FC Thun 3–1 FC Basel 1893 — pre-match prediction — Super League — April 18, 2026

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Super League · Regular Season - 33 April 18, 2026 20:30 Stockhorn Arena, Thun

FC Thun

#9 · 10 pts

3 – 1

Final score

FC Basel 1893

#7 · 14 pts

✓Model correct — prediction FC Thun

C. Ibayi (ast. E. Rastoder) 28'

M. Heule (ast. K. Imeri) 53'

E. Rastoder (ast. M. Heule) 64'

56' (ast. A. Ajeti) J. Duranville

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Thun a 69% win probability (draw 16%, FC Basel 1893 14%). The final result was FC Thun 3–1 FC Basel 1893. In 4 previous meetings, FC Thun have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for FC Basel 1893.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.72

Actual xG

1.49

Saves

41%

Possession

59%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

Genís Montolio

14'

27'

Ibrahim Salah

⚽C. Ibayi · ast. E. Rastoder

28'

46'

J. Duranville / I. Salah ↕

⚽M. Heule · ast. K. Imeri

53'

56'

ast. A. Ajeti · J. Duranville⚽

58'

Leo Leroy

59'

K. Ruegg / N. Vouilloz ↕

↕ F. Meichtry / N. Rupp

63'

↕ K. Imeri / M. Kait

63'

⚽E. Rastoder · ast. M. Heule

64'

69'

G. Koloto / A. Ajeti ↕

70'

K. Koindredi / L. Leroy ↕

↕ C. Ibayi / V. Matoshi

74'

↕ J. Roth / B. Labeau

74'

80'

Xherdan Shaqiri

↕ M. Heule / M. Burki

90'+1

M. Broschinski / Metinho ↕

Marco Burki

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

69.27%

FC ←

16.18%

14.56%

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Thun) 69.27% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

2.93

1.72

-1.21

1.24

1.49

+0.25

xG dominance was balanced (1.72 – 1.49). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Lugano	11	31
2	BSC Young Boys	11	25
3	FC Sion	11	22
4	FC Zurich	11	17
5	Servette FC	11	16
6	FC ST. Gallen	11	16
7	FC Basel 1893	11	14
8	FC Luzern	11	12
9	FC Thun	11	10
10	FC Vaduz	11	9
11	Grasshoppers	11	9
12	Lausanne	11	6

Lineups

FC Thun 4-2-2-2

N. Steffen G 7.90

M. Heule 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' D 9.90

D 7.60

Genís Montolio D 6.30

F. Fehr D 6.30

J. Roth 74' M 6.60

L. Bertone M 6.60

K. Imeri 1 👟 63' M 6.90

E. Meichtry 63' M 6.00

E. Rastoder 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.90

C. Ibayi 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.20

Bench

B. Labeau 16' F 6.50

M. Bürki 1' D

M. Käit 27' M 6.60

V. Matoshi 16' M 6.70

FC Basel 1893 4-2-3-1

G 6.50

D. Schmid D 6.50

F. Daniliuc D 7.00

B. Omeragić D 7.20

N. Vouilloz 59' D 6.20

Metinho 89' M 6.90

L. Leroy 70' M 6.60

B. Traoré M 6.60

X. Shaqiri M 6.90

Ibrahim Salah 45' M 6.20

A. Ajeti 1 👟 69' F 6.90

Bench

A. Bačanin M

G. Koloto 21' F 6.90

J. Duranville 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.90

K. Koindredi 20' M 6.90

K. Rüegg 31' D 6.50

M. Broschinski 1' F

M. Cissé D

Best on the pitch

M. Heule

D · FC

9.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 21 pass

E. Rastoder

F · FC

8.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 17 pass

N. Steffen

G · FC

7.90

· 34 pass

J. Duranville

F · FC

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 12 pass

D · FC

7.60

· 33 pass

B. Omeragić

D · FC

7.20

1 shots · 32 pass

FC Thun — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Steffen	G	90	7.90	—	—	—	34	27%	—	—	—
M. Heule	D	89	9.90	1	1	2	21	16%	6	—	—
	D	90	7.60	—	—	—	33	31%	1	—	—
Genís Montolio	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	40	28%	1	1	—
F. Fehr	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	25	19%	1	—	—
J. Roth	M	74	6.60	—	—	—	14	10%	3	—	—
L. Bertone	M	90	6.60	—	—	3	36	28%	—	—	—
K. Imeri	M	63	6.90	—	1	1	21	16%	1	—	—
E. Meichtry	M	63	6.00	—	—	—	10	5%	—	—	—
E. Rastoder	F	90	8.90	1	1	3	17	9%	2	—	—
C. Ibayi	F	74	7.20	1	—	1	15	12%	—	—	—
B. Labeau	F	16	6.50	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
M. Bürki	D	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	—
M. Käit	M	27	6.60	—	—	—	8	7%	2	—	—
V. Matoshi	M	16	6.70	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

FC Basel 1893 — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.50	—	—	—	26	20%	—	—	—
D. Schmid	D	90	6.50	—	—	1	49	41%	1	—	—
F. Daniliuc	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	50	41%	2	—	—
B. Omeragić	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	32	27%	3	—	—
N. Vouilloz	D	59	6.20	—	—	1	29	22%	—	—	—
Metinho	M	89	6.90	—	—	1	47	38%	3	—	—
L. Leroy	M	70	6.60	—	—	4	23	19%	1	1	—
B. Traoré	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	31	25%	1	—	—
X. Shaqiri	M	90	6.90	—	—	2	50	41%	—	1	—
Ibrahim Salah	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	14	9%	—	1	—
A. Ajeti	F	69	6.90	—	1	—	10	7%	—	—	—
G. Koloto	F	21	6.90	—	—	—	2	2%	1	—	—
J. Duranville	F	45	7.90	1	—	1	12	12%	—	—	—
K. Koindredi	M	20	6.90	—	—	—	10	8%	2	—	—
K. Rüegg	D	31	6.50	—	—	—	23	20%	—	—	—
M. Broschinski	F	1	—	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?

The final score was FC Thun 3–1 FC Basel 1893.

What did the model predict before FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?

The model assigned 69% probability to a FC Thun win, 16% to a draw, and 14% to an FC Basel 1893 win.