Skip to main content
← 2. Bundesliga
2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29 April 10, 2026 18:30
Fortuna Düsseldorf
#17 · 37 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Holstein Kiel
#12 · 41 pts
C. Itten (ast. S. Tanaka) 71'
50' (ast. A. Kapralik) P. Harres
79' (ast. U. Tohumcu) I. Nekic
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fortuna Düsseldorf a 43% win probability (draw 27%, Holstein Kiel 28%). The final result was Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–2 Holstein Kiel. In 1 previous meetings, Fortuna Düsseldorf have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Holstein Kiel.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
3
1.10
Actual xG
1.42
1
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
3
20
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
7'
M. Ivezic / J. Tolkin ↕
10'
J. Meffert
↕ C. Rasmussen / M. Ljubicic
16'
24'
U. Tohumcu
F. Muslija
26'
44'
S. Skrzybski
50'
ast. A. Kapralik · P. Harres⚽
60'
J. Therkelsen / S. Skrzybski ↕
↕ L. Raimund / V. Lunddal
61'
↕ J. Daland / M. Heyer
65'
↕ F. Muslija / J. Paulina
66'
⚽C. Itten · ast. S. Tanaka
71'
79'
ast. U. Tohumcu · I. Nekic⚽
90'+1
A. Kapralik
M. Heyer
90'+1
90'+2
F. Roslyng / I. Ugoh ↕
90'+2
N. Niehoff / U. Tohumcu ↕
Pre-match prediction
43.9%
Fortuna
27.61%
X
28.49%
Holstein ←
we assigned to the actual result (Holstein Kiel) 28.49% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fortuna
1.43
1.10
-0.33
Holstein
0.94
1.42
+0.48
Holstein Kiel dominated by xG (1.42 vs 1.10). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 34 70
2 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 34 62
3 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 34 62
4 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 34 60
5 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 34 52
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 34 52
7 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 34 51
8 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 34 46
9 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 34 44
10 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 34 44
11 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 34 41
12 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 34 41
13 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 34 39
14 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 34 39
15 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 34 37
16 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 34 37
17 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 34 37
18 Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 34 30
Lineups
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1-4-2
33
G 6.70
2 J. Daland J. Daland 65' D 6.60
44 Elias Egouli Elias Egouli D 7.00
15
D 6.50
16 Satoshi Tanaka Satoshi Tanaka 1 👟 M 7.20
24
Florent Muslija 65' M 6.60
23 S. Appelkamp S. Appelkamp M 7.30
8 A. El Azzouzi A. El Azzouzi M 7.30
7 Luca Raimund Luca Raimund 61' M 6.50
13 C. Itten C. Itten 1 ⚽ F 7.30
10 Christian Rasmussen Christian Rasmussen 16' F 6.70
Bench
27 Jordi Paulina Jordi Paulina 25' F 7.20
29
K. Sauck M
20 Marin Ljubičić Marin Ljubičić 74' F 6.50
5 Moritz Heyer Moritz Heyer 25' D 6.50
14 Sotiris Alexandropoulos Sotiris Alexandropoulos M
6 Tim Breithaupt Tim Breithaupt M
12 Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson 29' D 7.00
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 4-5-1
1
G 6.30
47
John Tolkin 7' D
26 D. Zec D. Zec D 6.50
13 Ivan Nekić Ivan Nekić 1 ⚽ D 8.20
23 Lasse Rosenboom Lasse Rosenboom D 6.70
7
S. Skrzybski 60' M 7.20
49 Ikem Ugoh Ikem Ugoh 89' M 6.50
28 Jonas Meffert Jonas Meffert M 6.70
8 Umut Tohumcu Umut Tohumcu 1 👟 89' M 7.00
20
Adrián Kaprálik 1 👟 M 6.60
19 P. Harres P. Harres 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
2 Frederik Roslyng Frederik Roslyng 8' D 6.90
10 Jonas Therkelsen Jonas Therkelsen 30' M 6.50
25 Marcus Müller Marcus Müller F
6 Marko Ivezić Marko Ivezić 83' D 6.50
22 Stefan Schwab Stefan Schwab M
Best on the pitch
Ivan Nekić
Ivan Nekić
D · Holstein
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 33 pass
S. Appelkamp
S. Appelkamp
M · Fortuna
7.30
· 30 pass
A. El Azzouzi
A. El Azzouzi
M · Fortuna
7.30
· 49 pass
C. Itten
C. Itten
F · Fortuna
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 16 pass
Jordi Paulina
Jordi Paulina
F · Fortuna
7.20
· 15 pass
Satoshi Tanaka
Satoshi Tanaka
M · Fortuna
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 47 pass
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 35 29% — — —
J. Daland D 65 6.60 — — — 38 35% 2 — —
Elias Egouli D 90 7.00 — — 1 69 65% 2 — —
D 90 6.50 — — — 63 49% — — —
Satoshi Tanaka M 90 7.20 — 1 1 47 39% 1 — —
Florent Muslija M 65 6.60 — — — 24 18% 2 1 —
S. Appelkamp M 90 7.30 — — — 30 27% 1 — —
A. El Azzouzi M 90 7.30 — — — 49 41% 6 — —
Luca Raimund M 61 6.50 — — 1 24 16% 3 — —
C. Itten F 90 7.30 1 — 4 16 10% 1 — —
Christian Rasmussen F 16 6.70 — — 1 1 — — — —
Jordi Paulina F 25 7.20 — — — 15 14% 2 — —
Marin Ljubičić F 74 6.50 — — — 22 19% — — —
Moritz Heyer D 25 6.50 — — — 14 12% — 1 —
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson D 29 7.00 — — 1 29 24% — — —
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 52 35% — — —
John Tolkin D 7 — — — — 3 3% — — —
D. Zec D 90 6.50 — — 1 54 52% 1 — —
Ivan Nekić D 90 8.20 1 — 1 33 29% 2 — —
Lasse Rosenboom D 90 6.70 — — 1 28 21% 2 — —
S. Skrzybski M 60 7.20 — — — 26 23% — 1 —
Ikem Ugoh M 89 6.50 — — 2 21 16% — — —
Jonas Meffert M 90 6.70 — — 1 34 29% 1 1 —
Umut Tohumcu M 89 7.00 — 1 2 22 19% 1 1 —
Adrián Kaprálik M 90 6.60 — 1 — 13 9% 1 1 —
P. Harres F 90 7.20 1 — 1 9 6% — — —
Frederik Roslyng D 8 6.90 — — — 3 1% — — —
Jonas Therkelsen M 30 6.50 — — — 3 3% — — —
Marko Ivezić D 83 6.50 — — — 56 48% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel?
The final score was Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–2 Holstein Kiel.
What did the model predict before Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Fortuna Düsseldorf win, 27% to a draw, and 28% to an Holstein Kiel win.