Frosinone 5–0 Mantova — pre-match prediction — Serie B — May 08, 2026

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Serie B · Regular Season - 38 May 08, 2026 20:30 Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone

Frosinone

5 – 0

Final score

Mantova

#3 · 7 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Frosinone

G. Calo 5' (pen.)

A. Castellini 12' (og)

F. Ghedjemis 57'

A. Raimondo (ast. I. Koutsoupias) 71'

I. Koutsoupias (ast. G. Calo) 76'

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Frosinone a 63% win probability (draw 18%, Mantova 18%). The final result was Frosinone 5–0 Mantova. In 1 previous meetings, Frosinone have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Mantova.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.89

Actual xG

0.86

Saves

43%

Possession

57%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

A. Castellini

⚽G. Calo (pen.)

⚽A. Castellini (og)

12'

F. Ghedjemis

23'

46'

F. Paoletti / T. Maggioni ↕

⚽F. Ghedjemis

57'

63'

N. Buso / F. Ruocco ↕

63'

D. Wieser / R. Kouda ↕

64'

S. Trimboli

↕ F. Gelli / I. Koutsoupias

67'

↕ F. Ghedjemis / S. Fini

67'

⚽A. Raimondo · ast. I. Koutsoupias

71'

A. Raimondo

72'

↕ G. Cittadini / G. Calvani

75'

⚽I. Koutsoupias · ast. G. Calo

76'

I. Koutsoupias

77'

↕ I. Monterisi / N. Corrado

81'

↕ L. Palmisani / M. Pisseri

81'

82'

C. Falletti / T. Marras ↕

90'

C. Marai / A. Castellini ↕

Pre-match prediction

63.0%

Frosinone ←

18.24%

18.76%

Mantova

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Frosinone) 63.0% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Frosinone

2.55

1.89

-0.66

Mantova

1.33

0.86

-0.47

Frosinone dominated by xG (1.89 vs 0.86). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	3	9
2	Sudtirol	4	8
3	Mantova	3	7
4	Modena	4	7
5	Ascoli	4	7
6	Padova	4	7
7	Arezzo	4	6
8	Pisa	4	6
9	Avellino	3	6
10	Empoli	4	6
11	Cesena	3	5
12	Vicenza Virtus	4	5
13	Benevento	4	4
14	Virtus Entella	4	4
15	Hellas Verona	4	4
16	Cremonese	3	3
17	Catanzaro	4	3
18	Juve Stabia	4	2
19	Sampdoria	3	1
20	Carrarese	4	1

Lineups

Frosinone 4-3-3

Lorenzo Palmisani 81' G 6.90

Gabriele Bracaglia D 7.50

Ilario Monterisi 81' D 6.90

Giorgio Cittadini 75' D 7.20

Anthony Oyono D 7.20

F. Gelli 67' M 6.60

Matteo Cichella M 6.90

Giacomo Calò 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.90

Giorgi Kvernadze F 7.30

Antonio Raimondo 1 ⚽ F 7.30

Farès Ghedjemis 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.60

Bench

A. Fiori F

B. L. Kone M

Gabriele Calvani 15' D 6.90

I. Koutsoupias 1 ⚽ 1 👟 23' M 8.00

M. Zilli F

Mantova 3-4-2-1

G 5.60

A. Castellini 1 ⚽ 89' D 4.50

S. Cella D 5.70

A. Dembélé D 5.90

F. Benaissa-Yahia M 6.20

R. Kouda 63' M 6.20

S. Trimboli M 6.70

T. Maggioni 45' M 6.20

F. Ruocco 63' F 6.20

Tommaso Marras 82' F 7.20

L. Mancuso F 6.00

Bench

D. Wieser 27' M 6.50

F. Paoletti 45' M 6.30

N. Buso 27' F 6.30

Best on the pitch

Giacomo Calò

M · Frosinone

8.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 48 pass

I. Koutsoupias

M · Frosinone

8.00

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 10 pass

Farès Ghedjemis

F · Frosinone

7.60

1 ⚽

3 shots · 14 pass

Gabriele Bracaglia

D · Frosinone

7.50

· 27 pass

Giorgi Kvernadze

F · Frosinone

7.30

2 shots · 18 pass

Antonio Raimondo

F · Frosinone

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 10 pass

Frosinone — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Lorenzo Palmisani	G	81	6.90	—	—	—	21	6%	—	—	—
Gabriele Bracaglia	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	27	21%	5	—	—
Ilario Monterisi	D	81	6.90	—	—	1	16	9%	—	—	—
Giorgio Cittadini	D	75	7.20	—	—	—	18	11%	6	—	—
Anthony Oyono	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	34	31%	—	—	—
F. Gelli	M	67	6.60	—	—	—	20	14%	—	—	—
Matteo Cichella	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	18	14%	2	—	—
Giacomo Calò	M	90	8.90	1	1	1	48	40%	—	—	—
Giorgi Kvernadze	F	90	7.30	—	—	2	18	16%	3	—	—
Antonio Raimondo	F	90	7.30	1	—	3	10	8%	1	1	—
Farès Ghedjemis	F	67	7.60	1	—	3	14	6%	—	1	—
Gabriele Calvani	D	15	6.90	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—
I. Koutsoupias	M	23	8.00	1	1	1	10	8%	—	1	—

Mantova — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	5.60	—	—	—	31	16%	—	—	—
A. Castellini	D	89	4.50	1	—	2	47	30%	2	1	—
S. Cella	D	90	5.70	—	—	1	43	39%	—	—	—
A. Dembélé	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	41	37%	2	—	—
F. Benaissa-Yahia	M	90	6.20	—	—	—	39	34%	1	—	—
R. Kouda	M	63	6.20	—	—	—	33	27%	—	—	—
S. Trimboli	M	90	6.70	—	—	1	48	40%	2	1	—
T. Maggioni	M	45	6.20	—	—	1	22	20%	—	—	—
F. Ruocco	F	63	6.20	—	—	1	16	13%	—	—	—
Tommaso Marras	F	82	7.20	—	—	4	28	23%	1	—	—
L. Mancuso	F	90	6.00	—	—	4	16	13%	—	—	—
D. Wieser	M	27	6.50	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—
F. Paoletti	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	13	13%	—	—	—
N. Buso	F	27	6.30	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Mantova?

The final score was Frosinone 5–0 Mantova.

What did the model predict before Frosinone vs Mantova?

The model assigned 63% probability to a Frosinone win, 18% to a draw, and 18% to an Mantova win.