Serie B · Regular Season - 31 March 18, 2026 19:00 Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone

Frosinone

2 – 1

Final score

Bari

✓Model correct — prediction Frosinone

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Frosinone a 62% win probability (draw 22%, Bari 14%). The final result was Frosinone 2–1 Bari. In 1 previous meetings, Frosinone have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bari.

Match statistics

10

Shots on target

3

2.24

Actual xG

0.62

61%

Possession

39%

11

Corners

1

Pre-match prediction

62.58%

Frosinone ←

22.43%

X

14.99%

Bari

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Frosinone) 62.58% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Frosinone

2.20

2.24

+0.04

Bari

1.26

0.62

-0.64

Frosinone dominated by xG (2.24 vs 0.62). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	9	23
2	Modena	9	19
3	Ascoli	9	18
4	Mantova	9	17
5	Benevento	9	15
6	Pisa	9	15
7	Padova	9	13
8	Sudtirol	9	13
9	Hellas Verona	9	12
10	Avellino	9	12
11	Cesena	9	11
12	Virtus Entella	9	10
13	Carrarese	9	10
14	Arezzo	9	10
15	Cremonese	9	9
16	Vicenza Virtus	9	9
17	Juve Stabia	9	8
18	Empoli	9	7
19	Sampdoria	9	5
20	Catanzaro	9	5