J1 League
· Regular Season - 12
April 24, 2026 14:00
Marcelo Ryan
(ast. A. Scholz)
35'
K. Sato
43'
Marcelo Ryan
45'+5
(pen.)
S. Muroya
68'
R. Sato
(ast. Marcelo Ryan)
74'
17'
(ast. M. Arai)
Danilo Cardoso
70'
K. Ando
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Tokyo a 54% win probability (draw 27%, Mito Hollyhock 18%). The final result was FC Tokyo 5–2 Mito Hollyhock. In 1 previous meetings, FC Tokyo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mito Hollyhock.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
8
10
Shots on target
3
1
Saves
5
48%
Possession
52%
7
Corners
1
16
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
17'
ast. M. Arai ·
Danilo Cardoso⚽
⚽Marcelo Ryan
· ast. A. Scholz
35'
40'
T. Mase
⚽K. Sato
43'
45'+3
Danilo Cardoso
⚽Marcelo Ryan
(pen.)
45'+5
K. Endo
/ T. Nakagawa
46'
46'
H. Yamamoto
/
M. Arai
55'
R. Nemoto
/
A. Watanabe
56'
S. Omori
/
T. Mase
⚽S. Muroya
68'
69'
K. Ando
/
Matheus Leiria
70'
K. Ando⚽
A. Scholz
/ R. Omori
70'
⚽R. Sato
· ast. Marcelo Ryan
74'
76'
Y. Yamashita
/
T. Semba
K. Sato
/ F. Yamada
83'
Marcelo Ryan
/ L. Nozawa
83'
H. Inamura
/ M. Morishige
88'
Pre-match prediction
54.46%
FC ←
27.06%
X
18.48%
Mito
we assigned to the actual result (FC Tokyo)
54.46%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.78
—
—
0.66
—
—
Lineups
81
G
42
Kento Hashimoto
D
Kento Hashimoto
D
17
Hayato Inamura
88'
D
Hayato Inamura
88'
D
24
Alexander Scholz
1 👟
70'
D
Alexander Scholz
1 👟
70'
D
2
Sei Muroya
1 ⚽
D
Sei Muroya
1 ⚽
D
22
Keita Endo
45'
M
Keita Endo
45'
M
27
Kyota Tokiwa
M
Kyota Tokiwa
M
18
M
16
Kein Sato
1 ⚽
83'
M
Kein Sato
1 ⚽
83'
M
23
Ryunosuke Sato
1 ⚽
F
Ryunosuke Sato
1 ⚽
F
9
Marcelo Ryan
2 ⚽
1 👟
83'
F
Marcelo Ryan
2 ⚽
1 👟
83'
F
Bench
28
Leon Nozawa
13'
F
Leon Nozawa
13'
F
15
Rio Omori
26'
D
Rio Omori
26'
D
8
Takahiro Ko
M
Takahiro Ko
M
39
Teruhito Nakagawa
51'
F
Teruhito Nakagawa
51'
F
34
G
6
T. Iida
D
17
K. Itakura
D
2
Danilo Cardoso
1 ⚽
D
25
T. Mase
56'
D
14
M. Arai
1 👟
45'
M
3
K. Osaki
M
19
T. Semba
76'
M
70
Matheus Leiria
69'
M
10
A. Watanabe
55'
F
29
K. Tada
F
Bench
39
H. Yamamoto
51'
M
33
K. Ando
1 ⚽
27'
M
44
K. Okuda
F
24
K. Yamazaki
M
9
R. Nemoto
41'
F
7
S. Omori
40'
D
4
T. Ushizawa
D
48
Y. Yamashita
20'
M
Best on the pitch
Marcelo Ryan
F · FC
9.30
2 ⚽ 1 👟
8 shots
· 17 pass
Ryunosuke Sato
F · FC
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
Kento Hashimoto
D · FC
7.60
· 42 pass
K. Ando
M · Mito
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
Kein Sato
M · FC
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 38 pass
Sei Muroya
D · FC
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 34 pass
FC Tokyo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Kento Hashimoto | D | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Hayato Inamura | D | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 62 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| Alexander Scholz | D | 70 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 50 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Sei Muroya | D | 96 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Keita Endo | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Kyota Tokiwa | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 43% | 2 | — | — | |
| Kein Sato | M | 83 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 38 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryunosuke Sato | F | 96 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcelo Ryan | F | 83 | 9.30 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Leon Nozawa | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Rio Omori | D | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | F | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Mito Hollyhock — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 46% | 1 | — | — | |
| T. Iida | D | 96 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Itakura | D | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 83 | 75% | 1 | — | — |
| Danilo Cardoso | D | 96 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 62 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Mase | D | 56 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Arai | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| K. Osaki | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Semba | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Leiria | M | 69 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Watanabe | F | 55 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| K. Tada | F | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Yamamoto | M | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| K. Ando | M | 27 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Nemoto | F | 41 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Omori | D | 40 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Y. Yamashita | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
The final score was FC Tokyo 5–2 Mito Hollyhock.
What did the model predict before FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
The model assigned 54% probability to a FC Tokyo win, 27% to a draw, and 18% to an Mito Hollyhock win.