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J1 League · Regular Season - 12 April 24, 2026 12:00
FC Tokyo
#15 · 0 pts
5 – 2
Final score
Mito Hollyhock
#1 · 0 pts
Marcelo Ryan (ast. A. Scholz) 35'
K. Sato 43'
Marcelo Ryan 45'+5 (pen.)
S. Muroya 68'
R. Sato (ast. Marcelo Ryan) 74'
17' (ast. M. Arai) Danilo Cardoso
70' K. Ando
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Tokyo a 54% win probability (draw 27%, Mito Hollyhock 18%). The final result was FC Tokyo 5–2 Mito Hollyhock. In 1 previous meetings, FC Tokyo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mito Hollyhock.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
8
10
Shots on target
3
1
Saves
5
48%
Possession
52%
7
Corners
1
16
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
17'
ast. M. Arai · Danilo Cardoso⚽
⚽Marcelo Ryan · ast. A. Scholz
35'
40'
T. Mase
⚽K. Sato
43'
45'+3
Danilo Cardoso
⚽Marcelo Ryan (pen.)
45'+5
↕ K. Endo / T. Nakagawa
46'
46'
H. Yamamoto / M. Arai ↕
55'
R. Nemoto / A. Watanabe ↕
56'
S. Omori / T. Mase ↕
⚽S. Muroya
68'
69'
K. Ando / Matheus Leiria ↕
70'
K. Ando⚽
↕ A. Scholz / R. Omori
70'
⚽R. Sato · ast. Marcelo Ryan
74'
76'
Y. Yamashita / T. Semba ↕
↕ K. Sato / F. Yamada
83'
↕ Marcelo Ryan / L. Nozawa
83'
↕ H. Inamura / M. Morishige
88'
Pre-match prediction
54.46%
FC ←
27.06%
X
18.48%
Mito
we assigned to the actual result (FC Tokyo) 54.46% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
1.78
—
—
Mito
0.66
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 0 0
2 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0 0
3 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0 0
4 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0 0
5 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0 0
6 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0 0
7 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 0 0
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0 0
9 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0 0
10 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0 0
11 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 0 0
12 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0 0
13 Urawa Urawa 0 0
14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0 0
15 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0 0
16 Kashima Kashima 0 0
17 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0 0
18 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0 0
19 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0 0
20 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 0 0
Lineups
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 4-4-2
81
G 6.50
42 Kento Hashimoto Kento Hashimoto D 7.60
17 Hayato Inamura Hayato Inamura 88' D 6.50
24 Alexander Scholz Alexander Scholz 1 👟 70' D 6.30
2 Sei Muroya Sei Muroya 1 ⚽ D 7.20
22 Keita Endo Keita Endo 45' M 6.90
27 Kyota Tokiwa Kyota Tokiwa M 6.90
18
M 7.00
16 K. Sato K. Sato 1 ⚽ 83' M 7.50
23 Ryunosuke Sato Ryunosuke Sato 1 ⚽ F 8.30
9 Marcelo Ryan Marcelo Ryan 2 ⚽ 1 👟 83' F 9.30
Bench
28 Leon Nozawa Leon Nozawa 13' F 6.30
15 R. Omori R. Omori 26' D 6.30
8 Takahiro Ko Takahiro Ko M
39 Teruhito Nakagawa Teruhito Nakagawa 51' F 6.30
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2
34
G 5.90
6 Takahiro Iida Takahiro Iida D 5.30
17 Kenta Itakura Kenta Itakura D 5.90
2 Danilo Cardoso Danilo Cardoso 1 ⚽ D 6.20
25 Takumi Mase Takumi Mase 56' D 5.70
14 Mizuki Arai Mizuki Arai 1 👟 45' M 6.60
3 Koshi Osaki Koshi Osaki M 6.70
19 Taishi Semba Taishi Semba 76' M 6.30
70 Matheus Leiria Matheus Leiria 69' M 5.90
10 A. Watanabe A. Watanabe 55' F 6.20
29 Tada Keisuke Tada Keisuke F 6.50
Bench
24 Kiichi Yamazaki Kiichi Yamazaki M
33 Koki Ando Koki Ando 1 ⚽ 27' M 7.60
44
K. Okuda F
9 Ryo Nemoto Ryo Nemoto 41' F 6.30
7 S. Omori S. Omori 40' D 6.20
4 Takeshi Ushizawa Takeshi Ushizawa D
39 Yamamota Hayata Yamamota Hayata 51' M 6.30
48
Y. Yamashita 20' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
Marcelo Ryan
Marcelo Ryan
F · FC
9.30
2 ⚽ 1 👟
8 shots · 17 pass
Ryunosuke Sato
Ryunosuke Sato
F · FC
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 38 pass
Kento Hashimoto
Kento Hashimoto
D · FC
7.60
· 42 pass
Koki Ando
Koki Ando
M · Mito
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
K. Sato
K. Sato
M · FC
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 38 pass
Sei Muroya
Sei Muroya
D · FC
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 34 pass
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.50 — — — 26 20% — — —
Kento Hashimoto D 96 7.60 — — — 42 30% 2 — —
Hayato Inamura D 88 6.50 — — — 62 54% 2 — —
Alexander Scholz D 70 6.30 — 1 — 50 40% 2 — —
Sei Muroya D 96 7.20 1 — 2 34 30% 1 — —
Keita Endo M 45 6.90 — — — 13 9% 2 — —
Kyota Tokiwa M 96 6.90 — — — 57 52% 2 — —
M 96 7.00 — — 1 46 43% 2 — —
K. Sato M 83 7.50 1 — 1 38 26% 1 — —
Ryunosuke Sato F 96 8.30 1 — 2 38 33% 1 — —
Marcelo Ryan F 83 9.30 2 1 8 17 12% — — —
Leon Nozawa F 13 6.30 — — 1 3 2% — — —
R. Omori D 26 6.30 — — — 12 7% — — —
Teruhito Nakagawa F 51 6.30 — — 1 8 7% 1 — —
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 5.90 — — — 60 46% 1 — —
Takahiro Iida D 96 5.30 — — 1 50 43% 1 — —
Kenta Itakura D 96 5.90 — — — 83 75% 1 — —
Danilo Cardoso D 96 6.20 1 — 1 62 50% — 1 —
Takumi Mase D 56 5.70 — — — 26 20% 1 1 —
Mizuki Arai M 45 6.60 — 1 — 13 11% — — —
Koshi Osaki M 96 6.70 — — — 48 40% 2 — —
Taishi Semba M 76 6.30 — — — 36 29% 1 — —
Matheus Leiria M 69 5.90 — — 1 10 9% — — —
A. Watanabe F 55 6.20 — — 2 22 15% — — —
Tada Keisuke F 96 6.50 — — 1 23 18% 1 — —
Koki Ando M 27 7.60 1 — 1 6 3% 3 — —
Ryo Nemoto F 41 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
S. Omori D 40 6.20 — — — 25 22% — — —
Yamamota Hayata M 51 6.30 — — 1 15 9% — — —
Y. Yamashita M 20 6.70 — — — 7 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
The final score was FC Tokyo 5–2 Mito Hollyhock.
What did the model predict before FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
The model assigned 54% probability to a FC Tokyo win, 27% to a draw, and 18% to an Mito Hollyhock win.