Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 28
April 05, 2026 19:00
Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul
K. Akturkoglu
90'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fenerbahçe a 41% win probability (draw 23%, Beşiktaş 35%). The final result was Fenerbahçe 1–0 Beşiktaş. In 3 previous meetings, Fenerbahçe have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Beşiktaş.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
2
2.93
Actual xG
0.95
2
Saves
5
56%
Possession
44%
10
Corners
5
26
Tackles
23
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
M. Asensio
/ Fred
24'
45'+5
Ersin Destanoğlu
46'
G. Sazdagi
/
M. Murillo
52'
Wilfred Ndidi
58'
Talisca
/ S. Cherif
58'
A. Musaba
/ K. Akturkoglu
62'
67'
M. Rashica
/
K. Asllani
67'
C. Under
/
V. Cerny
Dorgeles Nene
68'
78'
Rıdvan Yılmaz
Jayden Oosterwolde
81'
A. Brown
/ L. Mercan
84'
86'
S. Ucan
/
W. Ndidi
90'+8
Emmanuel Agbadou
90'+10
Cengiz Ünder
Ederson
90'+14
90'
M. Hekimoglu
/
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
⚽K. Akturkoglu
(pen.)
90'
Pre-match prediction
41.08%
Fenerbahçe ←
23.88%
X
35.04%
Beşiktaş
we assigned to the actual result (Fenerbahçe)
41.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
2.93
+1.17
2.09
0.95
-1.14
Fenerbahçe dominated by xG (2.93 vs 0.95).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Ederson
G
Ederson
G
3
A. Brown
84'
D
A. Brown
84'
D
24
Jayden Oosterwolde
D
Jayden Oosterwolde
D
37
M. Škriniar
D
M. Škriniar
D
27
Nélson Semedo
D
Nélson Semedo
D
6
M. Guendouzi
M
M. Guendouzi
M
17
N. Kanté
M
N. Kanté
M
45
N. Dorgeles
M
N. Dorgeles
M
21
Marco Asensio
24'
M
Marco Asensio
24'
M
20
A. Musaba
62'
M
A. Musaba
62'
M
94
Talisca
58'
F
Talisca
58'
F
Bench
4
Çağlar Söyüncü
D
Çağlar Söyüncü
D
7
Fred
66'
M
Fred
66'
M
5
İ. Yüksek
M
İ. Yüksek
M
9
K. Aktürkoğlu
1 ⚽
28'
F
K. Aktürkoğlu
1 ⚽
28'
F
22
L. Mercan
21'
D
L. Mercan
21'
D
18
M. Müldür
D
M. Müldür
D
26
S. Cherif
32'
F
S. Cherif
32'
F
30
Ersin Destanoğlu
G
33
R. Yılmaz
D
R. Yılmaz
D
14
D
12
E. Agbadou
D
E. Agbadou
D
62
A. Murillo
45'
D
A. Murillo
45'
D
4
W. Ndidi
86'
M
W. Ndidi
86'
M
23
Kristjan Asllani
67'
M
15
J. Olaitan
M
J. Olaitan
M
10
O. Kökçü
M
O. Kökçü
M
18
V. Černý
67'
M
V. Černý
67'
M
9
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
89'
F
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
89'
F
Bench
11
Cengiz Ünder
23'
F
Cengiz Ünder
23'
F
53
E. Topçu
D
E. Topçu
D
26
Jota Silva
F
Jota Silva
F
17
K. Yılmaz
M
K. Yılmaz
M
7
M. Rashica
23'
M
M. Rashica
23'
M
91
Mustafa Hekimoğlu
15'
F
8
Salih Uçan
19'
M
Salih Uçan
19'
M
35
Tiago Djaló
D
Tiago Djaló
D
Best on the pitch
M. Guendouzi
M · Fenerbahçe
8.30
1 shots
· 49 pass
Ersin Destanoğlu
G · Beşiktaş
8.20
· 34 pass
N. Kanté
M · Fenerbahçe
7.90
· 57 pass
Ederson
G · Fenerbahçe
7.70
· 24 pass
A. Brown
D · Fenerbahçe
7.60
· 29 pass
Jayden Oosterwolde
D · Fenerbahçe
7.60
· 68 pass
Fenerbahçe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ederson | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Brown | D | 84 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| Jayden Oosterwolde | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 68 | 55% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Škriniar | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 64 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Nélson Semedo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Guendouzi | M | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 43% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Kanté | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 8 | — | — |
| N. Dorgeles | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marco Asensio | M | 24 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Musaba | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Talisca | F | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Fred | M | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Aktürkoğlu | F | 28 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Mercan | D | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| S. Cherif | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Beşiktaş — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ersin Destanoğlu | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Yılmaz | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 4 | — | — | |
| E. Agbadou | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 45% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Murillo | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Ndidi | M | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Kristjan Asllani | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Olaitan | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Kökçü | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Černý | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Oh Hyeon-Gyu | F | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Cengiz Ünder | F | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Rashica | M | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Mustafa Hekimoğlu | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Salih Uçan | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
The final score was Fenerbahçe 1–0 Beşiktaş.
What did the model predict before Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Fenerbahçe win, 23% to a draw, and 35% to an Beşiktaş win.