Serie B · Regular Season - 31 March 18, 2026 19:00 Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone

Frosinone

2 – 1

Final score

Bari

✓Model correct — prediction Frosinone

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Frosinone a 62% win probability (draw 22%, Bari 14%). The final result was Frosinone 2–1 Bari. In 1 previous meetings, Frosinone have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bari.

Match statistics

10

Shots on target

3

2.24

Actual xG

0.62

61%

Possession

39%

11

Corners

1

Pre-match prediction

62.58%

Frosinone ←

22.43%

X

14.99%

Bari

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Frosinone) 62.58% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Frosinone

2.20

2.24

+0.04

Bari

1.26

0.62

-0.64

Frosinone dominated by xG (2.24 vs 0.62). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	3	9
2	Sudtirol	4	8
3	Mantova	3	7
4	Modena	4	7
5	Ascoli	4	7
6	Padova	4	7
7	Arezzo	4	6
8	Pisa	4	6
9	Avellino	3	6
10	Empoli	4	6
11	Cesena	3	5
12	Vicenza Virtus	4	5
13	Benevento	4	4
14	Virtus Entella	4	4
15	Hellas Verona	4	4
16	Cremonese	3	3
17	Catanzaro	4	3
18	Juve Stabia	4	2
19	Sampdoria	3	1
20	Carrarese	4	1