FC Tokyo 5–2 Mito Hollyhock — pre-match prediction — J1 League — April 24, 2026

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J1 League · Regular Season - 12 April 24, 2026 12:00

FC Tokyo

#5 · 17 pts

5 – 2

Final score

Mito Hollyhock

#13 · 9 pts

Marcelo Ryan (ast. A. Scholz) 35'

K. Sato 43'

Marcelo Ryan 45'+5 (pen.)

S. Muroya 68'

R. Sato (ast. Marcelo Ryan) 74'

17' (ast. M. Arai) Danilo Cardoso

70' K. Ando

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Tokyo a 54% win probability (draw 27%, Mito Hollyhock 18%). The final result was FC Tokyo 5–2 Mito Hollyhock. In 1 previous meetings, FC Tokyo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mito Hollyhock.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

48%

Possession

52%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

17'

ast. M. Arai · Danilo Cardoso⚽

⚽Marcelo Ryan · ast. A. Scholz

35'

40'

T. Mase

⚽K. Sato

43'

45'+3

Danilo Cardoso

⚽Marcelo Ryan (pen.)

45'+5

↕ K. Endo / T. Nakagawa

46'

H. Yamamoto / M. Arai ↕

55'

R. Nemoto / A. Watanabe ↕

56'

S. Omori / T. Mase ↕

⚽S. Muroya

68'

69'

K. Ando / Matheus Leiria ↕

70'

K. Ando⚽

↕ A. Scholz / R. Omori

70'

⚽R. Sato · ast. Marcelo Ryan

74'

76'

Y. Yamashita / T. Semba ↕

↕ K. Sato / F. Yamada

83'

↕ Marcelo Ryan / L. Nozawa

83'

↕ H. Inamura / M. Morishige

88'

Pre-match prediction

54.46%

FC ←

27.06%

18.48%

Mito

we assigned to the actual result (FC Tokyo) 54.46% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

1.78

—

Mito

0.66

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	8	19
2	Kashiwa Reysol	8	18
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	8	17
4	Machida Zelvia	8	17
5	FC Tokyo	8	17
6	Yokohama F. Marinos	8	14
7	Kawasaki Frontale	8	13
8	Kashima	8	13
9	Fagiano Okayama	8	13
10	Urawa	8	12
11	Cerezo Osaka	8	11
12	Shimizu S-pulse	8	10
13	Mito Hollyhock	8	9
14	Kyoto Sanga	8	8
15	V-varen Nagasaki	8	8
16	Gamba Osaka	8	6
17	Nagoya Grampus	8	6
18	Avispa Fukuoka	8	4
19	Tokyo Verdy	8	4
20	JEF United Chiba	8	4

Lineups

FC Tokyo 4-4-2

G 6.50

K. Hashimoto D 7.60

H. Inamura 88' D 6.50

A. Scholz 1 👟 70' D 6.30

S. Muroya 1 ⚽ D 7.20

K. Endo 45' M 6.90

Kyota Tokiwa M 6.90

M 7.00

K. Sato 1 ⚽ 83' M 7.50

Ryunosuke Sato 1 ⚽ F 8.30

Marcelo Ryan 2 ⚽ 1 👟 83' F 9.30

Bench

Leon Nozawa 13' F 6.30

R. Omori 26' D 6.30

T. Ko M

T. Nakagawa 51' F 6.30

Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2

G 5.90

T. Iida D 5.30

K. Itakura D 5.90

Danilo Cardoso 1 ⚽ D 6.20

T. Mase 56' D 5.70

Mizuki Arai 1 👟 45' M 6.60

K. Osaki M 6.70

T. Semba 76' M 6.30

Matheus Leiria 69' M 5.90

A. Watanabe 55' F 6.20

Tada Keisuke F 6.50

Bench

H. Yamamoto 51' M 6.30

Kiichi Yamazaki M

Koki Ando 1 ⚽ 27' M 7.60

K. Okuda F

R. Nemoto 41' F 6.30

S. Omori 40' D 6.20

Takeshi Ushizawa D

Y. Yamashita 20' M 6.70

Best on the pitch

Marcelo Ryan

F · FC

9.30

2 ⚽ 1 👟

8 shots · 17 pass

Ryunosuke Sato

F · FC

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 38 pass

K. Hashimoto

D · FC

7.60

· 42 pass

Koki Ando

M · Mito

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 6 pass

K. Sato

M · FC

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 38 pass

S. Muroya

D · FC

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 34 pass

FC Tokyo — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	6.50	—	—	—	26	20%	—	—	—
K. Hashimoto	D	96	7.60	—	—	—	42	30%	2	—	—
H. Inamura	D	88	6.50	—	—	—	62	54%	2	—	—
A. Scholz	D	70	6.30	—	1	—	50	40%	2	—	—
S. Muroya	D	96	7.20	1	—	2	34	30%	1	—	—
K. Endo	M	45	6.90	—	—	—	13	9%	2	—	—
Kyota Tokiwa	M	96	6.90	—	—	—	57	52%	2	—	—
	M	96	7.00	—	—	1	46	43%	2	—	—
K. Sato	M	83	7.50	1	—	1	38	26%	1	—	—
Ryunosuke Sato	F	96	8.30	1	—	2	38	33%	1	—	—
Marcelo Ryan	F	83	9.30	2	1	8	17	12%	—	—	—
Leon Nozawa	F	13	6.30	—	—	1	3	2%	—	—	—
R. Omori	D	26	6.30	—	—	—	12	7%	—	—	—
T. Nakagawa	F	51	6.30	—	—	1	8	7%	1	—	—

Mito Hollyhock — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	5.90	—	—	—	60	46%	1	—	—
T. Iida	D	96	5.30	—	—	1	50	43%	1	—	—
K. Itakura	D	96	5.90	—	—	—	83	75%	1	—	—
Danilo Cardoso	D	96	6.20	1	—	1	62	50%	—	1	—
T. Mase	D	56	5.70	—	—	—	26	20%	1	1	—
Mizuki Arai	M	45	6.60	—	1	—	13	11%	—	—	—
K. Osaki	M	96	6.70	—	—	—	48	40%	2	—	—
T. Semba	M	76	6.30	—	—	—	36	29%	1	—	—
Matheus Leiria	M	69	5.90	—	—	1	10	9%	—	—	—
A. Watanabe	F	55	6.20	—	—	2	22	15%	—	—	—
Tada Keisuke	F	96	6.50	—	—	1	23	18%	1	—	—
H. Yamamoto	M	51	6.30	—	—	1	15	9%	—	—	—
Koki Ando	M	27	7.60	1	—	1	6	3%	3	—	—
R. Nemoto	F	41	6.30	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
S. Omori	D	40	6.20	—	—	—	25	22%	—	—	—
Y. Yamashita	M	20	6.70	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?

The final score was FC Tokyo 5–2 Mito Hollyhock.

What did the model predict before FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?

The model assigned 54% probability to a FC Tokyo win, 27% to a draw, and 18% to an Mito Hollyhock win.