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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 13:30
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 – 1
Final score
SV Elversberg
✗Model wrong — prediction SV Elversberg, result Fortuna Düsseldorf wins
F. Le Joncour 25' (og)
C. Itten (ast. S. Appelkamp) 43'
C. Itten (ast. T. Breithaupt) 52'
(og) 90' T. Oberdorf
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SV Elversberg a 60% win probability (draw 18%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 20%). The final result was Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 SV Elversberg. In 1 previous meetings, Fortuna Düsseldorf have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for SV Elversberg.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
2
0.65
Actual xG
0.69
3
Saves
0
44%
Possession
56%
2
Corners
5
24
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽F. Le Joncour (og)
25'
M. Zimmermann
30'
⚽C. Itten · ast. S. Appelkamp
43'
⚽C. Itten · ast. T. Breithaupt
52'
↕ M. Zimmermann / V. Lunddal
56'
↕ C. Lenz / S. Suso
56'
C. Itten
64'
66'
R. Adam / M. Rohr ↕
66'
L. Pinckert / L. Poreba ↕
66'
B. Conte / L. Petkov ↕
↕ M. Ljubicic / L. Raimund
70'
↕ T. Breithaupt / M. Heyer
70'
81'
N. Mickelson / J. Gyamerah ↕
↕ S. Appelkamp / J. Daland
83'
88'
L. Schnellbacher / T. Zimmerschied ↕
L. Raimund
90'+8
90'
(og) T. Oberdorf⚽
Pre-match prediction
20.74%
Fortuna ←
18.99%
X
60.27%
SV
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) 20.74% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fortuna
1.07
0.65
-0.42
SV
2.35
0.69
-1.66
xG dominance was balanced (0.65 – 0.69). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 10 28
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 10 21
3 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 10 19
4 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 10 18
5 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 10 17
6 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 10 15
7 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 10 14
8 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 10 12
9 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 11 12
10 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 11 11
11 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 11 11
12 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 10 11
13 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 10 11
14 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 11 11
15 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 10 11
16 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 10 11
17 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 10 9
18 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 10 8
Lineups
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-2-3-1
33 F. Kastenmeier F. Kastenmeier G 7.30
3 Christopher Lenz Christopher Lenz 56' D 7.60
44 Elias Egouli Elias Egouli D 6.60
15 Tim Oberdorf Tim Oberdorf 1 ⚽ D 6.70
25 Matthias Zimmermann Matthias Zimmermann 56' D 7.00
6 Tim Breithaupt Tim Breithaupt 1 👟 70' M 7.20
14 Sotiris Alexandropoulos Sotiris Alexandropoulos M 6.70
20 M. Ljubičić M. Ljubičić 70' M 6.30
23 S. Appelkamp S. Appelkamp 1 👟 83' M 7.20
19 E. Iyoha E. Iyoha M 6.60
