← 2. Bundesliga
2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29 April 10, 2026 20:30
Fortuna Düsseldorf
#15 · 37 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Holstein Kiel
#11 · 41 pts
C. Itten (ast. S. Tanaka) 71'
50' (ast. A. Kapralik) P. Harres
79' (ast. U. Tohumcu) I. Nekic

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fortuna Düsseldorf a 43% win probability (draw 27%, Holstein Kiel 28%). The final result was Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–2 Holstein Kiel. In 1 previous meetings, Fortuna Düsseldorf have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Holstein Kiel.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
3
1.10
Actual xG
1.42
1
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
3
20
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
7'
M. Ivezic / J. Tolkin ↕
10'
J. Meffert
↕ C. Rasmussen / M. Ljubicic
16'
24'
U. Tohumcu
F. Muslija
26'
44'
S. Skrzybski
50'
ast. A. Kapralik · P. Harres⚽
60'
J. Therkelsen / S. Skrzybski ↕
↕ L. Raimund / V. Lunddal
61'
↕ J. Daland / M. Heyer
65'
↕ F. Muslija / J. Paulina
66'
⚽C. Itten · ast. S. Tanaka
71'
79'
ast. U. Tohumcu · I. Nekic⚽
90'+1
A. Kapralik
M. Heyer
90'+1
90'+2
F. Roslyng / I. Ugoh ↕
90'+2
N. Niehoff / U. Tohumcu ↕
Pre-match prediction
43.9%
Fortuna
27.61%
X
28.49%
Holstein ←
we assigned to the actual result (Holstein Kiel) 28.49% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fortuna
1.43
1.10
-0.33
Holstein
0.94
1.42
+0.48
Holstein Kiel dominated by xG (1.42 vs 1.10). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 33 67
2 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 33 59
3 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 33 59
4 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 33 59
5 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 33 52
6 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 33 51
7 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 33 49
8 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 33 45
9 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 33 44
10 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 33 41
11 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 33 41
12 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 33 39
13 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 33 38
14 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 33 37
15 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 33 37
16 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 33 36
17 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 33 34
18 Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 33 30
Lineups
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1-4-2
33
G 6.70
2 Jesper Daland Jesper Daland 65' D 6.60
44 Elias Egouli Elias Egouli D 7.00
15
D 6.50
16
S. Tanaka 1 👟 M 7.20
24
Florent Muslija 65' M 6.60
23 S. Appelkamp S. Appelkamp M 7.30
8
A. El Azzouzi M 7.30
7 Luca Raimund Luca Raimund 61' M 6.50
13 Cédric Itten Cédric Itten 1 ⚽ F 7.30
10 Christian Rasmussen Christian Rasmussen 16' F 6.70
Bench
27 Jordi Paulina Jordi Paulina 25' F 7.20
29
K. Sauck M
20 Marin Ljubičić Marin Ljubičić 74' F 6.50
5 Moritz Heyer Moritz Heyer 25' D 6.50
14 Sotiris Alexandropoulos Sotiris Alexandropoulos M
6 Tim Breithaupt Tim Breithaupt M
12 Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson 29' D 7.00
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 4-5-1
1
G 6.30
47
John Tolkin 7' D
26 D. Zec D. Zec D 6.50
13
I. Nekic 1 ⚽ D 8.20
23
L. Rosenboom D 6.70
7
S. Skrzybski 60' M 7.20
49
I. Ugoh 89' M 6.50
28
J. Meffert M 6.70
8
U. Tohumcu 1 👟 89' M 7.00
20
A. Kapralik 1 👟 M 6.60
19
P. Harres 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
2
F. Roslyng 8' D 6.90
10
J. Therkelsen 30' M 6.50
6
Marko Ivezić 83' D 6.50
25
M. Muller F
22
Stefan Schwab M
Best on the pitch
I. Nekic
D · Holstein
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 33 pass
S. Appelkamp
S. Appelkamp
M · Fortuna
7.30
· 30 pass
A. El Azzouzi
M · Fortuna
7.30
· 49 pass
Cédric Itten
Cédric Itten
F · Fortuna
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 16 pass
Jordi Paulina
Jordi Paulina
F · Fortuna
7.20
· 15 pass
S. Tanaka
M · Fortuna
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 47 pass
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 35 29% — — —
Jesper Daland D 65 6.60 — — — 38 35% 2 — —
Elias Egouli D 90 7.00 — — 1 69 65% 2 — —
D 90 6.50 — — — 63 49% — — —
S. Tanaka M 90 7.20 — 1 1 47 39% 1 — —
Florent Muslija M 65 6.60 — — — 24 18% 2 1 —
S. Appelkamp M 90 7.30 — — — 30 27% 1 — —
A. El Azzouzi M 90 7.30 — — — 49 41% 6 — —
Luca Raimund M 61 6.50 — — 1 24 16% 3 — —
Cédric Itten F 90 7.30 1 — 4 16 10% 1 — —
Christian Rasmussen F 16 6.70 — — 1 1 — — — —
Jordi Paulina F 25 7.20 — — — 15 14% 2 — —
Marin Ljubičić F 74 6.50 — — — 22 19% — — —
Moritz Heyer D 25 6.50 — — — 14 12% — 1 —
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson D 29 7.00 — — 1 29 24% — — —
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 52 35% — — —
John Tolkin D 7 — — — — 3 3% — — —
D. Zec D 90 6.50 — — 1 54 52% 1 — —
I. Nekic D 90 8.20 1 — 1 33 29% 2 — —
L. Rosenboom D 90 6.70 — — 1 28 21% 2 — —
S. Skrzybski M 60 7.20 — — — 26 23% — 1 —
I. Ugoh M 89 6.50 — — 2 21 16% — — —
J. Meffert M 90 6.70 — — 1 34 29% 1 1 —
U. Tohumcu M 89 7.00 — 1 2 22 19% 1 1 —
A. Kapralik M 90 6.60 — 1 — 13 9% 1 1 —
P. Harres F 90 7.20 1 — 1 9 6% — — —
F. Roslyng D 8 6.90 — — — 3 1% — — —
J. Therkelsen M 30 6.50 — — — 3 3% — — —
Marko Ivezić D 83 6.50 — — — 56 48% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel?
The final score was Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–2 Holstein Kiel.
What did the model predict before Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Fortuna Düsseldorf win, 27% to a draw, and 28% to an Holstein Kiel win.