✓Model correct — prediction FC Thun
C. Ibayi
(ast. E. Rastoder)
28'
M. Heule
(ast. K. Imeri)
53'
E. Rastoder
(ast. M. Heule)
64'
56'
(ast. A. Ajeti)
J. Duranville
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Thun a 69% win probability (draw 16%, FC Basel 1893 14%). The final result was FC Thun 3–1 FC Basel 1893. In 3 previous meetings, FC Thun have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for FC Basel 1893.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
8
Shots on target
5
1.72
Actual xG
1.49
4
Saves
5
41%
Possession
59%
5
Corners
8
17
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Genís Montolio
14'
27'
Ibrahim Salah
⚽C. Ibayi
· ast. E. Rastoder
28'
46'
J. Duranville
/
I. Salah
⚽M. Heule
· ast. K. Imeri
53'
56'
ast. A. Ajeti ·
J. Duranville⚽
58'
Leo Leroy
59'
K. Ruegg
/
N. Vouilloz
F. Meichtry
/ N. Rupp
63'
K. Imeri
/ M. Kait
63'
⚽E. Rastoder
· ast. M. Heule
64'
69'
G. Koloto
/
A. Ajeti
70'
K. Koindredi
/
L. Leroy
C. Ibayi
/ V. Matoshi
74'
J. Roth
/ B. Labeau
74'
80'
Xherdan Shaqiri
M. Heule
/ M. Burki
90'+1
90'+1
M. Broschinski
/
Metinho
Marco Burki
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
69.27%
FC ←
16.18%
X
14.56%
FC
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FC Thun)
69.27%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.93
1.72
-1.21
1.24
1.49
+0.25
xG dominance was balanced (1.72 – 1.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
24
Niklas Steffen
G
Niklas Steffen
G
27
M. Heule
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
D
M. Heule
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
D
19
D
4
Genís Montolio
D
47
F. Fehr
D
F. Fehr
D
16
Justin Roth
74'
M
Justin Roth
74'
M
6
L. Bertone
M
L. Bertone
M
7
K. Imeri
1 👟
63'
M
K. Imeri
1 👟
63'
M
77
E. Meichtry
63'
M
E. Meichtry
63'
M
74
E. Rastoder
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
E. Rastoder
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
18
C. Ibayi
1 ⚽
74'
F
C. Ibayi
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
96
Brighton Labeau
16'
F
Brighton Labeau
16'
F
14
Mattias Käit
27'
M
Mattias Käit
27'
M
23
M. Bürki
1'
D
M. Bürki
1'
D
78
V. Matoshi
16'
M
V. Matoshi
16'
M
1
G
31
Dominik Schmid
D
Dominik Schmid
D
24
Flavius Daniliuc
D
Flavius Daniliuc
D
4
Bećir Omeragić
D
Bećir Omeragić
D
3
Nicolas Vouilloz
59'
D
Nicolas Vouilloz
59'
D
5
Metinho
89'
M
Metinho
89'
M
22
L. Leroy
70'
M
L. Leroy
70'
M
11
Bénie Traoré
M
Bénie Traoré
M
10
X. Shaqiri
M
X. Shaqiri
M
21
Ibrahim Salah
45'
M
Ibrahim Salah
45'
M
23
Albian Ajeti
1 👟
69'
F
Albian Ajeti
1 👟
69'
F
Bench
14
Andrej Bačanin
M
Andrej Bačanin
M
37
Giacomo Koloto
21'
F
Giacomo Koloto
21'
F
18
Julien Duranville
1 ⚽
45'
F
Julien Duranville
1 ⚽
45'
F
27
Kevin Rüegg
31'
D
Kevin Rüegg
31'
D
8
Koba Koindredi
20'
M
Koba Koindredi
20'
M
17
M. Broschinski
1'
F
29
Moussa Cissé
D
Moussa Cissé
D
Best on the pitch
M. Heule
D · FC
9.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 21 pass
E. Rastoder
F · FC
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 17 pass
Niklas Steffen
G · FC
7.90
· 34 pass
Julien Duranville
F · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
D · FC
7.60
· 33 pass
Bećir Omeragić
D · FC
7.20
1 shots
· 32 pass
FC Thun — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niklas Steffen | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M. Heule | D | 89 | 9.90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 16% | 6 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | 1 | — | — | |
| Genís Montolio | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Fehr | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Justin Roth | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Bertone | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| K. Imeri | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Meichtry | M | 63 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| E. Rastoder | F | 90 | 8.90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Ibayi | F | 74 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Brighton Labeau | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Mattias Käit | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Bürki | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| V. Matoshi | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
FC Basel 1893 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Dominik Schmid | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Flavius Daniliuc | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Bećir Omeragić | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Nicolas Vouilloz | D | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Metinho | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Leroy | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 23 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bénie Traoré | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| X. Shaqiri | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 41% | — | 1 | — |
| Ibrahim Salah | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Albian Ajeti | F | 69 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Koloto | F | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Julien Duranville | F | 45 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Rüegg | D | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Koba Koindredi | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Broschinski | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?
The final score was FC Thun 3–1 FC Basel 1893.
What did the model predict before FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?
The model assigned 69% probability to a FC Thun win, 16% to a draw, and 14% to an FC Basel 1893 win.