13 C. Itten C. Itten 2 ⚽ F 8.70
Bench
10 C. Rasmussen C. Rasmussen F
2 J. Daland J. Daland 16' D 6.00
11 J. Hettwer J. Hettwer F
27 J. Paulina J. Paulina F
46 K. Suso K. Suso 34' M 6.60
7 L. Raimund L. Raimund 20' F 6.20
1 M. Lotka M. Lotka G
5 Moritz Heyer Moritz Heyer 20' D 6.30
12 V. Lunddal Friðriksson V. Lunddal Friðriksson 34' D 6.50
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 4-2-3-1
20 N. Kristof N. Kristof G 5.50
21 L. Günther L. Günther D 6.20
3 F. Le Joncour F. Le Joncour 1 ⚽ D 5.50
31 M. Rohr M. Rohr 66' D 6.20
30 J. Gyamerah J. Gyamerah 81' D 5.90
8 Ł. Poręba Ł. Poręba 66' M 6.50
6 A. Condé A. Condé M 6.60
29 T. Zimmerschied T. Zimmerschied 88' M 6.50
22 I. Pherai I. Pherai M 5.90
25 L. Petkov L. Petkov 66' M 6.20
42 D. Mokwa D. Mokwa F 6.20
Bench
10 B. Conté B. Conté 24' M 6.30
17 F. Schmahl F. Schmahl M
14 Jarzinho Ataide Adriano de Nascimento Malanga Jarzinho Ataide Adriano de Nascimento Malanga M
19 L. Pinckert L. Pinckert 24' D 7.20
24 L. Schnellbacher L. Schnellbacher 11' M 6.70
16 Luca Pfeiffer Luca Pfeiffer F
2 N. Mickelson N. Mickelson 9' D 6.70
15 R. Adam R. Adam 24' F 6.50
28 T. Boss T. Boss G
Best on the pitch
C. Itten
C. Itten
F · Fortuna
8.70
2 ⚽
6 shots · 22 pass
Christopher Lenz
Christopher Lenz
D · Fortuna
7.60
· 20 pass
F. Kastenmeier
F. Kastenmeier
G · Fortuna
7.30
· 49 pass
Tim Breithaupt
Tim Breithaupt
M · Fortuna
7.20
1 👟
· 31 pass
S. Appelkamp
S. Appelkamp
M · Fortuna
7.20
1 👟
· 32 pass
L. Pinckert
L. Pinckert
D · SV
7.20
· 28 pass
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Kastenmeier G 90 7.30 — — — 49 26% 1 — —
Christopher Lenz D 56 7.60 — — — 20 16% 5 — —
Elias Egouli D 90 6.60 — — — 29 26% 1 — —
Tim Oberdorf D 90 6.70 1 — — 38 28% 2 — —
Matthias Zimmermann D 56 7.00 — — — 24 18% 1 1 —
Tim Breithaupt M 70 7.20 — 1 — 31 27% — — —
Sotiris Alexandropoulos M 90 6.70 — — — 30 25% 3 — —
M. Ljubičić M 70 6.30 — — 1 13 9% 1 — —
S. Appelkamp M 83 7.20 — 1 — 32 22% 1 — —
E. Iyoha M 90 6.60 — — 2 30 22% 3 — —
C. Itten F 90 8.70 2 — 6 22 19% — 1 —
J. Daland D 16 6.00 — — — — — — — —
K. Suso M 34 6.60 — — — 9 5% 2 — —
L. Raimund F 20 6.20 — — — 2 1% — 1 —
Moritz Heyer D 20 6.30 — — — 3 1% 3 — —
V. Lunddal Friðriksson D 34 6.50 — — — 9 4% 1 — —
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Kristof G 90 5.50 — — — 38 32% — — —
L. Günther D 90 6.20 — — 1 40 30% 2 — —
F. Le Joncour D 90 5.50 1 — — 57 48% 1 — —
M. Rohr D 66 6.20 — — 1 27 23% — — —
J. Gyamerah D 81 5.90 — — — 32 23% 2 — —
Ł. Poręba M 66 6.50 — — — 34 27% 1 — —
A. Condé M 90 6.60 — — — 54 46% 2 — —
T. Zimmerschied M 88 6.50 — — — 34 24% 2 — —
I. Pherai M 90 5.90 — — 2 37 22% 1 — —
L. Petkov M 66 6.20 — — 1 14 11% 2 — —
D. Mokwa F 90 6.20 — — 1 17 12% — — —
B. Conté M 24 6.30 — — — 14 13% — — —
L. Pinckert D 24 7.20 — — — 28 26% 1 — —
L. Schnellbacher M 11 6.70 — — 1 1 1% — — —
N. Mickelson D 9 6.70 — — — 5 5% — — —
R. Adam F 24 6.50 — — — 8 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Elversberg?
The final score was Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 SV Elversberg.
What did the model predict before Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Elversberg?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Fortuna Düsseldorf win, 18% to a draw, and 60% to an SV Elversberg win.