Eliteserien
· Regular Season - 4
April 12, 2026 19:00
Daniel Eid
(ast. Johannes Núñez)
79'
25'
(ast. Magnus Westergaard)
Mathias Grundetjern
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fredrikstad a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Valerenga 33%). The final result was Fredrikstad 1–1 Valerenga. In 1 previous meetings, Fredrikstad have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Valerenga.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
5
1.90
Actual xG
1.77
4
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
7
Corners
2
14
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
25'
ast. Magnus Westergaard ·
Mathias Grundetjern⚽
Sondre Sørløkk
/ Johannes Núñez
46'
Solomon Owusu
/ Jonathan Norbye
52'
53'
Magnus Westergaard
58'
Ivan Näsberg
68'
Petter Strand
/
Elias Sørensen
69'
Ambina Fidèle Brice
/
Lucas Haren
Leonard Owusu
/ Henrik Langaas Skogvold
71'
Johannes Núñez
77'
⚽Daniel Eid
· ast. Johannes Núñez
79'
Rocco Robert Shein
/ Sigurd Kvile
83'
Salim Laghzaoui
/ Eirik Granaas
83'
86'
Ole Christian Saeter
/
Mathias Grundetjern
86'
Filip Thorvaldsen
/
Carl Lange
Pre-match prediction
34.28%
Fredrikstad
32.34%
X ←
33.37%
Valerenga
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.19
1.90
+0.71
1.11
1.77
+0.66
xG dominance was balanced (1.90 – 1.77).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
77
Martin Borsheim
G
13
Sondre Sørløkk
45'
D
28
Solomon Owusu
52'
D
12
U. Fredriksen
D
6
Samuel Leach Holm
D
16
Daniel Eid
1 ⚽
D
19
M
21
Rocco Robert Shein
83'
M
24
Leonard Owusu
71'
M
20
O. Ohlenschlaeger
M
9
Salim Laghzaoui
83'
F
Bench
15
Eirik Granaas
14'
M
23
Henrik Langaas Skogvold
19'
F
18
J. Norbye
38'
D
10
J. Nunez
1 👟
45'
F
5
Simen Rafn
D
1
G
2
K. Finnsson
D
K. Finnsson
D
37
I. Nasberg
D
4
A. Olsen
D
3
H. Sjatil
D
10
Carl Lange
86'
M
28
Magnus Westergaard
1 👟
M
11
Elias Sørensen
68'
M
8
H. Bjordal
M
77
L. Haren
69'
M
17
Mathias Grundetjern
1 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
29
F. Ambina
21'
M
26
F. Thorvaldsen
11'
F
90
O. Saeter
11'
F
6
V. Hedenstad
D
Best on the pitch
Daniel Eid
D · Fredrikstad
8.70
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 58 pass
Samuel Leach Holm
D · Fredrikstad
8.20
2 shots
· 60 pass
Martin Borsheim
G · Fredrikstad
7.90
· 26 pass
A. Olsen
D · Valerenga
7.30
· 60 pass
F. Ambina
M · Valerenga
7.20
· 19 pass
K. Finnsson
D · Valerenga
7.20
1 shots
· 58 pass
Fredrikstad — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Borsheim | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Sondre Sørløkk | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Solomon Owusu | D | 52 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | — | — | — |
| U. Fredriksen | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Leach Holm | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | 2 | 60 | 55% | 5 | — | — |
| Daniel Eid | D | 90 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 4 | 58 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| Rocco Robert Shein | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Leonard Owusu | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Ohlenschlaeger | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Salim Laghzaoui | F | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Eirik Granaas | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Henrik Langaas Skogvold | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Norbye | D | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Nunez | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 12 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
Valerenga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| K. Finnsson | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Nasberg | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Olsen | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Sjatil | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Carl Lange | M | 86 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Magnus Westergaard | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 3 | 31 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Elias Sørensen | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Bjordal | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Haren | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Mathias Grundetjern | F | 86 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 24 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Ambina | M | 21 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Thorvaldsen | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| O. Saeter | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Valerenga?
The final score was Fredrikstad 1–1 Valerenga.
What did the model predict before Fredrikstad vs Valerenga?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Fredrikstad win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Valerenga win.