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Super League · Regular Season - 33 April 18, 2026 22:30
FC Thun
#1 · 74 pts
3 – 1
Final score
FC Basel 1893
#5 · 56 pts
✓Model correct — prediction FC Thun
C. Ibayi (ast. E. Rastoder) 28'
M. Heule (ast. K. Imeri) 53'
E. Rastoder (ast. M. Heule) 64'
56' (ast. A. Ajeti) J. Duranville

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Thun a 69% win probability (draw 16%, FC Basel 1893 14%). The final result was FC Thun 3–1 FC Basel 1893. In 3 previous meetings, FC Thun have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for FC Basel 1893.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
8
Shots on target
5
1.72
Actual xG
1.49
4
Saves
5
41%
Possession
59%
5
Corners
8
17
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Genís Montolio
14'
27'
Ibrahim Salah
⚽C. Ibayi · ast. E. Rastoder
28'
46'
J. Duranville / I. Salah ↕
⚽M. Heule · ast. K. Imeri
53'
56'
ast. A. Ajeti · J. Duranville⚽
58'
Leo Leroy
59'
K. Ruegg / N. Vouilloz ↕
↕ F. Meichtry / N. Rupp
63'
↕ K. Imeri / M. Kait
63'
⚽E. Rastoder · ast. M. Heule
64'
69'
G. Koloto / A. Ajeti ↕
70'
K. Koindredi / L. Leroy ↕
↕ C. Ibayi / V. Matoshi
74'
↕ J. Roth / B. Labeau
74'
80'
Xherdan Shaqiri
↕ M. Heule / M. Burki
90'+1
90'+1
M. Broschinski / Metinho ↕
Marco Burki
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
69.27%
FC ←
16.18%
X
14.56%
FC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Thun) 69.27% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.93
1.72
-1.21
FC
1.24
1.49
+0.25
xG dominance was balanced (1.72 – 1.49). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Thun FC Thun 37 74
1 FC Luzern FC Luzern 37 50
2 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 37 69
2 Servette FC Servette FC 37 50
3 Lausanne Lausanne 37 42
3 FC Lugano FC Lugano 37 64
4 FC Zurich FC Zurich 37 38
4 FC Sion FC Sion 37 62
5 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 37 30
5 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 37 56
6 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 37 54
6 FC Winterthur FC Winterthur 37 23
Lineups
FC Thun FC Thun 4-2-2-2
24 Niklas Steffen Niklas Steffen G 7.90
27 Michael Heule Michael Heule 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' D 9.90
19
D 7.60
4
Genís Montolio D 6.30
47 Fabio Fehr Fabio Fehr D 6.30
16 Justin Roth Justin Roth 74' M 6.60
6 Leonardo Bertone Leonardo Bertone M 6.60
7 Kastriot Imeri Kastriot Imeri 1 👟 63' M 6.90
77 E. Meichtry E. Meichtry 63' M 6.00
74 Elmin Rastoder Elmin Rastoder 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.90
18 Christopher Ibayi Christopher Ibayi 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.20
Bench
96 Brighton Labeau Brighton Labeau 16' F 6.50
23 Marco Bürki Marco Bürki 1' D
14 Mattias Käit Mattias Käit 27' M 6.60
78 Valmir Matoshi Valmir Matoshi 16' M 6.70
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.50
31 Dominik Schmid Dominik Schmid D 6.50
24 Flavius Daniliuc Flavius Daniliuc D 7.00
4 Bećir Omeragić Bećir Omeragić D 7.20
3 Nicolas Vouilloz Nicolas Vouilloz 59' D 6.20
5 Metinho Metinho 89' M 6.90
22 Leo Leroy Leo Leroy 70' M 6.60
11 Bénie Traoré Bénie Traoré M 6.60
10 Xherdan Shaqiri Xherdan Shaqiri M 6.90
21 Ibrahim Salah Ibrahim Salah 45' M 6.20
23 Albian Ajeti Albian Ajeti 1 👟 69' F 6.90
Bench
14 Andrej Bačanin Andrej Bačanin M
37 Giacomo Koloto Giacomo Koloto 21' F 6.90
18 Julien Duranville Julien Duranville 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.90
27 Kevin Rüegg Kevin Rüegg 31' D 6.50
8 Koba Koindredi Koba Koindredi 20' M 6.90
17
M. Broschinski 1' F
29 Moussa Cissé Moussa Cissé D
Best on the pitch
Michael Heule
Michael Heule
D · FC
9.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 21 pass
Elmin Rastoder
Elmin Rastoder
F · FC
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 17 pass
Niklas Steffen
Niklas Steffen
G · FC
7.90
· 34 pass
Julien Duranville
Julien Duranville
F · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
D · FC
7.60
· 33 pass
Bećir Omeragić
Bećir Omeragić
D · FC
7.20
1 shots · 32 pass
FC Thun FC Thun — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Niklas Steffen G 90 7.90 — — — 34 27% — — —
Michael Heule D 89 9.90 1 1 2 21 16% 6 — —
D 90 7.60 — — — 33 31% 1 — —
Genís Montolio D 90 6.30 — — — 40 28% 1 1 —
Fabio Fehr D 90 6.30 — — — 25 19% 1 — —
Justin Roth M 74 6.60 — — — 14 10% 3 — —
Leonardo Bertone M 90 6.60 — — 3 36 28% — — —
Kastriot Imeri M 63 6.90 — 1 1 21 16% 1 — —
E. Meichtry M 63 6.00 — — — 10 5% — — —
Elmin Rastoder F 90 8.90 1 1 3 17 9% 2 — —
Christopher Ibayi F 74 7.20 1 — 1 15 12% — — —
Brighton Labeau F 16 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
Marco Bürki D 1 — — — — — — — 1 —
Mattias Käit M 27 6.60 — — — 8 7% 2 — —
Valmir Matoshi M 16 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — — — 26 20% — — —
Dominik Schmid D 90 6.50 — — 1 49 41% 1 — —
Flavius Daniliuc D 90 7.00 — — — 50 41% 2 — —
Bećir Omeragić D 90 7.20 — — 1 32 27% 3 — —
Nicolas Vouilloz D 59 6.20 — — 1 29 22% — — —
Metinho M 89 6.90 — — 1 47 38% 3 — —
Leo Leroy M 70 6.60 — — 4 23 19% 1 1 —
Bénie Traoré M 90 6.60 — — — 31 25% 1 — —
Xherdan Shaqiri M 90 6.90 — — 2 50 41% — 1 —
Ibrahim Salah M 45 6.20 — — — 14 9% — 1 —
Albian Ajeti F 69 6.90 — 1 — 10 7% — — —
Giacomo Koloto F 21 6.90 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
Julien Duranville F 45 7.90 1 — 1 12 12% — — —
Kevin Rüegg D 31 6.50 — — — 23 20% — — —
Koba Koindredi M 20 6.90 — — — 10 8% 2 — —
M. Broschinski F 1 — — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?
The final score was FC Thun 3–1 FC Basel 1893.
What did the model predict before FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?
The model assigned 69% probability to a FC Thun win, 16% to a draw, and 14% to an FC Basel 1893 win.