Eliteserien
· Regular Season - 4
April 12, 2026 17:00
Daniel Eid
(ast. Johannes Núñez)
79'
25'
(ast. Magnus Westergaard)
Mathias Grundetjern
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fredrikstad a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Valerenga 33%). The final result was Fredrikstad 1–1 Valerenga. In 3 previous meetings, Fredrikstad have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Valerenga.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
5
1.90
Actual xG
1.77
4
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
7
Corners
2
14
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
25'
ast. Magnus Westergaard ·
Mathias Grundetjern⚽
Sondre Sørløkk
/ Johannes Núñez
46'
Solomon Owusu
/ Jonathan Norbye
52'
53'
Magnus Westergaard
58'
Ivan Näsberg
68'
Petter Strand
/
Elias Sørensen
69'
Ambina Fidèle Brice
/
Lucas Haren
Leonard Owusu
/ Henrik Langaas Skogvold
71'
Johannes Núñez
77'
⚽Daniel Eid
· ast. Johannes Núñez
79'
Rocco Robert Shein
/ Sigurd Kvile
83'
Salim Laghzaoui
/ Eirik Granaas
83'
86'
Ole Christian Saeter
/
Mathias Grundetjern
86'
Filip Thorvaldsen
/
Carl Lange
Pre-match prediction
34.28%
Fredrikstad
32.34%
X ←
33.37%
Valerenga
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.19
1.90
+0.71
1.11
1.77
+0.66
xG dominance was balanced (1.90 – 1.77).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
77
M. Børsheim
G
M. Børsheim
G
13
Sondre Sørløkk
45'
D
Sondre Sørløkk
45'
D
28
S. Owusu
52'
D
S. Owusu
52'
D
12
U. Fredriksen
D
U. Fredriksen
D
6
S. Leach Holm
D
S. Leach Holm
D
16
D. Eid
1 ⚽
D
D. Eid
1 ⚽
D
19
M
21
R. Shein
83'
M
R. Shein
83'
M
24
L. Owusu
71'
M
L. Owusu
71'
M
20
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
M
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
M
9
S. Laghzaoui
83'
F
S. Laghzaoui
83'
F
Bench
15
Eirik Granaas
14'
M
Eirik Granaas
14'
M
23
H. Skogvold
19'
F
H. Skogvold
19'
F
10
J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez
1 👟
45'
F
J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez
1 👟
45'
F
18
Jonathan Norbye
38'
D
Jonathan Norbye
38'
D
5
S. Rafn
D
S. Rafn
D
1
G
2
K. Finnsson
D
K. Finnsson
D
37
I. Näsberg
D
I. Näsberg
D
4
Aaron Kiil Olsen
D
Aaron Kiil Olsen
D
3
H. Sjåtil
D
H. Sjåtil
D
10
C. Lange
86'
M
C. Lange
86'
M
28
M. Westergaard
1 👟
M
M. Westergaard
1 👟
M
11
E. Sørensen
68'
M
E. Sørensen
68'
M
8
H. Bjørdal
M
H. Bjørdal
M
77
L. Haren
69'
M
L. Haren
69'
M
17
M. Grundetjern
1 ⚽
86'
F
M. Grundetjern
1 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
29
Ambina Fidèle Brice
21'
M
Ambina Fidèle Brice
21'
M
26
Filip Thorvaldsen
11'
F
Filip Thorvaldsen
11'
F
90
O. Saeter
11'
F
O. Saeter
11'
F
6
V. Hedenstad
D
V. Hedenstad
D
Best on the pitch
D. Eid
D · Fredrikstad
8.70
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 58 pass
S. Leach Holm
D · Fredrikstad
8.20
2 shots
· 60 pass
M. Børsheim
G · Fredrikstad
7.90
· 26 pass
Aaron Kiil Olsen
D · Valerenga
7.30
· 60 pass
Ambina Fidèle Brice
M · Valerenga
7.20
· 19 pass
K. Finnsson
D · Valerenga
7.20
1 shots
· 58 pass
Fredrikstad — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Børsheim | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Sondre Sørløkk | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| S. Owusu | D | 52 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | — | — | — |
| U. Fredriksen | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 49% | — | — | — |
| S. Leach Holm | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | 2 | 60 | 55% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Eid | D | 90 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 4 | 58 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| R. Shein | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Owusu | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Oskar Øhlenschlaeger | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Laghzaoui | F | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Eirik Granaas | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| H. Skogvold | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 12 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Jonathan Norbye | D | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
Valerenga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| K. Finnsson | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Näsberg | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Aaron Kiil Olsen | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Sjåtil | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Lange | M | 86 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | — | — | — |
| M. Westergaard | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 3 | 31 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Sørensen | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Bjørdal | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Haren | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Grundetjern | F | 86 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 24 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Ambina Fidèle Brice | M | 21 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Filip Thorvaldsen | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| O. Saeter | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Valerenga?
The final score was Fredrikstad 1–1 Valerenga.
What did the model predict before Fredrikstad vs Valerenga?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Fredrikstad win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Valerenga win.