Super League · Regular Season - 31 March 21, 2026 18:00

FC Zurich

#6 · 0 pts

2 – 1

Final score

FC Thun

#11 · 0 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction FC Thun, result FC Zurich wins

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Thun a 76% win probability (draw 9%, FC Zurich 14%). The final result was FC Zurich 2–1 FC Thun. In 2 previous meetings, FC Zurich have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for FC Thun.

Match statistics

5

Shots on target

7

0.82

Actual xG

1.64

43%

Possession

57%

2

Corners

9

Pre-match prediction

14.08%

FC ←

9.92%

X

76.0%

FC

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Zurich) 14.08% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FC

0.81

0.82

+0.01

FC

3.49

1.64

-1.85

FC Thun dominated by xG (1.64 vs 0.82). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lausanne	0	0
2	FC Lugano	0	0
3	Servette FC	0	0
4	FC Basel 1893	0	0
5	BSC Young Boys	0	0
6	FC Zurich	0	0
7	Grasshoppers	0	0
8	FC Luzern	0	0
9	FC Sion	0	0
10	FC ST. Gallen	0	0
11	FC Thun	0	0
12	FC Vaduz	0	0