✓Model correct — prediction FC Thun
C. Ibayi
(ast. E. Rastoder)
28'
M. Heule
(ast. K. Imeri)
53'
E. Rastoder
(ast. M. Heule)
64'
56'
(ast. A. Ajeti)
J. Duranville
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Thun a 69% win probability (draw 16%, FC Basel 1893 14%). The final result was FC Thun 3–1 FC Basel 1893. In 4 previous meetings, FC Thun have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for FC Basel 1893.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
8
Shots on target
5
1.72
Actual xG
1.49
4
Saves
5
41%
Possession
59%
5
Corners
8
17
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Genís Montolio
14'
27'
Ibrahim Salah
⚽C. Ibayi
· ast. E. Rastoder
28'
46'
J. Duranville
/
I. Salah
⚽M. Heule
· ast. K. Imeri
53'
56'
ast. A. Ajeti ·
J. Duranville⚽
58'
Leo Leroy
59'
K. Ruegg
/
N. Vouilloz
F. Meichtry
/ N. Rupp
63'
K. Imeri
/ M. Kait
63'
⚽E. Rastoder
· ast. M. Heule
64'
69'
G. Koloto
/
A. Ajeti
70'
K. Koindredi
/
L. Leroy
C. Ibayi
/ V. Matoshi
74'
J. Roth
/ B. Labeau
74'
80'
Xherdan Shaqiri
M. Heule
/ M. Burki
90'+1
90'+1
M. Broschinski
/
Metinho
Marco Burki
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
69.27%
FC ←
16.18%
X
14.56%
FC
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FC Thun)
69.27%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.93
1.72
-1.21
1.24
1.49
+0.25
xG dominance was balanced (1.72 – 1.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
24
N. Steffen
G
N. Steffen
G
27
M. Heule
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
D
M. Heule
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
D
19
D
4
Genís Montolio
D
47
F. Fehr
D
F. Fehr
D
16
J. Roth
74'
M
J. Roth
74'
M
6
L. Bertone
M
L. Bertone
M
7
K. Imeri
1 👟
63'
M
K. Imeri
1 👟
63'
M
77
Franz-Ethan Meichtry
63'
M
Franz-Ethan Meichtry
63'
M
74
E. Rastoder
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
E. Rastoder
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
18
Christopher Ibayi
1 ⚽
74'
F
Christopher Ibayi
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
96
B. Labeau
16'
F
B. Labeau
16'
F
23
M. Bürki
1'
D
M. Bürki
1'
D
14
M. Käit
27'
M
M. Käit
27'
M
78
V. Matoshi
16'
M
V. Matoshi
16'
M
1
G
31
D. Schmid
D
D. Schmid
D
24
F. Daniliuc
D
F. Daniliuc
D
4
B. Omeragić
D
B. Omeragić
D
3
N. Vouilloz
59'
D
N. Vouilloz
59'
D
5
Metinho
89'
M
Metinho
89'
M
22
L. Leroy
70'
M
L. Leroy
70'
M
11
B. Traoré
M
B. Traoré
M
10
X. Shaqiri
M
X. Shaqiri
M
21
I. Salah
45'
M
I. Salah
45'
M
23
A. Ajeti
1 👟
69'
F
A. Ajeti
1 👟
69'
F
Bench
14
A. Bačanin
M
A. Bačanin
M
37
G. Koloto
21'
F
G. Koloto
21'
F
18
Julien Duranville
1 ⚽
45'
F
Julien Duranville
1 ⚽
45'
F
8
K. Koindredi
20'
M
K. Koindredi
20'
M
27
K. Rüegg
31'
D
K. Rüegg
31'
D
17
M. Broschinski
1'
F
M. Broschinski
1'
F
29
M. Cissé
D
M. Cissé
D
Best on the pitch
M. Heule
D · FC
9.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 21 pass
E. Rastoder
F · FC
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 17 pass
N. Steffen
G · FC
7.90
· 34 pass
Julien Duranville
F · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
D · FC
7.60
· 33 pass
B. Omeragić
D · FC
7.20
1 shots
· 32 pass
FC Thun — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Steffen | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M. Heule | D | 89 | 9.90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 16% | 6 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | 1 | — | — | |
| Genís Montolio | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Fehr | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Roth | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Bertone | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| K. Imeri | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Franz-Ethan Meichtry | M | 63 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| E. Rastoder | F | 90 | 8.90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Christopher Ibayi | F | 74 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| B. Labeau | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Bürki | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Käit | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Matoshi | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
FC Basel 1893 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| D. Schmid | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Daniliuc | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Omeragić | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Vouilloz | D | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Metinho | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Leroy | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 23 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Traoré | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| X. Shaqiri | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 41% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Salah | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Ajeti | F | 69 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| G. Koloto | F | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Julien Duranville | F | 45 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| K. Koindredi | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Rüegg | D | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. Broschinski | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?
The final score was FC Thun 3–1 FC Basel 1893.
What did the model predict before FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?
The model assigned 69% probability to a FC Thun win, 16% to a draw, and 14% to an FC Basel 1893 win.