Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 28
April 05, 2026 19:00
Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul
K. Akturkoglu
90'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fenerbahçe a 41% win probability (draw 23%, Beşiktaş 35%). The final result was Fenerbahçe 1–0 Beşiktaş. In 2 previous meetings, Fenerbahçe have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Beşiktaş.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
2
2.93
Actual xG
0.95
2
Saves
5
56%
Possession
44%
10
Corners
5
26
Tackles
23
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
M. Asensio
/ Fred
24'
45'+5
Ersin Destanoğlu
46'
G. Sazdagi
/
M. Murillo
52'
Wilfred Ndidi
58'
Talisca
/ S. Cherif
58'
A. Musaba
/ K. Akturkoglu
62'
67'
M. Rashica
/
K. Asllani
67'
C. Under
/
V. Cerny
Dorgeles Nene
68'
78'
Rıdvan Yılmaz
Jayden Oosterwolde
81'
A. Brown
/ L. Mercan
84'
86'
S. Ucan
/
W. Ndidi
90'+8
Emmanuel Agbadou
90'+10
Cengiz Ünder
Ederson
90'+14
90'
M. Hekimoglu
/
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
⚽K. Akturkoglu
(pen.)
90'
Pre-match prediction
41.08%
Fenerbahçe ←
23.88%
X
35.04%
Beşiktaş
we assigned to the actual result (Fenerbahçe)
41.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
2.93
+1.17
2.09
0.95
-1.14
Fenerbahçe dominated by xG (2.93 vs 0.95).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Ederson
G
Ederson
G
3
Archie Brown
84'
D
Archie Brown
84'
D
24
Jayden Oosterwolde
D
Jayden Oosterwolde
D
37
Milan Škriniar
D
Milan Škriniar
D
27
Nélson Semedo
D
Nélson Semedo
D
6
Mattéo Guendouzi
M
Mattéo Guendouzi
M
17
N'Golo Kanté
M
N'Golo Kanté
M
45
N. Dorgeles
M
N. Dorgeles
M
21
Marco Asensio
24'
M
Marco Asensio
24'
M
20
Anthony Musaba
62'
M
Anthony Musaba
62'
M
94
Talisca
58'
F
Talisca
58'
F
Bench
4
Çağlar Söyüncü
D
Çağlar Söyüncü
D
7
Fred
66'
M
Fred
66'
M
5
İsmail Yüksek
M
İsmail Yüksek
M
9
Kerem Aktürkoğlu
1 ⚽
28'
F
Kerem Aktürkoğlu
1 ⚽
28'
F
22
Levent Mercan
21'
D
Levent Mercan
21'
D
18
Mert Müldür
D
Mert Müldür
D
26
Sidiki Cherif
32'
F
Sidiki Cherif
32'
F
30
Ersin Destanoğlu
G
Ersin Destanoğlu
G
33
Rıdvan Yılmaz
D
14
D
12
E. Agbadou
D
E. Agbadou
D
62
A. Murillo
45'
D
A. Murillo
45'
D
4
W. Ndidi
86'
M
W. Ndidi
86'
M
23
Kristjan Asllani
67'
M
15
J. Olaitan
M
J. Olaitan
M
10
O. Kökçü
M
O. Kökçü
M
18
Václav Černý
67'
M
9
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
89'
F
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
89'
F
Bench
11
Cengiz Ünder
23'
F
Cengiz Ünder
23'
F
53
Emirhan Topçu
D
26
Jota Silva
F
Jota Silva
F
17
Kartal Kayra Yılmaz
M
7
M. Rashica
23'
M
M. Rashica
23'
M
91
Mustafa Hekimoğlu
15'
F
8
Salih Uçan
19'
M
Salih Uçan
19'
M
35
Tiago Djaló
D
Best on the pitch
Mattéo Guendouzi
M · Fenerbahçe
8.30
1 shots
· 49 pass
Ersin Destanoğlu
G · Beşiktaş
8.20
· 34 pass
N'Golo Kanté
M · Fenerbahçe
7.90
· 57 pass
Ederson
G · Fenerbahçe
7.70
· 24 pass
Archie Brown
D · Fenerbahçe
7.60
· 29 pass
Jayden Oosterwolde
D · Fenerbahçe
7.60
· 68 pass
Fenerbahçe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ederson | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Archie Brown | D | 84 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| Jayden Oosterwolde | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 68 | 55% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Milan Škriniar | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 64 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Nélson Semedo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| Mattéo Guendouzi | M | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 43% | 4 | — | — |
| N'Golo Kanté | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 8 | — | — |
| N. Dorgeles | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marco Asensio | M | 24 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Anthony Musaba | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Talisca | F | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Fred | M | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Kerem Aktürkoğlu | F | 28 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Levent Mercan | D | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Sidiki Cherif | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Beşiktaş — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ersin Destanoğlu | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Rıdvan Yılmaz | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 4 | — | — | |
| E. Agbadou | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 45% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Murillo | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Ndidi | M | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Kristjan Asllani | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Olaitan | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Kökçü | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Václav Černý | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Oh Hyeon-Gyu | F | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Cengiz Ünder | F | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Rashica | M | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Mustafa Hekimoğlu | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Salih Uçan | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
The final score was Fenerbahçe 1–0 Beşiktaş.
What did the model predict before Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Fenerbahçe win, 23% to a draw, and 35% to an Beşiktaş win.