' (ast. A. Gigovic) A. Virginius

68' (ast. A. Virginius) C. Fassnacht

(pen.) 77' C. Bedia

81' (ast. A. Gigovic) C. Fassnacht

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Thun a 50% win probability (draw 21%, BSC Young Boys 27%). The final result was FC Thun 3–8 BSC Young Boys. In 4 previous meetings, FC Thun have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for BSC Young Boys.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.81

Actual xG

5.46

Saves

43%

Possession

57%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

ast. S. Lauper · S. Essende⚽

⚽E. Rastoder · ast. C. Ibayi

11'

⚽E. Rastoder · ast. J. Roth

13'

C. Ibayi

17'

26'

(pen.) S. Essende⚽

29'

E. Colley

43'

ast. E. Fernandes · A. Sanches⚽

M. Burki

45'+3

54'

(pen.) S. Essende⚽

↕ K. Imeri / B. Labeau

57'

↕ M. Kait / V. Matoshi

57'

↕ C. Ibayi / N. Reichmuth

57'

L. Bertone

61'

62'

A. Gigovic / E. Fernandes ↕

62'

A. Virginius / D. Males ↕

63'

C. Fassnacht / E. Colley ↕

64'

ast. A. Gigovic · A. Virginius⚽

68'

ast. A. Virginius · C. Fassnacht⚽

↕ E. Rastoder / N. Rupp

70'

75'

J. Hadjam / Y. Valery ↕

76'

C. Bedia / A. Sanches ↕

J. Bamert

76'

77'

(pen.) C. Bedia⚽

78'

S. Lauper

⚽L. Bertone

79'

↕ L. Bertone / D. Franke

79'

81'

ast. A. Gigovic · C. Fassnacht⚽

86'

S. Essende

N. Steffen

89'

Pre-match prediction

50.35%

21.9%

27.75%

BSC ←

we assigned to the actual result (BSC Young Boys) 27.75% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

1.86

1.81

-0.04

BSC

1.34

5.46

+4.12

BSC Young Boys dominated by xG (5.46 vs 1.81). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Lugano	9	25
2	BSC Young Boys	9	19
3	FC Sion	9	19
4	FC Basel 1893	9	13
5	FC ST. Gallen	9	13
6	FC Luzern	9	12
7	FC Zurich	9	11
8	Servette FC	9	10
9	FC Thun	9	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	8
11	FC Vaduz	9	6
12	Lausanne	9	6

Lineups

FC Thun 4-2-2-2

N. Steffen G 5.20

M. Heule D 5.90

M. Bürki 48' D 4.90

J. Bamert 76' D 5.30

F. Fehr D 5.00

M. Käit 57' M 5.90

L. Bertone 1 ⚽ 79' M 6.90

K. Imeri 57' M 6.50

J. Roth 1 👟 M 8.50

E. Rastoder 2 ⚽ 70' F 8.30

C. Ibayi 1 👟 57' F 6.20

Bench

Ashvin Balaruban D

B. Labeau 33' F 7.20

Dominik Franke 11' D 6.30

F. Dursun F

L. Dähler D

Nils Reichmuth 33' M 6.30

Noah Rupp 20' M 6.30

T. Spycher G

V. Matoshi 33' M 6.20

BSC Young Boys 4-2-3-1

M. Keller G 6.20

S. Bukinac D 6.30

L. Benito D 6.20

S. Lauper 1 👟 D 6.60

Y. Valery 75' D 6.00

E. Fernandes 1 👟 62' M 7.50

D. Pech M 6.70

E. Colley 63' M 6.50

A. Sanches 1 ⚽ 76' M 7.60

D. Males 63' M 7.50

S. Essende 3 ⚽ F 9.90

Bench

A. Gigović 2 👟 28' M 6.90

A. Virginius 1 ⚽ 1 👟 27' F 8.30

C. Bedia 1 ⚽ 14' F 7.30

C. Fassnacht 2 ⚽ 27' M 8.30

Dario Marzino G

G. Wüthrich D

J. Hadjam 15' D 6.50

Joël Monteiro F

Tanguy Zoukrou D

Best on the pitch

S. Essende

F · BSC

9.90

3 ⚽

4 shots · 18 pass

J. Roth

M · FC

8.50

1 👟

1 shots · 42 pass

C. Fassnacht

M · BSC

8.30

2 ⚽

2 shots · 9 pass

A. Virginius

F · BSC

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 12 pass

E. Rastoder

F · FC

8.30

2 ⚽

3 shots · 17 pass

A. Sanches

M · BSC

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots · 29 pass

FC Thun — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Steffen	G	90	5.20	—	—	—	34	29%	—	1	—
M. Heule	D	90	5.90	—	—	3	20	12%	1	—	—
M. Bürki	D	48	4.90	—	—	—	33	28%	—	—	1
J. Bamert	D	76	5.30	—	—	—	42	36%	2	—	1
F. Fehr	D	90	5.00	—	—	—	33	22%	4	—	—
M. Käit	M	57	5.90	—	—	—	10	10%	3	—	—
L. Bertone	M	79	6.90	1	—	1	33	24%	4	1	—
K. Imeri	M	57	6.50	—	—	2	20	13%	5	—	—
J. Roth	M	90	8.50	—	1	1	42	40%	3	—	—
E. Rastoder	F	70	8.30	2	—	3	17	11%	—	—	—
C. Ibayi	F	57	6.20	—	1	1	14	10%	—	1	—
B. Labeau	F	33	7.20	—	—	1	5	2%	1	—	—
Dominik Franke	D	11	6.30	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
Nils Reichmuth	M	33	6.30	—	—	—	5	3%	1	—	—
Noah Rupp	M	20	6.30	—	—	—	6	6%	1	—	—
V. Matoshi	M	33	6.20	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—

BSC Young Boys — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Keller	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	32	23%	—	—	—
S. Bukinac	D	90	6.30	—	—	1	27	23%	1	—	—
L. Benito	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	60	52%	2	—	—
S. Lauper	D	90	6.60	—	1	—	50	46%	2	1	—
Y. Valery	D	75	6.00	—	—	—	43	32%	1	—	—
E. Fernandes	M	62	7.50	—	1	1	41	39%	2	—	—
D. Pech	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	37	31%	2	—	—
E. Colley	M	63	6.50	—	—	2	19	16%	1	1	—
A. Sanches	M	76	7.60	1	—	2	29	25%	2	—	—
D. Males	M	63	7.50	—	—	—	16	14%	2	—	—
S. Essende	F	90	9.90	3	—	4	18	11%	—	1	—
A. Gigović	M	28	6.90	—	2	2	17	15%	—	—	—
A. Virginius	F	27	8.30	1	1	1	12	11%	—	—	—
C. Bedia	F	14	7.30	1	—	2	3	3%	—	—	—
C. Fassnacht	M	27	8.30	2	—	2	9	9%	—	—	—
J. Hadjam	D	15	6.50	—	—	—	12	12%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?

The final score was FC Thun 3–8 BSC Young Boys.

What did the model predict before FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?

The model assigned 50% probability to a FC Thun win, 21% to a draw, and 27% to an BSC Young Boys win.