Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 SV Elversberg — pre-match prediction — 2. Bundesliga — May 10, 2026

← 2. Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 13:30

Fortuna Düsseldorf

#15 · 37 pts

3 – 1

Final score

SV Elversberg

#2 · 59 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction SV Elversberg, result Fortuna Düsseldorf vince

F. Le Joncour 25' (og)

C. Itten (ast. S. Appelkamp) 43'

C. Itten (ast. T. Breithaupt) 52'

(og) 90' T. Oberdorf

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SV Elversberg a 60% win probability (draw 18%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 20%). The final result was Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 SV Elversberg. In 1 previous meetings, Fortuna Düsseldorf have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for SV Elversberg.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.65

Actual xG

0.69

Saves

44%

Possession

56%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽F. Le Joncour (og)

25'

M. Zimmermann

30'

⚽C. Itten · ast. S. Appelkamp

43'

⚽C. Itten · ast. T. Breithaupt

52'

↕ M. Zimmermann / V. Lunddal

56'

↕ C. Lenz / S. Suso

56'

C. Itten

64'

66'

R. Adam / M. Rohr ↕

66'

L. Pinckert / L. Poreba ↕

66'

B. Conte / L. Petkov ↕

↕ M. Ljubicic / L. Raimund

70'

↕ T. Breithaupt / M. Heyer

70'

81'

N. Mickelson / J. Gyamerah ↕

↕ S. Appelkamp / J. Daland

83'

88'

L. Schnellbacher / T. Zimmerschied ↕

L. Raimund

90'+8

90'

(og) T. Oberdorf⚽

Pre-match prediction

20.74%

Fortuna ←

18.99%

60.27%

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) 20.74% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Fortuna

1.07

0.65

-0.42

2.35

0.69

-1.66

xG dominance was balanced (0.65 – 0.69). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	33	67
2	SV Elversberg	33	59
3	Hannover 96	33	59
4	SC Paderborn 07	33	59
5	SV Darmstadt 98	33	52
6	Hertha BSC	33	51
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	33	49
8	1. FC Nürnberg	33	45
9	Karlsruher SC	33	44
10	VfL Bochum	33	41
11	Holstein Kiel	33	41
12	1. FC Magdeburg	33	39
13	Dynamo Dresden	33	38
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	33	37
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	33	37
16	Arminia Bielefeld	33	36
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	33	34
18	Preußen Münster	33	30

Lineups

Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-2-3-1

Florian Kastenmeier G 7.30

Christopher Lenz 56' D 7.60

Elias Egouli D 6.60

Tim Oberdorf 1 ⚽ D 6.70

Matthias Zimmermann 56' D 7.00

Tim Breithaupt 1 👟 70' M 7.20

Sotiris Alexandropoulos M 6.70

Marin Ljubičić 70' M 6.30

S. Appelkamp 1 👟 83' M 7.20

Emmanuel Iyoha M 6.60

Cédric Itten 2 ⚽ F 8.70

Bench

Christian Rasmussen F

Jesper Daland 16' D 6.00

Jordi Paulina F

Julian Hettwer F

Luca Raimund 20' F 6.20

Marcel Lotka G

Moritz Heyer 20' D 6.30

Sima Suso 34' M 6.60

Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson 34' D 6.50

SV Elversberg 4-2-3-1

Nicolas Kristof G 5.50

Lasse Günther D 6.20

Florian Yves Le Joncour 1 ⚽ D 5.50

Maximilian Rohr 66' D 6.20

Jan Gyamerah 81' D 5.90

Łukasz Poręba 66' M 6.50

A. Condé M 6.60

Tom Zimmerschied 88' M 6.50

Immanuel Pherai M 5.90

Lukas Petkov 66' M 6.20

David Mokwa F 6.20

Bench

Bambasé Conté 24' M 6.30

Frederik Schmahl M

Jarzinho Malanga M

Luca Pfeiffer F

Luca Schnellbacher 11' M 6.70

Lukas Finn Pinckert 24' D 7.20

Nicholas Mickelson 9' D 6.70

Raif Adam 24' F 6.50

Tim Boss G

Best on the pitch

Cédric Itten

F · Fortuna

8.70

2 ⚽

6 shots · 22 pass

Christopher Lenz

D · Fortuna

7.60

· 20 pass

Florian Kastenmeier

G · Fortuna

7.30

· 49 pass

Tim Breithaupt

M · Fortuna

7.20

1 👟

· 31 pass

S. Appelkamp

M · Fortuna

7.20

1 👟

· 32 pass

Lukas Finn Pinckert

D · SV

7.20

· 28 pass

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Florian Kastenmeier	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	49	26%	1	—	—
Christopher Lenz	D	56	7.60	—	—	—	20	16%	5	—	—
Elias Egouli	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	29	26%	1	—	—
Tim Oberdorf	D	90	6.70	1	—	—	38	28%	2	—	—
Matthias Zimmermann	D	56	7.00	—	—	—	24	18%	1	1	—
Tim Breithaupt	M	70	7.20	—	1	—	31	27%	—	—	—
Sotiris Alexandropoulos	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	30	25%	3	—	—
Marin Ljubičić	M	70	6.30	—	—	1	13	9%	1	—	—
S. Appelkamp	M	83	7.20	—	1	—	32	22%	1	—	—
Emmanuel Iyoha	M	90	6.60	—	—	2	30	22%	3	—	—
Cédric Itten	F	90	8.70	2	—	6	22	19%	—	1	—
Jesper Daland	D	16	6.00	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Luca Raimund	F	20	6.20	—	—	—	2	1%	—	1	—
Moritz Heyer	D	20	6.30	—	—	—	3	1%	3	—	—
Sima Suso	M	34	6.60	—	—	—	9	5%	2	—	—
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson	D	34	6.50	—	—	—	9	4%	1	—	—

SV Elversberg — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Nicolas Kristof	G	90	5.50	—	—	—	38	32%	—	—	—
Lasse Günther	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	40	30%	2	—	—
Florian Yves Le Joncour	D	90	5.50	1	—	—	57	48%	1	—	—
Maximilian Rohr	D	66	6.20	—	—	1	27	23%	—	—	—
Jan Gyamerah	D	81	5.90	—	—	—	32	23%	2	—	—
Łukasz Poręba	M	66	6.50	—	—	—	34	27%	1	—	—
A. Condé	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	54	46%	2	—	—
Tom Zimmerschied	M	88	6.50	—	—	—	34	24%	2	—	—
Immanuel Pherai	M	90	5.90	—	—	2	37	22%	1	—	—
Lukas Petkov	M	66	6.20	—	—	1	14	11%	2	—	—
David Mokwa	F	90	6.20	—	—	1	17	12%	—	—	—
Bambasé Conté	M	24	6.30	—	—	—	14	13%	—	—	—
Luca Schnellbacher	M	11	6.70	—	—	1	1	1%	—	—	—
Lukas Finn Pinckert	D	24	7.20	—	—	—	28	26%	1	—	—
Nicholas Mickelson	D	9	6.70	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—
Raif Adam	F	24	6.50	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Elversberg?

The final score was Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 SV Elversberg.

What did the model predict before Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Elversberg?

The model assigned 20% probability to a Fortuna Düsseldorf win, 18% to a draw, and 60% to an SV Elversberg win.