← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 38 May 08, 2026 20:30
Frosinone
#2 · 81 pts
5 – 0
Final score
Mantova
#9 · 46 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Frosinone
G. Calo 5' (pen.)
A. Castellini 12' (og)
F. Ghedjemis 57'
A. Raimondo (ast. I. Koutsoupias) 71'
I. Koutsoupias (ast. G. Calo) 76'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Frosinone a 63% win probability (draw 18%, Mantova 18%). The final result was Frosinone 5–0 Mantova. In 1 previous meetings, Frosinone have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Mantova.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
14
8
Shots on target
5
1.89
Actual xG
0.86
5
Saves
4
43%
Possession
57%
8
Corners
3
17
Tackles
8
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
4'
A. Castellini
⚽G. Calo (pen.)
5'
⚽A. Castellini (og)
12'
F. Ghedjemis
23'
46'
F. Paoletti / T. Maggioni ↕
⚽F. Ghedjemis
57'
63'
N. Buso / F. Ruocco ↕
63'
D. Wieser / R. Kouda ↕
64'
S. Trimboli
↕ F. Gelli / I. Koutsoupias
67'
↕ F. Ghedjemis / S. Fini
67'
⚽A. Raimondo · ast. I. Koutsoupias
71'
A. Raimondo
72'
↕ G. Cittadini / G. Calvani
75'
⚽I. Koutsoupias · ast. G. Calo
76'
I. Koutsoupias
77'
↕ I. Monterisi / N. Corrado
81'
↕ L. Palmisani / M. Pisseri
81'
82'
C. Falletti / T. Marras ↕
90'
C. Marai / A. Castellini ↕
Pre-match prediction
63.0%
Frosinone ←
18.24%
X
18.76%
Mantova
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Frosinone) 63.0% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Frosinone
2.55
1.89
-0.66
Mantova
1.33
0.86
-0.47
Frosinone dominated by xG (1.89 vs 0.86). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Frosinone Frosinone 4-3-3
22
L. Palmisani 81' G 6.90
79 G. Bracaglia G. Bracaglia D 7.50
30
I. Monterisi 81' D 6.90
2
G. Cittadini 75' D 7.20
20
A. Oyono D 7.20
10
F. Gelli 67' M 6.60
16
M. Cichella M 6.90
14 G. Calò G. Calò 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.90
17
G. Kvernadze F 7.30
9 A. Raimondo A. Raimondo 1 ⚽ F 7.30
7 F. Ghedjemis F. Ghedjemis 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.60
Bench
80
A. Fiori F
92
B. L. Kone M
3
G. Calvani 15' D 6.90
8
I. Koutsoupias 1 ⚽ 1 👟 23' M 8.00
28
M. Zilli F
Mantova Mantova 3-4-2-1
24
G 5.60
27
A. Castellini 1 ⚽ 89' D 4.50
29
S. Cella D 5.70
3
A. Dembele D 5.90
50
F. Benaissa-Yahia M 6.20
80
Rachid Kouda 63' M 6.20
21 S. Trimboli S. Trimboli M 6.70
96
T. Maggioni 45' M 6.20
19
F. Ruocco 63' F 6.20
23
T. Marras 82' F 7.20
9
L. Mancuso F 6.00
Bench
10
D. Wieser 27' M 6.50
36
F. Paoletti 45' M 6.30
77
N. Buso 27' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
G. Calò
G. Calò
M · Frosinone
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 48 pass
I. Koutsoupias
M · Frosinone
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 10 pass
F. Ghedjemis
F. Ghedjemis
F · Frosinone
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
G. Bracaglia
G. Bracaglia
D · Frosinone
7.50
· 27 pass
G. Kvernadze
F · Frosinone
7.30
2 shots · 18 pass
A. Raimondo
A. Raimondo
F · Frosinone
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 10 pass
Frosinone Frosinone — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Palmisani G 81 6.90 — — — 21 6% — — —
G. Bracaglia D 90 7.50 — — — 27 21% 5 — —
I. Monterisi D 81 6.90 — — 1 16 9% — — —
G. Cittadini D 75 7.20 — — — 18 11% 6 — —
A. Oyono D 90 7.20 — — 1 34 31% — — —
F. Gelli M 67 6.60 — — — 20 14% — — —
M. Cichella M 90 6.90 — — 1 18 14% 2 — —
G. Calò M 90 8.90 1 1 1 48 40% — — —
G. Kvernadze F 90 7.30 — — 2 18 16% 3 — —
A. Raimondo F 90 7.30 1 — 3 10 8% 1 1 —
F. Ghedjemis F 67 7.60 1 — 3 14 6% — 1 —
G. Calvani D 15 6.90 — — — 7 6% — — —
I. Koutsoupias M 23 8.00 1 1 1 10 8% — 1 —
Mantova Mantova — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.60 — — — 31 16% — — —
A. Castellini D 89 4.50 1 — 2 47 30% 2 1 —
S. Cella D 90 5.70 — — 1 43 39% — — —
A. Dembele D 90 5.90 — — — 41 37% 2 — —
F. Benaissa-Yahia M 90 6.20 — — — 39 34% 1 — —
Rachid Kouda M 63 6.20 — — — 33 27% — — —
S. Trimboli M 90 6.70 — — 1 48 40% 2 1 —
T. Maggioni M 45 6.20 — — 1 22 20% — — —
F. Ruocco F 63 6.20 — — 1 16 13% — — —
T. Marras F 82 7.20 — — 4 28 23% 1 — —
L. Mancuso F 90 6.00 — — 4 16 13% — — —
D. Wieser M 27 6.50 — — — 8 7% — — —
F. Paoletti M 45 6.30 — — — 13 13% — — —
N. Buso F 27 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Frosinone vs Mantova?
The final score was Frosinone 5–0 Mantova.
What did the model predict before Frosinone vs Mantova?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Frosinone win, 18% to a draw, and 18% to an Mantova win.