Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 SV Elversberg — pre-match prediction — 2. Bundesliga — May 10, 2026

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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 13:30

Fortuna Düsseldorf

#17 · 37 pts

3 – 1

Final score

SV Elversberg

#2 · 62 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction SV Elversberg, result Fortuna Düsseldorf wins

F. Le Joncour 25' (og)

C. Itten (ast. S. Appelkamp) 43'

C. Itten (ast. T. Breithaupt) 52'

(og) 90' T. Oberdorf

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SV Elversberg a 60% win probability (draw 18%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 20%). The final result was Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 SV Elversberg. In 1 previous meetings, Fortuna Düsseldorf have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for SV Elversberg.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.65

Actual xG

0.69

Saves

44%

Possession

56%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽F. Le Joncour (og)

25'

M. Zimmermann

30'

⚽C. Itten · ast. S. Appelkamp

43'

⚽C. Itten · ast. T. Breithaupt

52'

↕ M. Zimmermann / V. Lunddal

56'

↕ C. Lenz / S. Suso

56'

C. Itten

64'

66'

R. Adam / M. Rohr ↕

66'

L. Pinckert / L. Poreba ↕

66'

B. Conte / L. Petkov ↕

↕ M. Ljubicic / L. Raimund

70'

↕ T. Breithaupt / M. Heyer

70'

81'

N. Mickelson / J. Gyamerah ↕

↕ S. Appelkamp / J. Daland

83'

88'

L. Schnellbacher / T. Zimmerschied ↕

L. Raimund

90'+8

90'

(og) T. Oberdorf⚽

Pre-match prediction

20.74%

Fortuna ←

18.99%

60.27%

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) 20.74% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Fortuna

1.07

0.65

-0.42

2.35

0.69

-1.66

xG dominance was balanced (0.65 – 0.69). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	34	70
2	SV Elversberg	34	62
3	SC Paderborn 07	34	62
4	Hannover 96	34	60
5	SV Darmstadt 98	34	52
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	34	52
7	Hertha BSC	34	51
8	1. FC Nürnberg	34	46
9	VfL Bochum	34	44
10	Karlsruher SC	34	44
11	Dynamo Dresden	34	41
12	Holstein Kiel	34	41
13	Arminia Bielefeld	34	39
14	1. FC Magdeburg	34	39
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	34	37
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	34	37
17	Fortuna Düsseldorf	34	37
18	Preußen Münster	34	30

Lineups

Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-2-3-1

Florian Kastenmeier G 7.30

Christopher Lenz 56' D 7.60

Elias Egouli D 6.60

Tim Oberdorf 1 ⚽ D 6.70

Matthias Zimmermann 56' D 7.00

Tim Breithaupt 1 👟 70' M 7.20

Sotiris Alexandropoulos M 6.70

Marin Ljubičić 70' M 6.30

S. Appelkamp 1 👟 83' M 7.20

Emmanuel Iyoha M 6.60

C. Itten 2 ⚽ F 8.70

Bench

Christian Rasmussen F

J. Daland 16' D 6.00

Jordi Paulina F

Julian Hettwer F

K. Suso 34' M 6.60

Luca Raimund 20' F 6.20

Marcel Lotka G

Moritz Heyer 20' D 6.30

Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson 34' D 6.50

SV Elversberg 4-2-3-1

Nicolas Kristof G 5.50

L. Günther D 6.20

Florian Yves Le Joncour 1 ⚽ D 5.50

Maximilian Rohr 66' D 6.20

Jan Gyamerah 81' D 5.90

Łukasz Poręba 66' M 6.50

A. Condé M 6.60

T. Zimmerschied 88' M 6.50

Immanuel Pherai M 5.90

L. Petkov 66' M 6.20

David Mokwa F 6.20

Bench

Bambasé Conté 24' M 6.30

Frederik Schmahl M

Jarzinho Malanga M

L. Pinckert 24' D 7.20

Luca Pfeiffer F

Luca Schnellbacher 11' M 6.70

Nicholas Mickelson 9' D 6.70

Raif Adam 24' F 6.50

Tim Boss G

Best on the pitch

C. Itten

F · Fortuna

8.70

2 ⚽

6 shots · 22 pass

Christopher Lenz

D · Fortuna

7.60

· 20 pass

Florian Kastenmeier

G · Fortuna

7.30

· 49 pass

Tim Breithaupt

M · Fortuna

7.20

1 👟

· 31 pass

S. Appelkamp

M · Fortuna

7.20

1 👟

· 32 pass

L. Pinckert

D · SV

7.20

· 28 pass

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Florian Kastenmeier	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	49	26%	1	—	—
Christopher Lenz	D	56	7.60	—	—	—	20	16%	5	—	—
Elias Egouli	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	29	26%	1	—	—
Tim Oberdorf	D	90	6.70	1	—	—	38	28%	2	—	—
Matthias Zimmermann	D	56	7.00	—	—	—	24	18%	1	1	—
Tim Breithaupt	M	70	7.20	—	1	—	31	27%	—	—	—
Sotiris Alexandropoulos	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	30	25%	3	—	—
Marin Ljubičić	M	70	6.30	—	—	1	13	9%	1	—	—
S. Appelkamp	M	83	7.20	—	1	—	32	22%	1	—	—
Emmanuel Iyoha	M	90	6.60	—	—	2	30	22%	3	—	—
C. Itten	F	90	8.70	2	—	6	22	19%	—	1	—
J. Daland	D	16	6.00	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
K. Suso	M	34	6.60	—	—	—	9	5%	2	—	—
Luca Raimund	F	20	6.20	—	—	—	2	1%	—	1	—
Moritz Heyer	D	20	6.30	—	—	—	3	1%	3	—	—
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson	D	34	6.50	—	—	—	9	4%	1	—	—

SV Elversberg — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Nicolas Kristof	G	90	5.50	—	—	—	38	32%	—	—	—
L. Günther	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	40	30%	2	—	—
Florian Yves Le Joncour	D	90	5.50	1	—	—	57	48%	1	—	—
Maximilian Rohr	D	66	6.20	—	—	1	27	23%	—	—	—
Jan Gyamerah	D	81	5.90	—	—	—	32	23%	2	—	—
Łukasz Poręba	M	66	6.50	—	—	—	34	27%	1	—	—
A. Condé	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	54	46%	2	—	—
T. Zimmerschied	M	88	6.50	—	—	—	34	24%	2	—	—
Immanuel Pherai	M	90	5.90	—	—	2	37	22%	1	—	—
L. Petkov	M	66	6.20	—	—	1	14	11%	2	—	—
David Mokwa	F	90	6.20	—	—	1	17	12%	—	—	—
Bambasé Conté	M	24	6.30	—	—	—	14	13%	—	—	—
L. Pinckert	D	24	7.20	—	—	—	28	26%	1	—	—
Luca Schnellbacher	M	11	6.70	—	—	1	1	1%	—	—	—
Nicholas Mickelson	D	9	6.70	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—
Raif Adam	F	24	6.50	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Elversberg?

The final score was Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 SV Elversberg.

What did the model predict before Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Elversberg?

The model assigned 20% probability to a Fortuna Düsseldorf win, 18% to a draw, and 60% to an SV Elversberg win.