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Serie A · Regular Season - 32 April 13, 2026 20:45
Fiorentina
#15 · 3 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Lazio
#1 · 10 pts
R. Gosens (ast. J. Harrison) 28'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fiorentina a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Lazio 25%). The final result was Fiorentina 1–0 Lazio. In 1 previous meetings, Fiorentina have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lazio.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
6
0.50
Actual xG
1.43
6
Saves
1
34%
Possession
66%
5
Corners
6
14
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽R. Gosens · ast. J. Harrison
28'
Daniele Rugani
31'
46'
T. Noslin / M. Zaccagni ↕
46'
F. Dele-Bashiru / T. Basic ↕
63'
Tijjani Noslin
64'
67'
Pedro / B. Dia ↕
67'
G. Isaksen / M. Cancellieri ↕
↕ D. Rugani / M. Pongracic
71'
79'
P. Ratkov / K. Taylor ↕
Dodô
80'
↕ R. Gosens / L. Balbo
80'
↕ J. Fazzini / M. Solomon
84'
Roberto Piccoli
90'+1
90'+4
Pedro
Pre-match prediction
45.03%
Fiorentina ←
29.28%
X
25.7%
Lazio
we assigned to the actual result (Fiorentina) 45.03% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fiorentina
1.21
0.50
-0.71
Lazio
0.92
1.43
+0.51
Lazio dominated by xG (1.43 vs 0.50). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 4 10
2 AS Roma AS Roma 3 9
3 Inter Inter 3 9
4 Cagliari Cagliari 4 9
5 AC Milan AC Milan 4 8
6 Como Como 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Frosinone Frosinone 4 7
9 Napoli Napoli 4 6
10 Atalanta Atalanta 4 6
11 Lecce Lecce 4 6
12 Sassuolo Sassuolo 3 4
13 Udinese Udinese 3 4
14 Torino Torino 3 3
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 4 3
16 Parma Parma 3 1
17 Bologna Bologna 4 1
18 Monza Monza 4 1
19 Genoa Genoa 4 1
20 Venezia Venezia 4 0
Lineups
Fiorentina Fiorentina 4-3-3
43 David De Gea David De Gea G 9.50
21 R. Gosens R. Gosens 1 ⚽ 80' D 7.60
6 Luca Ranieri Luca Ranieri D 7.20
3 D. Rugani D. Rugani 71' D 6.90
2 Dodô Dodô D 7.30
27 Cher Ndour Cher Ndour M 7.90
8 R. Mandragora R. Mandragora M 7.70
80 G. Fabbian G. Fabbian M 6.20
22 Jacopo Fazzini Jacopo Fazzini 84' F 7.70
91 Roberto Piccoli Roberto Piccoli F 6.50
17 J. Harrison J. Harrison 1 👟 F 7.50
Bench
62 Luís Balbo Luís Balbo 10' D 7.00
5 Marin Pongračić Marin Pongračić 19' D 6.60
19 M. Solomon M. Solomon 14' F 6.30
15 P. Comuzzo P. Comuzzo D
Lazio Lazio 4-3-3
40
G 6.60
17 Nuno Tavares Nuno Tavares D 7.00
25 Oliver Provstgaard Oliver Provstgaard D 7.30
13 A. Romagnoli A. Romagnoli D 7.30
29 Manuel Lazzari Manuel Lazzari D 6.30
24 Kenneth Taylor Kenneth Taylor 79' M 6.50
4 Patric Patric M 6.60
26 Toma Bašić Toma Bašić 45' M 6.20
10 Mattia Zaccagni Mattia Zaccagni 45' F 7.60
19 B. Dia B. Dia 67' F 6.30
22 Matteo Cancellieri Matteo Cancellieri 67' F 6.30
Bench
32 Danilo Cataldi Danilo Cataldi M
23
Elseid Hysaj D
18 Gustav Isaksen Gustav Isaksen 23' F 6.60
3 Luca Pellegrini Luca Pellegrini D
9 Pedro Pedro 23' F 6.30
14 Tijjani Noslin Tijjani Noslin 45' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
David De Gea
David De Gea
G · Fiorentina
9.50
· 29 pass
Cher Ndour
Cher Ndour
M · Fiorentina
7.90
1 shots · 27 pass
R. Mandragora
R. Mandragora
M · Fiorentina
7.70
· 39 pass
Jacopo Fazzini
Jacopo Fazzini
F · Fiorentina
7.70
· 26 pass
R. Gosens
R. Gosens
D · Fiorentina
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 34 pass
Mattia Zaccagni
Mattia Zaccagni
F · Lazio
7.60
2 shots · 26 pass
Fiorentina Fiorentina — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
David De Gea G 90 9.50 — — — 29 21% — — —
R. Gosens D 80 7.60 1 — 1 34 22% 1 — —
Luca Ranieri D 90 7.20 — — — 48 47% 1 — —
D. Rugani D 71 6.90 — — — 30 26% 1 1 —
Dodô D 90 7.30 — — 1 34 28% 2 1 —
Cher Ndour M 90 7.90 — — 1 27 23% 2 — —
R. Mandragora M 90 7.70 — — — 39 39% 3 — —
G. Fabbian M 90 6.20 — — 1 22 19% — — —
Jacopo Fazzini F 84 7.70 — — — 26 18% 1 — —
Roberto Piccoli F 90 6.50 — — 1 7 6% — 1 —
J. Harrison F 90 7.50 — 1 1 31 22% 2 — —
Luís Balbo D 10 7.00 — — — 4 2% 1 — —
Marin Pongračić D 19 6.60 — — — 13 12% — — —
M. Solomon F 14 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Lazio Lazio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 24 21% — — —
Nuno Tavares D 90 7.00 — — 1 54 52% 2 — —
Oliver Provstgaard D 90 7.30 — — — 123 117% — — —
A. Romagnoli D 90 7.30 — — — 98 91% 1 — —
Manuel Lazzari D 90 6.30 — — — 46 42% 1 — —
Kenneth Taylor M 79 6.50 — — — 51 45% 1 — —
Patric M 90 6.60 — — — 111 105% — — —
Toma Bašić M 45 6.20 — — — 31 26% — — —
Mattia Zaccagni F 45 7.60 — — 2 26 24% 1 — —
B. Dia F 67 6.30 — — — 16 14% — — —
Matteo Cancellieri F 67 6.30 — — 2 21 17% — — —
Gustav Isaksen F 23 6.60 — — — 11 8% — — —
Pedro F 23 6.30 — — 1 16 15% — 1 —
Tijjani Noslin F 45 6.20 — — 2 21 19% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Lazio?
The final score was Fiorentina 1–0 Lazio.
What did the model predict before Fiorentina vs Lazio?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Fiorentina win, 29% to a draw, and 25% to an Lazio win.