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Serie B · Regular Season - 38 May 08, 2026 20:30 Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
Frosinone
5 – 0
Final score
Mantova
#4 · 17 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Frosinone
G. Calo 5' (pen.)
A. Castellini 12' (og)
F. Ghedjemis 57'
A. Raimondo (ast. I. Koutsoupias) 71'
I. Koutsoupias (ast. G. Calo) 76'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Frosinone a 63% win probability (draw 18%, Mantova 18%). The final result was Frosinone 5–0 Mantova. In 1 previous meetings, Frosinone have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Mantova.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
14
8
Shots on target
5
1.89
Actual xG
0.86
5
Saves
4
43%
Possession
57%
8
Corners
3
17
Tackles
8
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
4'
A. Castellini
⚽G. Calo (pen.)
5'
⚽A. Castellini (og)
12'
F. Ghedjemis
23'
46'
F. Paoletti / T. Maggioni ↕
⚽F. Ghedjemis
57'
63'
N. Buso / F. Ruocco ↕
63'
D. Wieser / R. Kouda ↕
64'
S. Trimboli
↕ F. Gelli / I. Koutsoupias
67'
↕ F. Ghedjemis / S. Fini
67'
⚽A. Raimondo · ast. I. Koutsoupias
71'
A. Raimondo
72'
↕ G. Cittadini / G. Calvani
75'
⚽I. Koutsoupias · ast. G. Calo
76'
I. Koutsoupias
77'
↕ I. Monterisi / N. Corrado
81'
↕ L. Palmisani / M. Pisseri
81'
82'
C. Falletti / T. Marras ↕
90'
C. Marai / A. Castellini ↕
Pre-match prediction
63.0%
Frosinone ←
18.24%
X
18.76%
Mantova
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Frosinone) 63.0% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Frosinone
2.55
1.89
-0.66
Mantova
1.33
0.86
-0.47
Frosinone dominated by xG (1.89 vs 0.86). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 9 23
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 9 15
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 9 12
10 Avellino Avellino 9 12
11 Cesena Cesena 9 11
12 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
13 Carrarese Carrarese 9 10
14 Arezzo Arezzo 9 10
15 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
16 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
17 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 9 8
18 Empoli Empoli 9 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Frosinone Frosinone 4-3-3
22 L. Palmisani L. Palmisani 81' G 6.90
79 G. Bracaglia G. Bracaglia D 7.50
30 I. Monterisi I. Monterisi 81' D 6.90
2 G. Cittadini G. Cittadini 75' D 7.20
20 A. Oyono A. Oyono D 7.20
10
F. Gelli 67' M 6.60
16 Matteo Cichella Matteo Cichella M 6.90
14 G. Calò G. Calò 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.90
17 G. Kvernadze G. Kvernadze F 7.30
9 A. Raimondo A. Raimondo 1 ⚽ F 7.30
7 F. Ghedjemis F. Ghedjemis 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.60
Bench
80 A. Fiori A. Fiori F
92
B. L. Kone M
3 G. Calvani G. Calvani 15' D 6.90
8 Ilias Koutsoupias Ilias Koutsoupias 1 ⚽ 1 👟 23' M 8.00
28
M. Zilli F
Mantova Mantova 3-4-2-1
24
G 5.60
27 A. Castellini A. Castellini 1 ⚽ 89' D 4.50
29 S. Cella S. Cella D 5.70
3 A. Dembélé A. Dembélé D 5.90
50 F. Benaissa-Yahia F. Benaissa-Yahia M 6.20
80 R. Kouda R. Kouda 63' M 6.20
21 S. Trimboli S. Trimboli M 6.70
96 T. Maggioni T. Maggioni 45' M 6.20
19 F. Ruocco F. Ruocco 63' F 6.20
23 T. Marras T. Marras 82' F 7.20
9 L. Mancuso L. Mancuso F 6.00
Bench
10 D. Wieser D. Wieser 27' M 6.50
36 F. Paoletti F. Paoletti 45' M 6.30
77 N. Buso N. Buso 27' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
G. Calò
G. Calò
M · Frosinone
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 48 pass
Ilias Koutsoupias
Ilias Koutsoupias
M · Frosinone
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 10 pass
F. Ghedjemis
F. Ghedjemis
F · Frosinone
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
G. Bracaglia
G. Bracaglia
D · Frosinone
7.50
· 27 pass
G. Kvernadze
G. Kvernadze
F · Frosinone
7.30
2 shots · 18 pass
A. Raimondo
A. Raimondo
F · Frosinone
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 10 pass
Frosinone Frosinone — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Palmisani G 81 6.90 — — — 21 6% — — —
G. Bracaglia D 90 7.50 — — — 27 21% 5 — —
I. Monterisi D 81 6.90 — — 1 16 9% — — —
G. Cittadini D 75 7.20 — — — 18 11% 6 — —
A. Oyono D 90 7.20 — — 1 34 31% — — —
F. Gelli M 67 6.60 — — — 20 14% — — —
Matteo Cichella M 90 6.90 — — 1 18 14% 2 — —
G. Calò M 90 8.90 1 1 1 48 40% — — —
G. Kvernadze F 90 7.30 — — 2 18 16% 3 — —
A. Raimondo F 90 7.30 1 — 3 10 8% 1 1 —
F. Ghedjemis F 67 7.60 1 — 3 14 6% — 1 —
G. Calvani D 15 6.90 — — — 7 6% — — —
Ilias Koutsoupias M 23 8.00 1 1 1 10 8% — 1 —
Mantova Mantova — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.60 — — — 31 16% — — —
A. Castellini D 89 4.50 1 — 2 47 30% 2 1 —
S. Cella D 90 5.70 — — 1 43 39% — — —
A. Dembélé D 90 5.90 — — — 41 37% 2 — —
F. Benaissa-Yahia M 90 6.20 — — — 39 34% 1 — —
R. Kouda M 63 6.20 — — — 33 27% — — —
S. Trimboli M 90 6.70 — — 1 48 40% 2 1 —
T. Maggioni M 45 6.20 — — 1 22 20% — — —
F. Ruocco F 63 6.20 — — 1 16 13% — — —
T. Marras F 82 7.20 — — 4 28 23% 1 — —
L. Mancuso F 90 6.00 — — 4 16 13% — — —
D. Wieser M 27 6.50 — — — 8 7% — — —
F. Paoletti M 45 6.30 — — — 13 13% — — —
N. Buso F 27 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Frosinone vs Mantova?
The final score was Frosinone 5–0 Mantova.
What did the model predict before Frosinone vs Mantova?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Frosinone win, 18% to a draw, and 18% to an Mantova win.