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Serie A · Regular Season - 32 April 13, 2026 20:45
Fiorentina
#19 · 4 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Lazio
#2 · 25 pts
R. Gosens (ast. J. Harrison) 28'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fiorentina a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Lazio 25%). The final result was Fiorentina 1–0 Lazio. In 1 previous meetings, Fiorentina have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lazio.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
6
0.50
Actual xG
1.43
6
Saves
1
34%
Possession
66%
5
Corners
6
14
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽R. Gosens · ast. J. Harrison
28'
Daniele Rugani
31'
46'
T. Noslin / M. Zaccagni ↕
46'
F. Dele-Bashiru / T. Basic ↕
63'
Tijjani Noslin
64'
67'
Pedro / B. Dia ↕
67'
G. Isaksen / M. Cancellieri ↕
↕ D. Rugani / M. Pongracic
71'
79'
P. Ratkov / K. Taylor ↕
Dodô
80'
↕ R. Gosens / L. Balbo
80'
↕ J. Fazzini / M. Solomon
84'
Roberto Piccoli
90'+1
90'+4
Pedro
Pre-match prediction
45.03%
Fiorentina ←
29.28%
X
25.7%
Lazio
we assigned to the actual result (Fiorentina) 45.03% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fiorentina
1.21
0.50
-0.71
Lazio
0.92
1.43
+0.51
Lazio dominated by xG (1.43 vs 0.50). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Inter Inter 9 25
2 Lazio Lazio 9 25
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 9 18
6 Napoli Napoli 9 14
7 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
8 Juventus Juventus 9 14
9 Torino Torino 9 13
10 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
11 Bologna Bologna 9 11
12 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
13 Genoa Genoa 9 10
14 Lecce Lecce 8 9
15 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
16 Monza Monza 9 7
17 Udinese Udinese 9 5
18 Parma Parma 9 5
19 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 9 3
Lineups
Fiorentina Fiorentina 4-3-3
43 David de Gea David de Gea G 9.50
21 R. Gosens R. Gosens 1 ⚽ 80' D 7.60
6 L. Ranieri L. Ranieri D 7.20
3 D. Rugani D. Rugani 71' D 6.90
2 Dodô Dodô D 7.30
27 C. Ndour C. Ndour M 7.90
8 R. Mandragora R. Mandragora M 7.70
80 G. Fabbian G. Fabbian M 6.20
22 J. Fazzini J. Fazzini 84' F 7.70
91 R. Piccoli R. Piccoli F 6.50
17 J. Harrison J. Harrison 1 👟 F 7.50
Bench
62 Luís Balbo Luís Balbo 10' D 7.00
5 M. Pongračić M. Pongračić 19' D 6.60
19 M. Solomon M. Solomon 14' F 6.30
15 P. Comuzzo P. Comuzzo D
Lazio Lazio 4-3-3
40
G 6.60
17 Nuno Tavares Nuno Tavares D 7.00
25 O. Provstgaard O. Provstgaard D 7.30
13 A. Romagnoli A. Romagnoli D 7.30
29 M. Lazzari M. Lazzari D 6.30
24 K. Taylor K. Taylor 79' M 6.50
4 Patric Patric M 6.60
26 T. Bašić T. Bašić 45' M 6.20
10 M. Zaccagni M. Zaccagni 45' F 7.60
19 B. Dia B. Dia 67' F 6.30
22 M. Cancellieri M. Cancellieri 67' F 6.30
Bench
32 D. Cataldi D. Cataldi M
23 E. Hysaj E. Hysaj D
18 G. Isaksen G. Isaksen 23' F 6.60
3 L. Pellegrini L. Pellegrini D
9 Pedro Pedro 23' F 6.30
14 T. Noslin T. Noslin 45' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
David de Gea
David de Gea
G · Fiorentina
9.50
· 29 pass
C. Ndour
C. Ndour
M · Fiorentina
7.90
1 shots · 27 pass
R. Mandragora
R. Mandragora
M · Fiorentina
7.70
· 39 pass
J. Fazzini
J. Fazzini
F · Fiorentina
7.70
· 26 pass
R. Gosens
R. Gosens
D · Fiorentina
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 34 pass
M. Zaccagni
M. Zaccagni
F · Lazio
7.60
2 shots · 26 pass
Fiorentina Fiorentina — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
David de Gea G 90 9.50 — — — 29 21% — — —
R. Gosens D 80 7.60 1 — 1 34 22% 1 — —
L. Ranieri D 90 7.20 — — — 48 47% 1 — —
D. Rugani D 71 6.90 — — — 30 26% 1 1 —
Dodô D 90 7.30 — — 1 34 28% 2 1 —
C. Ndour M 90 7.90 — — 1 27 23% 2 — —
R. Mandragora M 90 7.70 — — — 39 39% 3 — —
G. Fabbian M 90 6.20 — — 1 22 19% — — —
J. Fazzini F 84 7.70 — — — 26 18% 1 — —
R. Piccoli F 90 6.50 — — 1 7 6% — 1 —
J. Harrison F 90 7.50 — 1 1 31 22% 2 — —
Luís Balbo D 10 7.00 — — — 4 2% 1 — —
M. Pongračić D 19 6.60 — — — 13 12% — — —
M. Solomon F 14 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Lazio Lazio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 24 21% — — —
Nuno Tavares D 90 7.00 — — 1 54 52% 2 — —
O. Provstgaard D 90 7.30 — — — 123 117% — — —
A. Romagnoli D 90 7.30 — — — 98 91% 1 — —
M. Lazzari D 90 6.30 — — — 46 42% 1 — —
K. Taylor M 79 6.50 — — — 51 45% 1 — —
Patric M 90 6.60 — — — 111 105% — — —
T. Bašić M 45 6.20 — — — 31 26% — — —
M. Zaccagni F 45 7.60 — — 2 26 24% 1 — —
B. Dia F 67 6.30 — — — 16 14% — — —
M. Cancellieri F 67 6.30 — — 2 21 17% — — —
G. Isaksen F 23 6.60 — — — 11 8% — — —
Pedro F 23 6.30 — — 1 16 15% — 1 —
T. Noslin F 45 6.20 — — 2 21 19% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Lazio?
The final score was Fiorentina 1–0 Lazio.
What did the model predict before Fiorentina vs Lazio?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Fiorentina win, 29% to a draw, and 25% to an Lazio win.