Super League · Regular Season - 31 March 21, 2026 19:00

FC Zurich

#4 · 38 pts

2 – 1

Final score

FC Thun

#1 · 74 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction FC Thun, result FC Zurich vince

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Thun a 76% win probability (draw 9%, FC Zurich 14%). The final result was FC Zurich 2–1 FC Thun. In 2 previous meetings, FC Zurich have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for FC Thun.

Match statistics

5

Shots on target

7

0.82

Actual xG

1.64

43%

Possession

57%

2

Corners

9

Pre-match prediction

14.08%

FC ←

9.92%

X

76.0%

FC

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Zurich) 14.08% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FC

0.81

0.82

+0.01

FC

3.49

1.64

-1.85

FC Thun dominated by xG (1.64 vs 0.82). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Thun	37	74
1	FC Luzern	37	50
2	FC ST. Gallen	37	69
2	Servette FC	37	50
3	Lausanne	37	42
3	FC Lugano	37	64
4	FC Zurich	37	38
4	FC Sion	37	62
5	Grasshoppers	37	30
5	FC Basel 1893	37	56
6	BSC Young Boys	37	54
6	FC Winterthur	37	23