Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 28
April 05, 2026 21:00
K. Akturkoglu
90'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fenerbahçe a 41% win probability (draw 23%, Beşiktaş 35%). The final result was Fenerbahçe 1–0 Beşiktaş. In 2 previous meetings, Fenerbahçe have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Beşiktaş.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
2
2.93
Actual xG
0.95
2
Saves
5
56%
Possession
44%
10
Corners
5
26
Tackles
23
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
M. Asensio
/ Fred
24'
45'+5
Ersin Destanoğlu
46'
G. Sazdagi
/
M. Murillo
52'
Wilfred Ndidi
58'
Talisca
/ S. Cherif
58'
A. Musaba
/ K. Akturkoglu
62'
67'
M. Rashica
/
K. Asllani
67'
C. Under
/
V. Cerny
Dorgeles Nene
68'
78'
Rıdvan Yılmaz
Jayden Oosterwolde
81'
A. Brown
/ L. Mercan
84'
86'
S. Ucan
/
W. Ndidi
90'+8
Emmanuel Agbadou
90'+10
Cengiz Ünder
Ederson
90'+14
90'
M. Hekimoglu
/
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
⚽K. Akturkoglu
(pen.)
90'
Pre-match prediction
41.08%
Fenerbahçe ←
23.88%
X
35.04%
Beşiktaş
we assigned to the actual result (Fenerbahçe)
41.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
2.93
+1.17
2.09
0.95
-1.14
Fenerbahçe dominated by xG (2.93 vs 0.95).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Ederson
G
3
A. Brown
84'
D
24
J. Oosterwolde
D
J. Oosterwolde
D
37
Milan Škriniar
D
27
N. Semedo
D
6
Mattéo Guendouzi
M
17
N. Kante
M
45
N. Dorgeles
M
N. Dorgeles
M
21
M. Asensio
24'
M
20
A. Musaba
62'
M
94
Talisca
58'
F
Talisca
58'
F
Bench
4
C. Soyuncu
D
7
Fred
66'
M
Fred
66'
M
5
İ. Yüksek
M
İ. Yüksek
M
9
K. Aktürkoğlu
1 ⚽
28'
F
K. Aktürkoğlu
1 ⚽
28'
F
22
L. Mercan
21'
D
18
Mert Müldür
D
26
S. Cherif
32'
F
30
E. Destanoglu
G
33
Rıdvan Yılmaz
D
14
D
12
Emmanuel Agbadou
D
62
A. Murillo
45'
D
A. Murillo
45'
D
4
Wilfred Ndidi
86'
M
23
K. Asllani
67'
M
15
J. Olaitan
M
10
O. Kökçü
M
O. Kökçü
M
18
V. Cerny
67'
M
9
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
89'
F
Bench
11
Cengiz Ünder
23'
F
53
E. Topcu
D
26
Jota Silva
F
17
K. Kayra Yilmaz
M
91
M. Hekimoglu
15'
F
7
Milot Rashica
23'
M
8
S. Ucan
19'
M
35
T. Djalo
D
Best on the pitch
Mattéo Guendouzi
M · Fenerbahçe
8.30
1 shots
· 49 pass
E. Destanoglu
G · Beşiktaş
8.20
· 34 pass
N. Kante
M · Fenerbahçe
7.90
· 57 pass
Ederson
G · Fenerbahçe
7.70
· 24 pass
A. Brown
D · Fenerbahçe
7.60
· 29 pass
J. Oosterwolde
D · Fenerbahçe
7.60
· 68 pass
Fenerbahçe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ederson | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Brown | D | 84 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Oosterwolde | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 68 | 55% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Milan Škriniar | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 64 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Semedo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| Mattéo Guendouzi | M | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 43% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Kante | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 8 | — | — |
| N. Dorgeles | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Asensio | M | 24 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Musaba | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Talisca | F | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Fred | M | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Aktürkoğlu | F | 28 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Mercan | D | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| S. Cherif | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Beşiktaş — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Destanoglu | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Rıdvan Yılmaz | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 4 | — | — | |
| Emmanuel Agbadou | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 45% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Murillo | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Wilfred Ndidi | M | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 5 | 1 | — |
| K. Asllani | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Olaitan | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Kökçü | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Cerny | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Oh Hyeon-Gyu | F | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Cengiz Ünder | F | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Hekimoglu | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Milot Rashica | M | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Ucan | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
The final score was Fenerbahçe 1–0 Beşiktaş.
What did the model predict before Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Fenerbahçe win, 23% to a draw, and 35% to an Beşiktaş win.