Serie B · Regular Season - 31 March 18, 2026 19:00

Frosinone

#2 · 81 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Bari

#17 · 40 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Frosinone

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Frosinone a 62% win probability (draw 22%, Bari 14%). The final result was Frosinone 2–1 Bari. In 1 previous meetings, Frosinone have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bari.

Match statistics

10

Shots on target

3

2.24

Actual xG

0.62

61%

Possession

39%

11

Corners

1

Pre-match prediction

62.58%

Frosinone ←

22.43%

X

14.99%

Bari

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Frosinone) 62.58% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Frosinone

2.20

2.24

+0.04

Bari

1.26

0.62

-0.64

Frosinone dominated by xG (2.24 vs 0.62). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Venezia	38	82
2	Frosinone	38	81
3	Monza	38	76
4	Palermo	38	72
5	Catanzaro	38	59
6	Modena	38	55
7	Juve Stabia	38	51
8	Avellino	38	49
9	Mantova	38	46
10	Padova	38	46
11	Cesena	38	46
12	Carrarese	38	44
13	Sampdoria	38	44
14	Virtus Entella	38	42
15	Empoli	38	41
16	Sudtirol	38	41
17	Bari	38	40
18	Reggiana	38	37
19	Spezia	38	35
20	Pescara	38	35