Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 SV Elversberg — pre-match prediction — 2. Bundesliga — May 10, 2026

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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 13:30

Fortuna Düsseldorf

3 – 1

Final score

SV Elversberg

✗Model wrong — prediction SV Elversberg, result Fortuna Düsseldorf wins

F. Le Joncour 25' (og)

C. Itten (ast. S. Appelkamp) 43'

C. Itten (ast. T. Breithaupt) 52'

(og) 90' T. Oberdorf

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SV Elversberg a 60% win probability (draw 18%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 20%). The final result was Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 SV Elversberg. In 1 previous meetings, Fortuna Düsseldorf have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for SV Elversberg.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.65

Actual xG

0.69

Saves

44%

Possession

56%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽F. Le Joncour (og)

25'

M. Zimmermann

30'

⚽C. Itten · ast. S. Appelkamp

43'

⚽C. Itten · ast. T. Breithaupt

52'

↕ M. Zimmermann / V. Lunddal

56'

↕ C. Lenz / S. Suso

56'

C. Itten

64'

66'

R. Adam / M. Rohr ↕

66'

L. Pinckert / L. Poreba ↕

66'

B. Conte / L. Petkov ↕

↕ M. Ljubicic / L. Raimund

70'

↕ T. Breithaupt / M. Heyer

70'

81'

N. Mickelson / J. Gyamerah ↕

↕ S. Appelkamp / J. Daland

83'

88'

L. Schnellbacher / T. Zimmerschied ↕

L. Raimund

90'+8

90'

(og) T. Oberdorf⚽

Pre-match prediction

20.74%

Fortuna ←

18.99%

60.27%

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) 20.74% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Fortuna

1.07

0.65

-0.42

2.35

0.69

-1.66

xG dominance was balanced (0.65 – 0.69). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	1. FC Nürnberg	5	13
2	Hertha BSC	4	12
3	1. FC Magdeburg	5	9
4	1. FC Heidenheim	4	9
5	VfL Wolfsburg	4	8
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	5	8
7	VfL Bochum	5	7
8	VfL Osnabrück	4	6
9	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	5	5
10	Karlsruher SC	4	5
11	Eintracht Braunschweig	5	4
12	Energie Cottbus	4	4
13	Arminia Bielefeld	5	4
14	Hannover 96	5	4
15	SV Darmstadt 98	5	4
16	Dynamo Dresden	5	4
17	FC St. Pauli	4	3
18	Holstein Kiel	4	3

Lineups

Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-2-3-1

F. Kastenmeier G 7.30

Christopher Lenz 56' D 7.60

Elias Egouli D 6.60

Tim Oberdorf 1 ⚽ D 6.70

Matthias Zimmermann 56' D 7.00

Tim Breithaupt 1 👟 70' M 7.20

Sotiris Alexandropoulos M 6.70

M. LjubiÄiÄ 70' M 6.30

S. Appelkamp 1 👟 83' M 7.20

E. Iyoha M 6.60

C. Itten 2 ⚽ F 8.70

Bench

C. Rasmussen F

J. Daland 16' D 6.00

J. Hettwer F

Jordi Paulina F

K. Suso 34' M 6.60

L. Raimund 20' F 6.20

M. Lotka G

Moritz Heyer 20' D 6.30

Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson 34' D 6.50

SV Elversberg 4-2-3-1

N. Kristof G 5.50

L. Günther D 6.20

F. Le Joncour 1 ⚽ D 5.50

M. Rohr 66' D 6.20

J. Gyamerah 81' D 5.90

Ł. Poręba 66' M 6.50

A. Condé M 6.60

T. Zimmerschied 88' M 6.50

Immanuel Pherai M 5.90

L. Petkov 66' M 6.20

D. Mokwa F 6.20

Bench

B. Conté 24' M 6.30

Frederik Schmahl M

Jarzinho Ataide Adriano de Nascimento Malanga M

L. Pinckert 24' D 7.20

L. Schnellbacher 11' M 6.70

Luca Pfeiffer F

N. Mickelson 9' D 6.70

Raif Adam 24' F 6.50

T. Boss G

Best on the pitch

C. Itten

F · Fortuna

8.70

2 ⚽

6 shots · 22 pass

Christopher Lenz

D · Fortuna

7.60

· 20 pass

F. Kastenmeier

G · Fortuna

7.30

· 49 pass

Tim Breithaupt

M · Fortuna

7.20

1 👟

· 31 pass

S. Appelkamp

M · Fortuna

7.20

1 👟

· 32 pass

L. Pinckert

D · SV

7.20

· 28 pass

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
F. Kastenmeier	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	49	26%	1	—	—
Christopher Lenz	D	56	7.60	—	—	—	20	16%	5	—	—
Elias Egouli	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	29	26%	1	—	—
Tim Oberdorf	D	90	6.70	1	—	—	38	28%	2	—	—
Matthias Zimmermann	D	56	7.00	—	—	—	24	18%	1	1	—
Tim Breithaupt	M	70	7.20	—	1	—	31	27%	—	—	—
Sotiris Alexandropoulos	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	30	25%	3	—	—
M. LjubiÄiÄ	M	70	6.30	—	—	1	13	9%	1	—	—
S. Appelkamp	M	83	7.20	—	1	—	32	22%	1	—	—
E. Iyoha	M	90	6.60	—	—	2	30	22%	3	—	—
C. Itten	F	90	8.70	2	—	6	22	19%	—	1	—
J. Daland	D	16	6.00	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
K. Suso	M	34	6.60	—	—	—	9	5%	2	—	—
L. Raimund	F	20	6.20	—	—	—	2	1%	—	1	—
Moritz Heyer	D	20	6.30	—	—	—	3	1%	3	—	—
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson	D	34	6.50	—	—	—	9	4%	1	—	—

SV Elversberg — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Kristof	G	90	5.50	—	—	—	38	32%	—	—	—
L. Günther	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	40	30%	2	—	—
F. Le Joncour	D	90	5.50	1	—	—	57	48%	1	—	—
M. Rohr	D	66	6.20	—	—	1	27	23%	—	—	—
J. Gyamerah	D	81	5.90	—	—	—	32	23%	2	—	—
Ł. Poręba	M	66	6.50	—	—	—	34	27%	1	—	—
A. Condé	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	54	46%	2	—	—
T. Zimmerschied	M	88	6.50	—	—	—	34	24%	2	—	—
Immanuel Pherai	M	90	5.90	—	—	2	37	22%	1	—	—
L. Petkov	M	66	6.20	—	—	1	14	11%	2	—	—
D. Mokwa	F	90	6.20	—	—	1	17	12%	—	—	—
B. Conté	M	24	6.30	—	—	—	14	13%	—	—	—
L. Pinckert	D	24	7.20	—	—	—	28	26%	1	—	—
L. Schnellbacher	M	11	6.70	—	—	1	1	1%	—	—	—
N. Mickelson	D	9	6.70	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—
Raif Adam	F	24	6.50	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Elversberg?

The final score was Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 SV Elversberg.

What did the model predict before Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Elversberg?

The model assigned 20% probability to a Fortuna Düsseldorf win, 18% to a draw, and 60% to an SV Elversberg win.