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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29 April 10, 2026 18:30
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 – 2
Final score
Holstein Kiel
#16 · 4 pts
C. Itten (ast. S. Tanaka) 71'
50' (ast. A. Kapralik) P. Harres
79' (ast. U. Tohumcu) I. Nekic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fortuna Düsseldorf a 43% win probability (draw 27%, Holstein Kiel 28%). The final result was Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–2 Holstein Kiel. In 1 previous meetings, Fortuna Düsseldorf have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Holstein Kiel.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
3
1.10
Actual xG
1.42
1
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
3
20
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
7'
M. Ivezic / J. Tolkin ↕
10'
J. Meffert
↕ C. Rasmussen / M. Ljubicic
16'
24'
U. Tohumcu
F. Muslija
26'
44'
S. Skrzybski
50'
ast. A. Kapralik · P. Harres⚽
60'
J. Therkelsen / S. Skrzybski ↕
↕ L. Raimund / V. Lunddal
61'
↕ J. Daland / M. Heyer
65'
↕ F. Muslija / J. Paulina
66'
⚽C. Itten · ast. S. Tanaka
71'
79'
ast. U. Tohumcu · I. Nekic⚽
90'+1
A. Kapralik
M. Heyer
90'+1
90'+2
F. Roslyng / I. Ugoh ↕
90'+2
N. Niehoff / U. Tohumcu ↕
Pre-match prediction
43.9%
Fortuna
27.61%
X
28.49%
Holstein ←
we assigned to the actual result (Holstein Kiel) 28.49% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fortuna
1.43
1.10
-0.33
Holstein
0.94
1.42
+0.48
Holstein Kiel dominated by xG (1.42 vs 1.10). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 6 18
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 6 16
3 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 6 13
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 6 11
5 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 6 11
6 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 6 10
7 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 6 8
8 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 6 7
9 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 6 7
10 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 6 7
11 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 6 7
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 6 5
14 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 6 5
15 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 6 4
16 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 6 4
17 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 6 4
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 6 4
Lineups
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1-4-2
33
G 6.70
2 J. Daland J. Daland 65' D 6.60
44 Elias Egouli Elias Egouli D 7.00
15
D 6.50
16 Satoshi Tanaka Satoshi Tanaka 1 👟 M 7.20
24
Florent Muslija 65' M 6.60
23 S. Appelkamp S. Appelkamp M 7.30
8 Anouar El Azzouzi Anouar El Azzouzi M 7.30
7 L. Raimund L. Raimund 61' M 6.50
13 C. Itten C. Itten 1 ⚽ F 7.30
10 C. Rasmussen C. Rasmussen 16' F 6.70
Bench
27 J. Paulina J. Paulina 25' F 7.20
29
K. Sauck M
20 M. Ljubičić M. Ljubičić 74' F 6.50
5 Moritz Heyer Moritz Heyer 25' D 6.50
14 Sotiris Alexandropoulos Sotiris Alexandropoulos M
6 Tim Breithaupt Tim Breithaupt M
12 Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson 29' D 7.00
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 4-5-1
1
G 6.30
47 J. Tolkin J. Tolkin 7' D
26 D. Zec D. Zec D 6.50
13 I. Nekić I. Nekić 1 ⚽ D 8.20
23 Lasse Rosenboom Lasse Rosenboom D 6.70
7 S. Skrzybski S. Skrzybski 60' M 7.20
49 I. Ugoh I. Ugoh 89' M 6.50
28 J. Meffert J. Meffert M 6.70
8 U. Tohumcu U. Tohumcu 1 👟 89' M 7.00
20 A. Kaprálik A. Kaprálik 1 👟 M 6.60
19 P. Harres P. Harres 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
2 Frederik Roslyng Frederik Roslyng 8' D 6.90
10 J. Therkelsen J. Therkelsen 30' M 6.50
25 Marcus Müller Marcus Müller F
6 Marko Ivezić Marko Ivezić 83' D 6.50
22 S. Schwab S. Schwab M
Best on the pitch
I. Nekić
I. Nekić
D · Holstein
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 33 pass
S. Appelkamp
S. Appelkamp
M · Fortuna
7.30
· 30 pass
Anouar El Azzouzi
Anouar El Azzouzi
M · Fortuna
7.30
· 49 pass
C. Itten
C. Itten
F · Fortuna
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 16 pass
J. Paulina
J. Paulina
F · Fortuna
7.20
· 15 pass
Satoshi Tanaka
Satoshi Tanaka
M · Fortuna
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 47 pass
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 35 29% — — —
J. Daland D 65 6.60 — — — 38 35% 2 — —
Elias Egouli D 90 7.00 — — 1 69 65% 2 — —
D 90 6.50 — — — 63 49% — — —
Satoshi Tanaka M 90 7.20 — 1 1 47 39% 1 — —
Florent Muslija M 65 6.60 — — — 24 18% 2 1 —
S. Appelkamp M 90 7.30 — — — 30 27% 1 — —
Anouar El Azzouzi M 90 7.30 — — — 49 41% 6 — —
L. Raimund M 61 6.50 — — 1 24 16% 3 — —
C. Itten F 90 7.30 1 — 4 16 10% 1 — —
C. Rasmussen F 16 6.70 — — 1 1 — — — —
J. Paulina F 25 7.20 — — — 15 14% 2 — —
M. Ljubičić F 74 6.50 — — — 22 19% — — —
Moritz Heyer D 25 6.50 — — — 14 12% — 1 —
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson D 29 7.00 — — 1 29 24% — — —
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 52 35% — — —
J. Tolkin D 7 — — — — 3 3% — — —
D. Zec D 90 6.50 — — 1 54 52% 1 — —
I. Nekić D 90 8.20 1 — 1 33 29% 2 — —
Lasse Rosenboom D 90 6.70 — — 1 28 21% 2 — —
S. Skrzybski M 60 7.20 — — — 26 23% — 1 —
I. Ugoh M 89 6.50 — — 2 21 16% — — —
J. Meffert M 90 6.70 — — 1 34 29% 1 1 —
U. Tohumcu M 89 7.00 — 1 2 22 19% 1 1 —
A. Kaprálik M 90 6.60 — 1 — 13 9% 1 1 —
P. Harres F 90 7.20 1 — 1 9 6% — — —
Frederik Roslyng D 8 6.90 — — — 3 1% — — —
J. Therkelsen M 30 6.50 — — — 3 3% — — —
Marko Ivezić D 83 6.50 — — — 56 48% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel?
The final score was Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–2 Holstein Kiel.
What did the model predict before Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Fortuna Düsseldorf win, 27% to a draw, and 28% to an Holstein Kiel win.