← Serie A
Serie A · Regular Season - 32 April 13, 2026 22:45
Fiorentina
#15 · 38 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Lazio
#9 · 51 pts
R. Gosens (ast. J. Harrison) 28'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fiorentina a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Lazio 25%). The final result was Fiorentina 1–0 Lazio. In 1 previous meetings, Fiorentina have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lazio.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
6
0.50
Actual xG
1.43
6
Saves
1
34%
Possession
66%
5
Corners
6
14
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽R. Gosens · ast. J. Harrison
28'
Daniele Rugani
31'
46'
T. Noslin / M. Zaccagni ↕
46'
F. Dele-Bashiru / T. Basic ↕
63'
Tijjani Noslin
64'
67'
Pedro / B. Dia ↕
67'
G. Isaksen / M. Cancellieri ↕
↕ D. Rugani / M. Pongracic
71'
79'
P. Ratkov / K. Taylor ↕
Dodô
80'
↕ R. Gosens / L. Balbo
80'
↕ J. Fazzini / M. Solomon
84'
Roberto Piccoli
90'+1
90'+4
Pedro
Pre-match prediction
45.03%
Fiorentina ←
29.28%
X
25.7%
Lazio
we assigned to the actual result (Fiorentina) 45.03% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fiorentina
1.21
0.50
-0.71
Lazio
0.92
1.43
+0.51
Lazio dominated by xG (1.43 vs 0.50). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Inter Inter 36 85
2 Napoli Napoli 36 70
3 Juventus Juventus 36 68
4 AC Milan AC Milan 36 67
5 AS Roma AS Roma 36 67
6 Como Como 36 65
7 Atalanta Atalanta 36 58
8 Bologna Bologna 36 52
9 Lazio Lazio 36 51
10 Udinese Udinese 36 50
11 Sassuolo Sassuolo 36 49
12 Torino Torino 36 44
13 Parma Parma 36 42
14 Genoa Genoa 36 41
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 36 38
16 Cagliari Cagliari 36 37
17 Lecce Lecce 36 32
18 Cremonese Cremonese 36 31
19 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 36 20
20 Pisa Pisa 36 18
Lineups
Fiorentina Fiorentina 4-3-3
43 David De Gea David De Gea G 9.50
21 Robin Gosens Robin Gosens 1 ⚽ 80' D 7.60
6 L. Ranieri L. Ranieri D 7.20
3 Daniele Rugani Daniele Rugani 71' D 6.90
2 Dodô Dodô D 7.30
27 C. Ndour C. Ndour M 7.90
8 Rolando Mandragora Rolando Mandragora M 7.70
80 Giovanni Fabbian Giovanni Fabbian M 6.20
22 Jacopo Fazzini Jacopo Fazzini 84' F 7.70
91 Roberto Piccoli Roberto Piccoli F 6.50
17 Jack Harrison Jack Harrison 1 👟 F 7.50
Bench
62 Luís Balbo Luís Balbo 10' D 7.00
5 M. Pongračić M. Pongračić 19' D 6.60
19 M. Solomon M. Solomon 14' F 6.30
15 Pietro Comuzzo Pietro Comuzzo D
Lazio Lazio 4-3-3
40
G 6.60
17 Nuno Tavares Nuno Tavares D 7.00
25 Oliver Provstgaard Oliver Provstgaard D 7.30
13 Alessio Romagnoli Alessio Romagnoli D 7.30
29 Manuel Lazzari Manuel Lazzari D 6.30
24 Kenneth Taylor Kenneth Taylor 79' M 6.50
4 Patric Patric M 6.60
26 Toma Bašić Toma Bašić 45' M 6.20
10 M. Zaccagni M. Zaccagni 45' F 7.60
19 Boulaye Dia Boulaye Dia 67' F 6.30
22 M. Cancellieri M. Cancellieri 67' F 6.30
Bench
32 Danilo Cataldi Danilo Cataldi M
23 Elseid Hysaj Elseid Hysaj D
18 Gustav Isaksen Gustav Isaksen 23' F 6.60
3 Luca Pellegrini Luca Pellegrini D
9 Pedro Pedro 23' F 6.30
14 Tijjani Noslin Tijjani Noslin 45' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
David De Gea
David De Gea
G · Fiorentina
9.50
· 29 pass
C. Ndour
C. Ndour
M · Fiorentina
7.90
1 shots · 27 pass
Rolando Mandragora
Rolando Mandragora
M · Fiorentina
7.70
· 39 pass
Jacopo Fazzini
Jacopo Fazzini
F · Fiorentina
7.70
· 26 pass
Robin Gosens
Robin Gosens
D · Fiorentina
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 34 pass
M. Zaccagni
M. Zaccagni
F · Lazio
7.60
2 shots · 26 pass
Fiorentina Fiorentina — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
David De Gea G 90 9.50 — — — 29 21% — — —
Robin Gosens D 80 7.60 1 — 1 34 22% 1 — —
L. Ranieri D 90 7.20 — — — 48 47% 1 — —
Daniele Rugani D 71 6.90 — — — 30 26% 1 1 —
Dodô D 90 7.30 — — 1 34 28% 2 1 —
C. Ndour M 90 7.90 — — 1 27 23% 2 — —
Rolando Mandragora M 90 7.70 — — — 39 39% 3 — —
Giovanni Fabbian M 90 6.20 — — 1 22 19% — — —
Jacopo Fazzini F 84 7.70 — — — 26 18% 1 — —
Roberto Piccoli F 90 6.50 — — 1 7 6% — 1 —
Jack Harrison F 90 7.50 — 1 1 31 22% 2 — —
Luís Balbo D 10 7.00 — — — 4 2% 1 — —
M. Pongračić D 19 6.60 — — — 13 12% — — —
M. Solomon F 14 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Lazio Lazio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 24 21% — — —
Nuno Tavares D 90 7.00 — — 1 54 52% 2 — —
Oliver Provstgaard D 90 7.30 — — — 123 117% — — —
Alessio Romagnoli D 90 7.30 — — — 98 91% 1 — —
Manuel Lazzari D 90 6.30 — — — 46 42% 1 — —
Kenneth Taylor M 79 6.50 — — — 51 45% 1 — —
Patric M 90 6.60 — — — 111 105% — — —
Toma Bašić M 45 6.20 — — — 31 26% — — —
M. Zaccagni F 45 7.60 — — 2 26 24% 1 — —
Boulaye Dia F 67 6.30 — — — 16 14% — — —
M. Cancellieri F 67 6.30 — — 2 21 17% — — —
Gustav Isaksen F 23 6.60 — — — 11 8% — — —
Pedro F 23 6.30 — — 1 16 15% — 1 —
Tijjani Noslin F 45 6.20 — — 2 21 19% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Lazio?
The final score was Fiorentina 1–0 Lazio.
What did the model predict before Fiorentina vs Lazio?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Fiorentina win, 29% to a draw, and 25% to an Lazio win.